Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rcrh6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-27T23:17:50.769Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Scientific Inference: Two Points of View

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 April 2022

Ronald N. Giere*
Affiliation:
University of Minnesota
*
Department of Philosophy, 355 Ford Hall, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455.

Abstract

This short paper serves as an introduction to a debate between representatives of two fundamentally different points of view regarding the nature of scientific inference. Colin Howson and Peter Urbach represent a Bayesian point of view and Deborah Mayo represents a version of classical statistics called error statistics. The paper begins by reviewing earlier versions of the same two points of view due to Rudolf Carnap and Hans Reichenbach, respectively. After a few remarks about philosophical approaches to understanding scientific reasoning between 1960 and 1980, I turn to substantive differences between the two approaches.

Type
Symposium: Philosophy of Statistics and Epistemology of Experiment: Bayesian vs. Error Statistical Approaches
Copyright
Copyright © Philosophy of Science Association 1997

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Carnap, R. (1950), Logical Foundations of Probability. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
de Finetti, B. (1972), Probability, Induction, and Statistics: The Art of Guessing. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Howson, C., and Urbach, P., (1989), Scientific Reasoning: The Bayesian Approach. La Salle, IL: Open Court.Google Scholar
Mayo, D. (1996), Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Popper, K. R. (1959), The Logic of Scientific Discovery. London: Hutchinson.Google Scholar
Reichenbach, H. (1949), The Theory of Probability: An Inquiry into the Logical and Mathematical Foundations of the Calculus of Probability. Translated by E. H. Hutton and M. Reichenbach. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Savage, L. J. (1954), Foundations of Statistics. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar