Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-t5tsf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-16T10:21:25.819Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The New Art of Central Banking

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2020

Jagjit S. Chadha*
Affiliation:
Professor of Economics, University of Kent; Visiting Professor at the Faculty of Economics at the University of Cambridge; The Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce at Gresham College, London

Abstract

This article outlines some of the intellectual lessons learnt by central bankers during the financial crisis. The key question is whether a broader range of policy options than simple inflation targeting has to be considered in order to limit instability. Interactions with overseas pools of savings, government debt markets and financial risk have all conspired to complicate significantly the task of monetary policymaking. These developments do not mean that the target for inflation has to be modified or dropped but that setting policy will be a more complex task and require more explanation than it has in the recent past.

Type
Research Articles
Copyright
Copyright © 2015 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

This article summarises elements of the Westminster Economics Lecture given in March 2014 at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, which laid out an agenda for UK monetary policy as we recover from the financial crisis. Some of this article also draws on my Gresham Lecture given in June 2015. I am grateful for comments and conversations with Francis Breedon, Germana Corrado, Luisa Corrado, Mike Dicks, Monique Ebell, Sean Holly, Jack Meaning, James Warren and Alex Waters and any remaining errors are my own.

References

Allen, F. and Gale, D. (2007), Understanding Financial Crises, Clarendon Lectures in Finance, Oxford, Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Allen, W. (2014), Monetary Policy and Financial Repression in Britain, 1951–59, Palgrave Macmillan.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barwell, R. and Chadha, J.S. (2013), ‘Complete forward guidance’, in den Haan, W. (ed.), Forward Guidance, VoxEU E-book.Google Scholar
Bean, C.R. (2004), ‘Asset prices, financial instability, and monetary policy’, American Economic Review, Paper and Proceedings, 94(2), pp.1418.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernanke, B., Reinhart, V. and Sack, B. (2004), ‘Monetary policy alternatives at the zero bound: an empirical assessment’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 35, 2, pp. 1100.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caglar, E., Chadha, J.S., Meaning, J., Warren, J and Waters, A. (2015), ‘Central bank balance sheet policies: three views from the DSGE literature’ in Chadha, J.S. and Holly, S. (eds), Interest Rates, Prices and Liquidity, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Chadha, J.S., Corrado, G. and Corrado, L. (2013), ‘Stabilisation policy in a model of consumption, housing collateral and bank lending’, Studies in Economics 1316, School of Economics, University of Kent.Google Scholar
Chadha, J.S., Chrystal, A., Pearlman, J., Smith, P.N. and Wright, S. (eds) (2016), The UK Economy in the Long Expansion and its Aftermath, (forthcoming), Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Chadha, J.S. and Schellekens, P. (1999), ‘Monetary policy loss functions: two cheers for the quadratic’, Bank of England working paper no. 101.Google Scholar
Gagnon, J., Raskin, M., Remache, J. and Sack, B. (2010), ‘Large-scale asset purchases by the Federal Reserve: did they work?’, Economic Policy Review, May, pp. 4159.Google Scholar
Gale, D. (1982), Money in Equilibrium, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Gale, D. (2015), ‘Liquidity and monetary policy’, in Chadha, J.S. and Holly, S. (eds), Interest Rates, Prices and Liquidity, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Goodhart, C.A.E. (2008), The Future of Finance – And the Theory That Underpins It, LondonSchool of Economics (chapter 5).Google Scholar
Hall, R. (2009), ‘The high sensitivity of economic activity to financial frictions’, NBER mimeo.Google Scholar
Hawtrey, R.G. (1932), The Art of Central Banking, Longmans, Green and Company.Google Scholar
Joyce, M., Lasaosa, A., Stevens, I. and Tong, M. (2010), ‘The financial market impact of quantitative easing’, Bank of England Working Paper No. 393, pp. 144.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krishnamurthy, A. and Vissing-Jorgensen, A. (2011), ‘The effects of quantitative easing on long-term interest rate’, Northwestern University Working Paper, pp. 147.Google Scholar
Lawson, N. (1992), The View from No.11: Memoirs of a Tory Radical, Bantam Press.Google Scholar
Meier, A. (2009), ‘Panacea, curse, or nonevent: unconventional monetary policy in the United Kingdom’, IMF Working Paper No. 09/163, pp. 148.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Modigliani, F. and Sutch, R. (1966), ‘Innovations in interest rate policy’, American Economic Review, 52, pp. 178–97.Google Scholar
Nordhaus, W.D. (1994), ‘Marching to different drummers: coordination and independence in monetary and fiscal policies’, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers No. 1067.Google Scholar
Svensson, L.E.O. (2009), ‘Flexible inflation targeting – lessons from the financial crisis’, comments at Netherlands Bank, Amsterdam 21 September.Google Scholar
Swanson, E. (2011), ‘Let's twist again: a high-frequency event-study analysis of Operation Twist and its implications for QE2’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ugai, H. (2007), ‘Effects of the quantitative easing policy: a survey of empirical analyses’, Monetary and Economic Studies, 25, 1, pp. 148, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.Google Scholar