Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-2brh9 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-28T03:21:45.878Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Assessment of the intensity and directions of population movement in the regions of the Arctic zone of Russia in 1991–2000

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 November 2021

Andrei G. Korovkin Open the ORCID record for Andrei G. Korovkin [Opens in a new window]  and
Arseniy L. Sinitsa Open the ORCID record for Arseniy L. Sinitsa [Opens in a new window]
Andrei G. Korovkin
Affiliation:
Laboratory for Labour Force Forecasting, Institute for National Economic Forecasts RAS, Nakhimovskii prospekt, 47, Moscow, 117418, Russian Federation Faculty of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Leninskie Gory, 1, Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation
Arseniy L. Sinitsa*
Affiliation:
Laboratory for Labour Force Forecasting, Institute for National Economic Forecasts RAS, Nakhimovskii prospekt, 47, Moscow, 117418, Russian Federation Faculty of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Leninskie Gory, 1, Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation
*
Author for correspondence: Arseniy L. Sinitsa, Email: [email protected]
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Socio-economic transformations greatly worsened the state of the Arctic regions for residents, which led to a decrease in the population due to the significant migration outflow. Using the balance of the population movement based on data from Rosstat, we estimated the intensity of migratory movement (relocation to permanent residence) and the natural movement of the population, along with the directions of incoming movement and attrition of the population to the general population dynamics in 1991–2000 in the regions of the Arctic zone of Russia. The analysis showed that the population was characterised by greater mobility compared with the population of the country as a whole. The attrition of the population was greater than the incoming population, and the regions of the Arctic zone of Russia were the donors of the population for the rest of Russia.

Keywords

Balance of population movementArctic zone of RussiaIntensity of migrationPopulation mobilityNatural population movement
Type
Research Article
Information
Polar Record , Volume 57 , 2021 , e45
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Agapov, M. G., & Klyueva, V. P. (2018). «Sever zovet!»: motiv «severnoe prityazhenie» v istorii osvoeniya rossiiskoi Arktiki [‘The North is calling!’: The Northern Attraction motif in the history of the Russia Arctic development]. Siberian Historical Research, (4), 6–24. https://doi.org/10.17223/2312461X/22/1 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Andrienko, Y., & Guriev, S. (2004). Determinants of interregional mobility in Russia: Evidence from panel data. Economics of Transition, 12(1), 1–27. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0967-0750.2004.00170.x CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baranov, E. F. & Breev, B. D. (1969). Osnovnye printsipy postroeniya balansov dvizheniya trudovykh resursov [The basic principles of constructing of balances of labour resources movement]. Moscow, USSR: Central Economic-Mathematical Institute, AN SSSR.Google Scholar
Brown, A. N. (1997). The economic determinants of internal migration flows in Russia during transition. Working Paper No. 89. Ann Arbor, MI: William Davidson Institute.Google Scholar
Buckley, C. (1995). The myth of managed migration: Migration control and market in the Soviet period. Slavic Review, 54(4), 896–916. https://doi.org/10.2307/2501398 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fauzer, V. V. (2014). Otsenka migratsionnoi podvizhnosti naseleniya Respubliki Komi [Assessment of the migration mobility of the population of the Komi Republic]. In Popova, L. A., & Burtsev, I. N. (Eds.), Topical problems, directions and mechanisms of development of productive forces of the North – 2014: Proceedings of the Fourth All-Russian Scientific Seminar (Vol. 1, pp. 117–125). Syktyvkar, Russia: Komi Republican Printing House.Google Scholar
Fauzer, V. V., Lytkina, T. S., Smirnov, A. V., & Fauzer, G. N. (2018). Migratsionnyi faktor sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Vorkutinskogo gorodskogo okruga – opornoi zony Rossiiskoi Arktiki [Migration factor of socio-economic development of Vorkuta urban district as a stronghold zone of the Russian Arctic]. Corporate Governance and Innovative Economic Development of the North: Bulletin of the Research Center of Corporate Law, Management and Venture Capital of Syktyvkar State University, (4), 66–81.Google Scholar
Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat). (n.d.a). Chislennost’ postojannogo naselenija - muzhchin po vozrastu na 1 janvarja [Number of male resident population by age as of January 1]. https://www.fedstat.ru/indicator/31548.Google Scholar
Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat). (n.d.b). Chislennost’ postojannogo naselenija - zhenshhin po vozrastu na 1 janvarja [Number of female resident population by age as of January 1]. https://www.fedstat.ru/indicator/33459.Google Scholar
Fidrmuc, J. (2004). Migration and regional adjustment to asymmetric shocks in transition economies. Journal of Comparative Economics, 32(2), 230–247. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2004.02.011.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gerber, T. P. (2006). Regional economic performance and net migration rates in Russia, 1993–2002. International Migration Review, 40(3), 661–697. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-7379.2006.00037.x CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gonina, N. V. (2016). Vliyanie migratsionnykh protsessov na formirovanie gorodskogo naseleniya v Krasnoyarskom krae vo vtoroi polovine 1950-kh – nachale 1980-kh gg. [Influence of migratory processes on formation of urban population in Krasnoyarsky krai in 1954–1984]. Bulletin of Kemerovo State University, (4), 28–34. https://doi.org/10.21603/2078-8975-2016-4-28-34 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grandstaff, P. J. (1975). Recent Soviet experience and Western ‘laws’ of population migration. The International Migration Review, 9(4), 479–497. https://doi.org/10.2307/3002343 Google Scholar
Grandstaff, P. J. (1980). Interregional migration in the U.S.S.R.: Economic aspects, 1959–1970. Durham, NC: Duke University Press.Google Scholar
Greenwood, M. J. (1997). Internal migration in developed countries. In Rozenzweig, M. R., & Oded, S. (Eds.), Handbook of Population and Family Economics (Vol. 1, part B, pp. 648–720). New York: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Heleniak, T. (1997). Internal migration in Russia during the economic transition. Post-Soviet Geography and Economics, 38(2), 81–104. https://doi.org/10.1080/10889388.1997.10641038 CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Heleniak, T. (1999). Out-migration and depopulation of the Russian North during the 1990s. Post-Soviet Geography and Economics, 40(3), 155–205. https://doi.org/10.1080/10889388.1999.10641111 CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Isaev, V. I., Il’inykh, V. A., Romanov, R. E., Andreenkov, S. N., & Kupershtokh, N. A. (2013). Mobilizatsionnaya strategiya khozyaistvennogo osvoeniya Sibiri: programm my i praktiki sovetskogo perioda (1920-1980-e gg.) [Mobilization strategy of economic development of Siberia: programs and practices of the Soviet period (1920–1980s)]. Novosibirsk, Russia: Parallel.Google Scholar
Karpov, V. P. (2016). Sever i Arktika v «general’noi perspektive» SSSR: problemy kompleksnogo osvoeniya [The North and the Arctic in the USSR’s “general perspective”: problem of comprehensive development]. Ural Historical Journal, (1), 91–99.Google Scholar
Karpov, V. P., & Yudakova, O. V. (2015). «Oni kak-nibud’ tam okopayutsya»: obustroistvo novoselov v «neftyanykh gorodakh» Tyumenskogo Severa [‘They would somehow entrenched themselves’: the arrangement of new settlers in the Tyumen “oil cities”]. In Zhiromskaya, V. B., and Stas’, I. N. (Eds.), Historical urbanism: The past and present of city, Collection of scientific articles of the All-Russian Conference with international participation (pp. 689–701). Kurgan, Russia: Kurgan Printing House LLC.Google Scholar
Kelmeneva, E. A. (2017). Politika osvoeniya Krainego Severa i kritika zhiznennykh uslovii arkticheskikh gorodov v narrativakh khrushchevskogo vremeni [Mastering the Extreme North: Policies and living conditions in Arctic cities under Khrushchev’s time]. Quaestio Rossica, 5(1), 153–170. https://doi.org/10.15826/qr.2017.1.217 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Khromykh, A. S. (2012). Plany evropeiskikh predprinimatelei po ispol’zovaniyu Karskogo morskogo puti v pervoi chetverti ХХ veka [Plans of European businessmen to use the Kara sea route in the first quarter of the XXth century]. Bulletin of Kemerovo State University, (3), 308–312.Google Scholar
Korovkin, A. G. (2001) Dinamika zanyatosti i rynka truda: voprosy makroekonomicheskogo analiza i prognozirovaniya [Employment and labor market dynamics: issues of macroeconomic analysis and forecasting]. Moscow, Russia: MAKS Press.Google Scholar
