Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rdxmf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-30T20:48:26.996Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Higher Order Probabilities and Coherence

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 March 2022

Soshichi Uchii*
Affiliation:
Kyoto University

Abstract

It is well known that a degree-of-belief function P is coherent if and only if it satisfies the probability calculus. In this paper, we show that the notion of coherence can be extended to higher order probabilities such as P(P(h) = p) = q, and that a higher order degree-of-belief function P is coherent if and only if it satisfies the probability calculus plus the following axiom: P(h) = p iff P(P(h) = p) = 1. Also, a number of lemmata which extend an incomplete probability function to a complete one are established.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © 1973 by The Philosophy of Science Association

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

[1] Carnap, R. Logical Foundations of Probability. (2nd ed.) Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1962.Google Scholar
[2] Hughes, G. E. and Cresswell, M. J. An Introduction to Modal Logic. London: Methuen, 1968.Google Scholar
[3] Kemeny, J. G.Fair Bets and Inductive Probabilities.” Journal of Symbolic Logic 20 (1955): 263273.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[4] Lehman, R. S.On Confirmation and Rational Betting.” Journal of Symbolic Logic 20 (1955): 251262.10.2307/2268221CrossRefGoogle Scholar