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Simulating and predicting solar cycles using a flux-transport dynamo

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 November 2006

Mausumi Dikpati
Mausumi Dikpati
Affiliation:
High Altitude Observatory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3080 Center Green, Boulder, CO 80301, USA email: [email protected]
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Abstract

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We review how the so-called flux-transport solar dynamos work and show that such models calibrate well with solar cycle observations, and simulate well the relative peaks of the past 8 cycles. This success provides a basis for forecasting a strong solar cycle 24. We also show that a previous forecast of the timing of onset of cycle 24 is being verified by recent sunspot area statistics and coronal structures.

Keywords

Sun: activitySun: interiorSun: magnetic fieldsSun: photosphereSun: sunspots
Type
Contributed Papers
Information
Proceedings of the International Astronomical Union , Volume 2 , Symposium S233: Solar Activity and its Magnetic Origin , March 2006 , pp. 17 - 24
Copyright
© 2006 International Astronomical Union