Korovkin, A. G. (2016a). Macroeconomic assessment of the state of regional labor markets in the Asian part of the Russian Arctic. Studies on Russian Economic Development, 27(2), 166–179. https://doi.org/10.1134/s1075700716020088 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Korovkin, A. G. (2016b). Macroeconomic assessment of the state of regional labor markets in the European part of the Russian Arctic. Studies on Russian Economic Development, 27(1), 54–67. https://doi.org/10.1134/s107570071601007x CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Korovkin, A. G., Dolgova, I. N., Edinak, E. A., & Korolev, I. B. (2015). Otsenka sostoyaniya i perspektiv razvitiya rynkov truda i migratsionnykh vzaimosvyazei regionov rossiiskoi Arktiki [Estimates of current and future development of labour force and migration relations of Russian Arctic’s regions]. MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research), 6(4), 213–222.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Korovkin, A. G., Dolgova, I. N., Korolev, I. B., & Polezhaev, A. V. (2009). Podkhody k faktornomu prognozirovaniyu vnutrennei migratsii naseleniya i rabochei sily Rossii [Factor forecasting of population and labor force migration: Different approaches]. Transactions of the Institute for National Economic Forecasts RAS, 7, 626–658.Google Scholar
Korovkin, A., Korolev, I., & Sinitsa, A. (2020). Comparative estimate of the population movement intensity in the regions of the Russian Arctic. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 539, 012106. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/539/1/012106 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kumo, K., & Litvinenko, T. (2019). Post-Soviet population dynamics in the Russian Extreme North: A case of Chukotka. Polar Science, 21, 58–67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polar.2018.11.002 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Laruelle, M. (2019). The three waves of Arctic urbanization. Drivers, evolutions, prospects. Polar Record, 55(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0032247419000081 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Laruelle, M., & Hohmann, S. (2017). Biography of a polar city: Population flows and urban identity in Norilsk. Polar Geography, 40(4), 306–323. https://doi.org/10.1080/1088937x.2017.1387822 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Loginov, V. G. (2015). Sredinnyi arkticheskii region: geograficheskie i sotsial’no-ekonomicheskie aspekty osvoeniya [Middle Arctic region: Geographical and social-economic aspects of development]. Russian Journal of Economic Theory, (3), 108–121.Google Scholar
Lomonosov, M. V. (1952). Kratkoe opisanie raznykh puteshestvii po severnym moryam i pokazanie vozmozhnogo prokhodu Sibirskim okeanom v Vostochnuyu Indiyu [Brief description of the different voyages on the northern seas and indication of a possible passage by the Siberian ocean to the Eastern India]. Collection of works (Vol. 6, pp. 417–498). Moscow, Leningrad, USSR: USSR Academy of Sciences Publishing House.Google Scholar
Mendeleev, D. I. (1948). Dokladnaya zapiska S. Yu. Vitte ot 14 noyabrya 1901 goda «Ob issledovanii Severnogo polyarnogo okeana» [Report note to S.Yu. Witte of November 14, 1901 “On the study of the North Polar Ocean”]. Scientific heritage, (Vol. 1, pp. 171–179). Moscow, Leningrad, USSR: USSR Academy of Sciences Publishing House.Google Scholar
Mitchneck, B. A. (1991). Geographic and economic determinants of interregional migration in the USSR, 1968–1985. Soviet Geography, 32(3), 168–189. https://doi.org/10.1080/00385417.1991.10640860 CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Mitchneck, B. A., & Plane, D. A. (1995). Migration and the quasi-labor market in Russia. International Regional Science Review, 18(3), 267–288. https://doi.org/10.1177/016001769501800301 CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Ritchey, P. N. (1976). Explanations of migration. Annual Review of Sociology, 2(1), 363–404. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.so.02.080176.002051 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Round, J. (2005) Rescaling Russia’s geography: The challenges of depopulating the northern periphery. Europe-Asia Studies, 57(5), 705–727. https://doi.org/10.1080/09668130500126494 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ryazanov, V. T. (2018). Politekonomiya Vladimira Putina: vzglyad iz Kitaya [Political economy of Vladimir Putin: A view from China]. St. Petersburg University Journal of Economic Studies, 34(4), 639–649. https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu05.2018.408 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shilovskii, M. V. (2009). Khozyaistvennoe osvoenie Arktiki v dorevolyutsionnoi Rossii [Arctic economic development in pre-revolutionary Russia]. Eco, (10), 166–180.Google Scholar
Shubkin, V. N. (1970). Sotsiologicheskie opyty [Sociological experiences]. Moscow, USSR: Mysl’ Publ.Google Scholar
Sinitsa, A. L. (2016). Demograficheskoe razvitie regionov Arkticheskoi zony Rossii v 2010—2014 gg. [Demographic development of the regions of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation in 2010–2014]. Arctic: Ecology and Economy, (1), 18–27.Google Scholar
