Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-t7czq Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-28T05:45:08.078Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Racial Winners and Losers in American Party Politics

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 April 2014

Abstract

The Democratic and Republican Parties both make strong claims that their policies benefit racial and ethnic minorities. These claims have, however, received little systematic empirical assessment. This is an important omission, because democracy rests on the ability of the electorate to evaluate the responsiveness of those who govern. We assess Democrats’ and Republicans’ claims by compiling census data on annual changes in income, poverty, and unemployment over the last half century for each of America’s racial and ethnic groups. Judged by the empirical record, it is clear which party truly benefits America’s communities of color. When the nation is governed by Democrats, racial and ethnic minority well-being improves dramatically. By contrast, under Republican administrations, blacks, Latinos, and Asian Americans generally suffer losses.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abramowitz, Alan I. 1994. “Issue Evolution Reconsidered: Racial Attitudes and Partisanship in the US Electorate.” American Journal of Political Science 38(1): 124.Google Scholar
Almaguer, Tomas. 1994. Racial Fault Lines: The Historical Origins of White Supremacy in California. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
American Political Science Association. 2004. “American Democracy in an Age of Rising Inequality.” American Political Science Association.Google Scholar
Bailey, Michael A. 2007. “Comparable Preference Estimates Across Time and Institutions for the Court, Congress and Presidency.” American Journal of Political Science 51(3): 433–48.Google Scholar
Barreto, Matt A. 2011. Ethnic Cues: The Role of Shared Ethnicity in Latino Political Participation. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Bartels, Larry M. 2008. Unequal Democracy: The Political Economy of the New Gilded Age. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Bertrand, Marianne, and Mullainathan, Sendhil. 2004. “Are Emily and Greg More Employable Than Lakisha and Jamal?American Economic Review 94(4): 9911013.Google Scholar
Black, Merle, and Black, Earle. 2002. The Rise of Southern Republicans. New York: Belknap.Google Scholar
Blank, Rebecca M. 2001. “An Overview of Trends in Social and Economic Well-Being, By Race.” In America Becoming: Racial Trends and Their Consequences, ed. Smelser, N., Wilson, W. J. and Mitchell, F.. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.Google Scholar
Bobo, Lawrence, Oliver, Melvin, Johnson, James, and Valenzuela, Abel, eds. 2000. Prismatic Metropolis: Inequality in Los Angeles. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
Browning, Rufus R., Marshall, Dale Rogers, and Tabb, David H.. 1984. Protest Is Not Enough. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Butler, Daniel M., and Broockman, David E.. 2011. “Do Politicians Racially Discriminate against Constituents? A Field Experiment on State Legislators.” American Journal of Political Science 55(3): 463–77.Google Scholar
Cameron, Charles. 2001. Veto Bargaining: Presidents and the Politics of Negative Power. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Carmines, Edward G., and Stimson, James A.. 1989. Issue Evolution: Race and the Transformation of American Politics. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Carpenter, Daniel. 2010. “Institutional Strangulation: Bureaucratic Politics and Financial Reform in the Obama Administration.”Perspectives on Politics 8(3): 825–46.Google Scholar
Casellas, Jason P. 2011. Latino Representation in State Houses and Congress. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Clinton, Bill. 2012. Speech at the Democratic National Convention, Charlotte, NC, September 5.Google Scholar
Dade, Corey. 2011. “New Poll Suggests Latino Voters See ‘Hostile' GOP.” It’s All Politics December 13. Available from http://www.npr.org/blogs/itsallpolitics/2011/12/12/143601214/new-poll-suggests-latino-voters-see-hostile-gop (accessed December 11, 2013).Google Scholar
