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A Financial Perspective on the UK Current Account Deficit

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2020

Philip R. Lane*
Affiliation:
Trinity College Dublin and CEPR

Abstract

A drop in net FDI investment income has been the primary factor in the recent deterioration in the measured UK current account balance, with the trade balance relatively stable. We argue that financial engineering (with little net impact on the underlying international investment position for the UK) may have contributed to the decline in net FDI investment income, such that the headline current account balance cannot be interpreted as a sufficient indicator of the state of the UK's external position. A more granular analysis of cross-border financial linkages than is possible with currently-published data would be required in order to provide a comprehensive assessment of external sustainability.

Type
The UK Economy
Copyright
Copyright © 2015 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

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Footnotes

This article is based on research funded by the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) and the Irish Research Council. I thank Katharina Bergant and Yannick Timmer for helpful research assistance.

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