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Computer Modeling for Disaster Planning (Nuclear Attack)

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 June 2012

Edward L. Hill
Affiliation:
From the Operations Analysis Division, Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709, USA.
Russell O. Lyday Jr
Affiliation:
From the Operations Analysis Division, Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709, USA.

Extract

Although none of us likes to think of nuclear war as a possibility, a truly prepared society evaluates the unthinkable. This paper specifically addresses a model for evaluating the medical situation of an area after a nuclear attack.

Consider the situation shown in Table 1 [all Tables and Figures follow the text], which shows an estimation of casualties resulting from a nuclear attack on an area with a preattack population of 9.5 million. The table indicates over half of the population survives and more than half of the survivors (about 3.4 million people) have injuries. This large number of injuries requires medical attention, and, if the area is unable to get outside help (as would be the case for nuclear war), only resources already available within the area could be used.

Type
Part III: International Organizations - Planning - Disaster Events
Copyright
Copyright © World Association for Disaster and Emergency Medicine 1985

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References

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