Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gbm5v Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-22T12:45:58.705Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Real Wage Flexibility in the Enlarged Eu: Evidence From a Structural Var

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 March 2020

Jan Babecký*
Affiliation:
Czech National Bank
Kamil Dybczak*
Affiliation:
European Commission

Abstract

Membership in the monetary union imposes higher demands on factor market flexibility, since neither the exchange rate nor monetary policies can be used to deal with country-specific shocks. In this paper we assess the ability of the twelve new EU member states (NMS-12) to dampen the impact of shocks by means of macroeconomic wage flexibility. Following the structural VAR approach elaborated in Moore and Pentecost (2006), real wage flexibility is measured by the responsiveness of real wages to real (permanent) and nominal (temporary) shocks. The analysis of Moore and Pentecost (2006) is extended in three ways: by employing a new Eurostat labour cost data set covering 1996Q1 to 2007Q3, by using a large sample of 24 EU member countries, and by assessing the sensitivity of the results to the sample length. We find evidence of heterogeneous real wage adjustment across the new as well as the mature EU economies. Overall, the degree of real wage flexibility in the NMS-12 lies within the bounds of the corresponding values for the Euro Area ‘core’ and ‘peripheral’ member countries.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © 2008 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

This paper represents the authors' own views and should not be construed as representing those of the Czech National Bank or the European Commission. The authors are grateful to Giuseppe Bertola, Alex Cukierman, Kamil Galuščák, Dawn Holland, Theodora Kosma, Ana Lamo, Frank Smets and seminar participants at the ECB Wage Dynamics Network for discussion and helpful comments. However, all errors and omissions remain entirely the responsibility of the authors.

References

Arpaia, A. and Pichelmann, K. (2007), ‘Nominal and real wage flexibility in EMU’, International Economics and Economic Policy, 4, 3, pp. 299- 328.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Babetskii, I., Boone, L. and Maurel, M. (2004), ‘Exchange rate regimes and supply shock asymmetry: the case of the accession countries’, Journal of Comparative Economics, 32, 2, pp. 212–29.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bayoumi, T. and Eichengreen, B. (1996), ‘Operationalizing the theory of optimum currency areas’, CEPR Discussion Paper, No. 1484.Google Scholar
Blanchard, O.J. and Quah, D. (1989), ‘The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances’, American Economic Review, 79(4), pp. 655–73.Google Scholar
Blanchflower, D.G. (2001), ‘Unemployment, well-being and wage curves in Eastern Europe’, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 15, 4, pp. 364402.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boeri, T. and Brucker, H. (2005), ‘Why are Europeans so tough on migrants?Economic Policy, 44, pp. 630703.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boeri, T., Burda, M. and Köllõ, J. (1998), Mediating the Transition: Labour Markets in Central and Eastern Europe, London, Centre for Economic Policy Research.Google Scholar
Bulíř, A. and Hurník, J. (2008), ‘Why has inflation in the European Union stopped converging?’, Journal of Policy Modeling, 30, pp. 341–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dessy, O. (2005), ‘Nominal wage rigidity in Europe: estimates and institutional cause’, Departmental Working Papers 2005-09, Department of Economics, University of Milan, Italy.Google Scholar
Dickens, W.T., Götte, L., Groshen, L., Holden, S., Messina, J. and Mark, E. (2006), ‘How wages change - micro evidence from the International Wage Flexibility Project’, Working Paper Series 697, European Central Bank.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enders, W. (2004), Applied Econometric Time Series, Second Edition, New York, John Wiley & Sons.Google Scholar
European Commission (2003), ‘Wage flexibility and wage interdependence in EMU: some lessons from the early years’, in The EU Economy: 2003 Review, pp. 153200, DG ECFIN/391/03-EN, Brussels, November.Google Scholar
Fidrmuc, J. (2004), ‘Migration and regional adjustment to asymmetric shocks in transition economies’, Journal of Comparative Economics, 32, pp. 230247.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Flek, V. (ed.) (2004), Anatomy of the Czech Labour Market: From Overemployment to Under-employment in Ten Years? Czech National Bank, Prague.Google Scholar
Groshen, E.L. and Schweitzer, M.E. (1996), ‘Macro- and microeconomic consequences of wage rigidity’, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Working Paper, No. 9607.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gulde, A.M., Kahkonen, J., and Keller, P.M. (2000), ‘Pros and cons of currency board arrangements in the lead-up to EU accession and participation in the Euro Zone’, IMF Policy Discussion Papers, No. 1.Google Scholar
Hallett, H.A.J., Ma, Y., and Demertzis, M. (2000), ‘The single currency and labour market flexibility: a necessary partnership?Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 47, 2, pp. 141–55.Google Scholar
HM Treasury (2003), ‘EMU and labour market flexibility’ in UK Membership of the Single Currency: EMU Studies (June), http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/Google Scholar
Hyclak, T. and Johnes, G. (1992), ‘Wage flexibility and unemployment dynamics in regional labor markets’, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, Kalamazoo, Michigan.Google Scholar
Kandil, M. (1996), ‘Sticky wage or sticky price? Analysis of the cyclical behavior of the real wage’, Southern Economic Journal, 66, 2, pp. 197212.Google Scholar
Kopits, G. (1999), ‘Implications of EMU for exchange rate policy in Central and Eastern Europe’, IMF Working Paper, No. 9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mankiw, N.G., and Romer, D. (1991), New Keynesian Economics, 2 vols, MIT Press.Google Scholar
Moore, T. and Pentecost, E.J. (2006), ‘An investigation into the sources of fluctuation in real and nominal wage rates in eight EU countries: a structural VAR approach’, Journal of Comparative Economics, 34, 2, pp. 357–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Obstfeld, M. (1997), ‘Europe's gamble’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, pp. 241300.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oecd (2004), OECD Employment Outlook 2004, Paris, Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development.Google Scholar
Pentecost, E.J. and Sessions, J.G. (2002), ‘Changing labour market flexibility in the European Union’, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv- Review of World Economics, 138, 1, pp. 148–60.Google Scholar
Pissarides, C.A. (1997), ‘The need for labor-market flexibility in a European Economic and Monetary Union’, Swedish Economic Policy Review, 4, 2, pp. 513–45.Google Scholar