Impact of horizontal model resolution and orography on the simulation of a western disturbance and its associated precipitation

Abstract

A nonhydrostatic version of Pennsylvania State University/National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU/NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5) is used to study the effects of the horizontal model resolution and orography while simulating an active western disturbance (WD) that affected northwest India from 21 to 25 January 1999. Two numerical experiments are conducted with six combinations of two factors: horizontal model resolution and topography. National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysed data are used for the initial and boundary conditions. Simulation results indicate that the distribution and the rate of simulated precipitation due to a WD over northwest India is highly sensitive to the horizontal model resolution and topography. The model with finer resolution (30 km) is better able to estimate effects of mesoscale forcing on precipitation over the selected domain. The amount of precipitation simulated over the coarse domain is much less than the observed precipitation owing to the model's unrealistic representation of orographic effects and mesoscale forcing. Simulated terrain, vertical velocity, wind and streamline at different horizontal model resolutions are presented. The detailed structure and distribution of wind speed are simulated in the finer domain. Simulated vertical velocity and precipitation are less in the second experiment when a flat topography is used across the domain, which indicates that topography plays a significant role in modulating the WD. Sensitivity of the horizontal model resolution for precipitation is assessed and it is found that the finer domain of the model simulation gives better results.