Davidson, Chandler, and Grofman, Bernard, eds. 1994.Quiet Revolution in the South: The Impact of the Voting Rights Act, 1965-1990. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dawson, Michael C. 1994. Behind the Mule: Race and Class in African-American Politics. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Democratic National Committee. 2004. The Democratic National Platform for America: Strong at Home, Respected in the World .Google Scholar
Donahue, John J, and Heckman, James. 1990. Continuous versus Episodic Change: The Impact of Civil Rights Policy on the Economic Status of Blacks. Journal of Economic Literature 29: 1603–43.Google Scholar
Edsall, Thomas Byrne, and Edsall, Mary D.. 1991. Chain Reaction: The Impact of Race, Rights, and Taxes on American Politics. New York: W. W. Norton and Company.Google Scholar
Edwards, George C. 2003. On Deaf Ears: The Limits of the Bully Pulpit. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee, Martin, Andrew D., Segal, Jeffrey A. and Westerland, Chad. 2007. “The Judicial Common Space.” Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 23(2): 303–25.Google Scholar
Erikson, Robert S., Mackuen, Michael B., and Stimson, James A.. 2002. The Macro Polity. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1996. Divided Government. 2nd ed. Boston: Allyn & Bacon.Google Scholar
Fraga, , Ricardo, Luis, and Leal, David L.. 2004. “Playing the ‘Latino Card’:Race, Ethnicity, and National Party Politics.” Du Bois Review 1(2): 297317.Google Scholar
Frymer, Paul. 1999. Uneasy Alliances: Race and Party Competition in America. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Garcia-Bedolla, Lisa. 2005. Fluid Borders: Latino Power, Identity, and Politics in Los Angeles. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Gerber, Elisabeth R., and Hopkins, Daniel J.. 2011. “When Mayors Matter: Estimating the Impact of Mayoral Partisanship on City Policy.” American Journal of Political Science 55(2): 326–39.Google Scholar
Gilens, Martin. 2012. Affluence & Influence: Economic Inequality and Political Power in America. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Gillion, Daniel. 2012. “Protest and Congressional Behavior: Assessing Racial and Ethnic Minority Protests in the District.” Journal of Politics 74(4): 950–62.Google Scholar
Greenberg, Stanley B. 1996. Middle Class Dreams: The Politics and Power of the New American Majority. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Griffin, John D., and Newman, Brian. 2008. Minority Report: Evaluating Political Equality in America. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Grose, Christian R. 2011. Congress in Black and White. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gurr, , Robert, Ted. 2000. Peoples Versus States: Minorities at Risk in the New Century. Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press.Google Scholar
Hacker, Jacob S. 2010. “The Road to Somewhere: Why Health Reform Happened.”Perspectives on Politics 8(3): 861–76.Google Scholar
Hacker, Jacob S., and Pierson, Paul. 2010. Winner-Take-All Politics: How Washington Made the Rich Richer—and Turned Its Back on the Middle Class. New York: Simon & Schuster.Google Scholar
Hajnal, Zoltan L. 2009. “Who Loses in American Democracy? A Count of Votes Demonstrates the Limited Representation of African Americans.”American Political Science Review 103(1): 3757.Google Scholar
Hajnal, Zoltan L. 2010. America's Uneven Democracy: Turnout, Race, and Representation in City Politics. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Hayek, F. A., and Hamowy, Ronald. 2011. The Constitution of Liberty: The Definitive Edition (The Collected Works of F. A. Hayek). Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Hero, Rodney. 1998. Faces of Inequality: Social Diversity in American Politics. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Hibbs, Douglas A. 1987. The American Political Economy: Macroeconomics and Electoral Politics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Hibbs, Douglas A., and Dennis, Christopher. 1988. “Income Distribution in the United States.” American Political Science Review 82(2): 467–90.Google Scholar
Holmberg, Soren, Rothstein, Bo, and Nasiritous, Naghmeh. 2009. “Quality of Government: What You Get.” Annual Review of Political Science 12: 135161.Google Scholar
