Long-term-care (LTC) insurance contracts provide the insured
with different benefits for several nursing care levels, for
a limited number of benefit eligibility periods. A common
assumption in pricing these LTC contracts is that the insured
will exercise the right to claim benefits as soon as the
eligibility conditions are satisfied. This assumption, however,
may contradict the insured's optimization, as it might
be worthwhile not to claim when in low care levels and, by doing
so, save the option of claiming higher (more expensive) care
levels in the future. We term this option of the insured as
the deferral option. The consequence of the traditional pricing
(i.e., of ignoring the deferral option) is unexpected losses
to the insurer. The factors affecting the deferral option's
value are the risk of death, the discount factor, the benefit
levels of the different care levels, and the transition
probabilities between the different care levels.