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How Large a Wave? Using the Generic Ballot to Forecast the 2010 Midterm Elections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 October 2010

Alan I. Abramowitz
Alan I. Abramowitz
Affiliation:
Emory University
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Extract

As Election Day approaches, many political commentators are asking whether the 2010 midterm elections could be a reprise of 1994, when Republicans picked up eight seats in the Senate and 52 seats in the House of Representatives to take control of both chambers for the first time in 40 years. There is almost universal agreement that Republicans are poised to make major gains in both the House and the Senate. And while the GOP's chances of gaining the 10 seats needed to take control of the upper chamber appear remote, results from the generic ballot forecasting model indicate that the 39 seats required to take back the House of Representatives are well within reach.

Type
Symposium
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 43 , Issue 4 , October 2010 , pp. 631 - 632
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2010

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References

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