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The World Economy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 March 2020

Extract

Indications from the first half of the year suggested that the present cyclical expansion was starting to slow in much of the OECD. The pace of activity moderated particularly sharply in North America. Canadian GDP fell slightly in the second quarter of the year and inventory levels rose considerably. Trade growth was also lower than expected, although this partially reflected the regional impact of recent developments in Mexico. Within Europe, GDP growth slowed in the UK, France and Italy, although growth proved unexpectedly robust in a number of the smaller economies, particularly Ireland, Sweden and Finland. Output also continued to grow sharply in Australia and South East Asia.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © 1995 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

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Footnotes

We are grateful to Martin Weale for helpful comments and to Sarah Leeming and David Poulizac for statistical assistance. The forecast was completed on November 6 1995.

References

Barrel, R.J., Morgan, J. and Pain, N. (1995), ‘Employment, inequality and flexibility: a comparative study of labour markets in North America and Europe’, presented at ESRC Macroeconomic Modelling Bureau Seminar, Warwick University.Google Scholar