Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gvvz8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-19T07:59:18.310Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Prospects for the UK Economy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2020

Simon Kirby ,
Oriol Carreras ,
Jack Meaning  and
Rebecca Piggott
Simon Kirby*
Affiliation:
NIESR and Centre for Macroeconomics
Oriol Carreras
Affiliation:
NIESR
Jack Meaning
Affiliation:
NIESR
Rebecca Piggott
Affiliation:
NIESR
*
E-mail: [email protected]
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

The production of this forecast is supported by the Institute's Corporate Members: Bank of England, HM Treasury, Mizuho Research Institute Ltd, Office for National Statistics, Santander (UK) plc and by the members of the NiGEM users group.

Type
The UK Economy
Information
National Institute Economic Review , Volume 234 , November 2015 , pp. F41 - F66
Copyright
Copyright © 2015 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Thanks to Jessica Baker andf James Warren for helpful comments and suggestions. Unless otherwise stated, the source of all data reported in the figures and tables is the NiGEM database and forecast baseline. The UK forecast was completed on 27 October 2015.

References

Anderson, G. and Roberts-Sklar, M. (2105), ‘UK mortgage rates: born in the USA?’ Bank Underground, 4th June 2015, available at: http://bankunderground.co.uk/2015/08/04/uk-mortgage-rates-born-in-the-usa/.Google Scholar
Baker, S., Bloom, N. and Davis, S. (2015) ‘Measuring economic policy uncertainty’, published on http://www.policyuncertainty.com/index.htmlCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey 2015 Q3 available at http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/other/monetary/ccs/2015/q3.pdf.Google Scholar
Barnett, A., Batten, S., Chiu, A., Franklin, J. and Sebastia-Barriel, M. (2014) ‘The UK Productivity Puzzle’, Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Q2.Google Scholar
Bryson, A. and Forth, J. (2015), ‘The UK's Productivity Puzzle’, NIESR Discussion Paper No. 448 and CEP Occasional Paper No. 45.Google Scholar
FitzGerald, J. (2013), ‘The effect of re-domiciled Plcs on Irish output measures and the balance of payments’, ESRI QEC Research Note No. 2013/1/2.Google Scholar
CIPD Labour Market Outlook Summer 2015 available at https://www.cipd.co.uk/hr-resources/survey-reports/labour-market-outlook-summer-2015.aspx.Google Scholar
Kirby, S. (2015), ‘Commentary: the macroeconomic implications of the parties' fiscal plans’, National Institute Economic Review, 231, F4–11.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kirby, S. and Meaning, J. (2014), ‘Exchange rate pass-through: a view from a global structural model’, National Institute Economic Review, 230, pp. F59–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kirby, S. and Meaning, J. (2015, ‘The impacts of the Bank of England's asset purchases on the public finances’, National Institute Economic Review, 232, pp. F73–8.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McCafferty, I (2015) ‘UK business finance since the crisis – moving to a new normal?’ Speech given at Bloomberg, London. Available at http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Pages/speeches/2015/851.aspx.Google Scholar
OECD (2015), OECD Interim Economic Outlook, September.Google Scholar
Pope, N. (2013), ‘Public service productivity estimates total public services 2010’, available at http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/psa/public-sector-productivity-estimates–total-public-sector/2010/index.html.Google Scholar
Riley, R., Rosazza Bondibene, C. and Young, G. (2015), ‘The UK Productivity Puzzle 2008–2013: Evidence from British Businesses’, NIESR discussion paper no. 450.Google Scholar