Hood, M. V., Kidd, Quentin, and Morris, Irwin L.. 2012. The Rational Southerner: Black Mobilization, Republican Growth, and the Partisan Transformation of the American South. New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobs, Lawrence, and King, Desmond. 2010. “Varieties of Obamaism: Structure, Agency, and the Obama Presidency.”Perspectives on Politics 8(3): 739802.Google Scholar
Jacobs, Lawrence R., and Page, Benjamin I.. 2005. “Who Influences U.S. Foreign Policy?American Political Science Review 99(1): 107–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobs, Lawrence R., and Skocpol, Theda. 2005. “American Democracy in an Era of Rising Inequality.” In Inequality and American Democracy: What We Know and What We Need to Learn, ed. Jacobs, Lawrence R. and Skocpol, Theda. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
Jacobs, Lawrence R., and Skocpol, Theda. 2006. “Restoring the Tradition of Rigor and Relevance to Political Science.” PS: Political Science and Politics 39(1): 2731.Google Scholar
Katznelson, Ira. 2005. When Affirmative Action Was White: An Untold History of Racial Inequality in Twentieth-Century America. New York: W.W. Norton.Google Scholar
Kernell, Samuel. 1997. Going Public: New Strategies of Presidential Leadership. Washington, DC: CQ Press.Google Scholar
Kerr, Brinck, and Miller, Will. 1997. “Latino Representation, It’s Direct and Indirect.”American Journal of Political Science 41(3): 1066–71.Google Scholar
Kerr, Brinck, and Mladenka, Kenneth R.. 1994. “Does Politics Matter? A Time-Series Analysis of Minority Employment Patterns.” American Journal of Political Science 38(4): 918–43.Google Scholar
Keynes, John Maynard. 2007 [1936]. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Basingstoke, Hampshire: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
Kiewiet, D. Roderick, and McCubbins, Mathew D.. 1985. “Appropriations Decisions as a Bilateral Bargaining Game between President and Congress.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 10(2): 181201.Google Scholar
Kim, Claire Jean. 1999. “The Racial Triangulation of Asian Americans.” Politics and Society 27(1): 105–38.Google Scholar
King, Desmond S., and Smith, Rogers M.. 2005. “Racial Orders in American Political Development.” American Political Science Review 99(1): 7592.Google Scholar
Kirschenman, Joleen, and Neckerman, Kathryn M.. 1991. “‘We'd Love to Hire Them, But… ’: The Meaning of Race for Employers.” In The Urban Underclass, ed. Jenks, Christopher and Peterson., Paul E. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution Press.Google Scholar
Klarman, Michael J. 2006. From Jim Crow to Civil Rights: The Supreme Court and the Struggle for Racial Equality. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Klinkner, Philip A., and Smith, Rogers M.. 1999. The Unsteady March: The Rise and Decline of Racial Equality in America. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Kousser, J. Morgan. 1999. Colorblind Injustice: Minority Voting Rights and the Undoing of the Second Reconstruction. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press.Google Scholar
Lee, Taeku. 2000. “Racial Attitudes and the Color Line(s) at the Close of the Twentieth Century.” In The State of Asian Pacific Americans: Race Relations, ed. Ong, P.. Los Angeles: LEAP/UCLA Asian Pacific American Public Policy Institute.Google Scholar
Lee, Taeku. 2002. Mobilizing Public Opinion. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Lee, Taeku. 2008. “Race, Immigration, and the Identity-to-Politics Link.” Annual Review of Political Science 11: 457–78.Google Scholar
Lieberman, Robert C. 1998. Shifting the Color Line: Race and the American Welfare State. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Lien, Pei-te, M. Margaret Conway, and Wong, Janelle. 2004. The Politics of Asian Americans: Diversity and Community. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Lijphart, Arendt. 1999. Patterns of Democracy. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Loury, Glenn C., Karlan, Pamela, Shelby, Tommie, and Wacquant, Loïc, eds. 2008. Race, Incarceration, and American Values. Boston: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Lublin, David. 1997. The Paradox of Representation: Racial Gerrymandering and Minority Interests. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mansbridge, Jane. 1999. “Should Blacks Represent Blacks and Women Represent Women? A Contingent ‘Yes’.” Journal of Politics. 61(3): 627657.Google Scholar