Sjaastad, L. A. (1962). The costs and returns of human migration. Journal of Political Economy, 70(5, Part 2), 80–93. https://doi.org/10.1086/258726 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Slavin, S. V. (1987). Raionnyi razrez plana Vtoroi pyatiletki i kontseptsiya osvoeniya Severa [The regional section of the plan of the Second Five-Year Plan and the concept of development of the North]. In Moskovin, T. I., & Zaprudskii, N. I. (Eds.), Pages of memory. On plans, planning and planners (181–195). Moscow, USSR: Profizdat.Google Scholar
Sukneva, S. A. (2008). Migratsionnye protsessy v Respublike Sakha (Yakutiya) [Migrational processes in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)]. Spatial Economics, (1), 62–77.Google Scholar
Sukneva, S. A. (2010). Migratsionnye protsessy v severnom regione [Migration trends in a northern region]. Moscow University Economics Bulletin, (1), 74–84.Google Scholar
Sukneva, S. A. (2014). Vliyanie migratsii na formirovanie trudovykh resursov Respubliki Sakha (Yakutiya) [Influence of migration on formation of the workforce of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)]. Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 39, 57–64.Google Scholar
Sukneva, S. A. (2017). Tendentsii migratsionnoi dinamiki v Respubliki Sakha (Yakutiya) [Migration trends in the Sakha Republic (Yakutia)]. Vestnik of North-Eastern Federal University. “Economics. Sociolody. Culturology”, (1), 31–40.Google Scholar
Sukneva, S. A., & Laruelle, M. (2019). A booming city in the Far North. Sibirica, 18(3), 9–28. https://doi.org/10.3167/sib.2019.180302 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tatarkin, A. I. (2015). Sovremennaya paradigma osvoeniya i razvitiya rossiiskoi Arkticheskoi zony [The modern paradigm of breaking and development of the Russian Arctic zone]. Economy of the North-West: Issues and Prospects of Development, (1–2), 155–186.Google Scholar
Thompson, N. (2004). Migration and resettlement in Chukotka: A research note. Eurasian Geography and Economics, 45(1), 73–81. https://doi.org/10.2747/1538-7216.45.1.73 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Timoshenko, A. I. (2013a). Sovetskii opyt osvoeniya Arktiki i Severnogo morskogo puti: formirovanie mobilizatsionnoi ekonomiki [Soviet experience in the development of the Arctic and the Northern Sea route: formation mobilization economy]. Journal of Economic History and History of Economics, 14(1–2), 73–95.Google Scholar
Timoshenko, A. I. (2013b). Sovetskii opyt mobilizatsionnykh reshenii v osvoenii Arktiki i Severnogo morskogo puti [The Soviet experience of the mobilization decisions in developing the Arctic and the Northern Sea Route in 1930–1950 years]. Arctic and North, 13, 150–168.Google Scholar
Timoshenko, A. I., & Elert, A. Kh. (2016). Rossiya v Arktike: problemy izucheniya istoricheskogo opyta osvoeniya regiona [Russia in the Arctic: problems of studying the historical experience of the development of the region]. Humanitarian Sciences in Siberia, (3), 5–12. https://doi.org/10.15372/hss20160301 Google Scholar
Todaro, M. (1969). A model of labor migration and urban unemployment in less developed countries. The American Economic Review, 59(1), 138–148.Google Scholar
Turkov, A. A. (2016). Obshchestvennoe mnenie SShA ob uspekhakh SSSR v osvoenii Arktiki v 1930-kh godakh [American public opinion about the progress of the USSR in the Arctic exploration in the 1930s]. Bulletin of the Northern (Arctic) Federal University. Series: Humanities and Social Sciences, (3), 49–53. https://doi.org/10.17238/issn2227-6564.2016.3.49 Google Scholar
Xueling, G., & Man, Z. (2017). Politekonomiya Vladimira Putina [Political economy of Vladimir Putin. Russian edition]. Saint-Petersburg, Russia: Saint-Petersburg State University Press.Google Scholar
Zaionchkovskaya, Zh. A. (2000) 20th century population migrations in the USSR and Russia: evolution through cataclysms. Studies on Russian Economic Development, 11(3), 304–313.Google Scholar
Zamyatina, N. Y. (2016). Simvolicheskii kapital territorii v kontekste arkticheskikh migratsii: vzglyad iz Noril’ska [Symbolic capital of a territory in the context of Arctic migrations: a view from Norilsk]. Etnograficheskoe Obozrenie, (4), 45–59.Google Scholar
Zaozerskii, D. S. (2018). Proekty po osvoeniyu Novoi Zemli i Shpitsbergena v XIX – nachale XX veka [Projects on the exploration of Novaya Zemlya and Svalbard in the 19th and early 20th centuries]. Vestnik of Northern (Arctic) Federal University. Series: Humanitarian and Social Sciences, (6), 5–13. https://doi.org/10.17238/issn2227-6564.2018.6.5 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zaslavskaya, T. I. (Ed.). (1970). Migratsiya sel’skogo naseleniya [Migration of rural population]. Moscow, USSR: Mysl’ Publ.Google Scholar
Zhuchenko, V. S., & Steshenko, V. S. (Eds.). (1972). Vliyanie sotsial’no-ekonomicheskikh faktorov na demograficheskie protsessy [Impact of socio-economic factors on demographic processes]. Kiev, USSR: Naukova dumka Publ.Google Scholar