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Parsimony, Likelihood, and the Principle of the Common Cause

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 April 2022

Elliott Sober*
Affiliation:
Philosophy Department, University of Wisconsin, Madison

Abstract

The likelihood justification of cladistic parsimony suggested in Sober (1984) is here shown to be incomplete. Even so, cladistic parsimony remains a counterexample to the principle of the common cause formulated by Reichenbach (1956) and Salmon (1975, 1979, 1984).

Type
Discussion
Copyright
Copyright © 1987 by the Philosophy of Science Association

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Footnotes

I am grateful to Malcolm Forster, David Swofford, and, above all, to Ellery Eells for useful discussion. I also wish to thank the National Science Foundation and the University of Wisconsin, Madison, Graduate School for financial support.

References

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Salmon, W. (1975), “Theoretical Explanation”, in Korner, S. (ed.), Explanation. Oxford: Basil Blackwell, pp. 118–145.Google Scholar
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Salmon, W. (1984), Scientific Explanation and the Causal Structure of the World. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Sober, E. (1983), “Parsimony Methods: Philosophical Issues”, Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 14: 335–358.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sober, E. (1984), “Common Cause Explanation”, Philosophy of Science 51: 212–241.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
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Sober, E. (1987), “Explanation and Causation: A Review of Wesley Salmon's Scientific Explanation and the Causal Structure of the World”, British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. Forthcoming.Google Scholar