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Predicting a Solar Cycle Before its Onset Using a Flux Transport Dynamo Model

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 July 2018

Arnab Rai Choudhuri
Arnab Rai Choudhuri*
Affiliation:
Department of Physics, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore – 560012, India email: [email protected]
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Abstract

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We begin with a review of the predictions for cycle 24 before its onset. After summarizing the basics of the flux transport dynamo model, we discuss how this model had been used to make a successful prediction of cycle 24, on the assumption that the irregularities of the solar cycle arise due to the fluctuations in the Babcock–Leighton mechanism. We point out that fluctuations in the meridional circulation can be another cause of irregularities in the cycle.

Keywords

Sun: activitySun: magnetic fieldsMHD.
Type
Contributed Papers
Information
Proceedings of the International Astronomical Union , Volume 13 , Symposium S335: Space Weather of the Heliosphere: Processes and Forecasts , July 2017 , pp. 177 - 182
Copyright
Copyright © International Astronomical Union 2018 

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