Manza, Jeff, and Uggen, Christopher. 2006. Locked Out: Felon Disenfranchisement and American Democracy. New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martin, Andrew D., and Quinn, Kevin M.. 2002. “Dynamic Ideal Point Estimation via Markov Chain Monte Carlo for the U.S. Supreme Court, 1953–1999.” Political Analysis 10(2): 134–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayhew, David. 1991. Divided We Govern: Party Control, Lawmaking, and Investigations, 1946–1990. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
McCarty, Nolan, Poole, Keith T., and Rosenthal, Howard. 2007. Polarized America: The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches. Boston: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Meier, Kenneth J., and Stewart, Joseph R.. 1991. The Politics of Hispanic Education. New York City: SUNY Press.Google Scholar
Myrdall, Gunnar. 1944. An American Dilemma: The Negro Problem and Modern Democracy. New York: Harper and Brothers.Google Scholar
Neustadt, Richard E. 1980. Presidential Power: Politics of Leadership from F.D.R. to Carter. New York: Wiley and Sons.Google Scholar
Niskanen, William A. 2003. “A Case for Divided Government.” Cato Policy Report March/April 2003: 2.Google Scholar
Page, Benjamin I. 1983. Who Gets What from Government. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Page, Benjamin I., and Simmons, James R.. 2000. What Government Can Do: Dealing with Poverty and Inequality. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Parker, Frank R. 1990. Black Votes Count: Political Empowerment in Mississippi after 1965. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press.Google Scholar
Poole, Keith, Carroll, Royce, Lewis, Jeff, Lo, James, McCarty, Nolan, and Rosenthal, Howard. 2012. Vote View. Available at http://voteview.com/dwnomin.htm (accessed December 11, 2013).Google Scholar
Reagan, Ronald. 1981. Remarks in Denver, Colorado, at the Annual Convention of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People, June 29.Google Scholar
Republican National Committee. 2004. 2004 Republican Party Platform: A Safer World and a More Hopeful America.Google Scholar
Rosenberg, Gerald N. 1991. The Hollow Hope: Can Courts Bring About Social Change? Chicago, IL: University of Chicago.Google Scholar
Schattschneider, E. E. 1942. Party Government. New York: Praeger.Google Scholar
Shafer, Byron E., and Johnston, Richard. 2005. The End of Southern Exceptionalism: Class, Race, and Partisan Change in the Postwar South. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Stepan, Alfred, and Linz, Juan J.. 2011. “Comparative Perspectives on Inequality and the Quality of Democracy in the United States.” Perspectives on Politics 9(4): 841–56.Google Scholar
Teixeira, Ruy, and Rogers, Joel. 2000. America’s Forgotten Majority: Why the White Working Class Still Matters. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Tesler, Michael, and Sears, David O.. 2010. Obama's Race: The 2008 Election and the Dream of a Post-Racial America. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Thernstrom, Stephan, and Thernstrom, Abigail. 1997. America in Black and White: One Nation, Indivisible. New York: Simon and Schuster.Google Scholar
Trounstine, Jessica, and Valdini, Melody E.. 2008. “The Context Matters: The Effects of Single-Member versus At-Large Districts on City Council Diversity.” American Journal of Political Science 52(3): 554–69.Google Scholar
United States Census Bureau. 2012. Statistical Abstract of the United States. Washington, DC: Census Bureau.Google Scholar
Valentino, Nicholas A., and Sears, David O.. 2005. “Old Times There Are Not Forgotten: Race and Partisan Realignment in the Contemporary South.” American Journal of Political Science 49(3): 672–88.Google Scholar
Valelly, Richard. 2004. The Two Reconstructions: The Struggle for Black Enfranchisement. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Verba, Sidney, Lehman Schlozman, Kay, and Brady, Henry E.. 1995. Voice and Equality: Civic Voluntarism in American Politics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Whitby, Kenny J. 1998. The Color of Representation: Congressional Behavior and Black Interests. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Hajnal et al. supplementary material

Supplementary tables and figures

Download Hajnal et al. supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 97.3 KB