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Modeling of the Socio-Economic Potential of the SiberianRegions with Consideration for their Economic-GeographicalPosition in the National Economic Systemof the Russian Federation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 October 2009

A. V. Myadzelets
A. V. Myadzelets*
Affiliation:
V.B. Sochava Institute of Geography SB RAS, Irkutsk
*
[email protected]
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Abstract

This paper is concerned with the methods of mathematical modeling of thesocio-economicdevelopment of regions. The objective of this study is to analyze and assess thesocio-economicpotential of the territory having regard to its individual socio-economic andeconomic-geographicalcharacteristics. The territory's individual characteristics, in turn, aretreated as invariantconditions of its development. The study territory includes regions and federaldistricts of theRussian Federation.
An assessment of the regions' development potential is made from the perspectiveof analyzingtheir current socio-economic situation for the time interval 1999-2002 takenfrom official statisticalhandbooks. To accomplish this, a special-purpose mathematical model is developedin the formof a hierarchical fractal indicative function relating the generalized indicatorcharacterizing theregions' development potential, or the “indicated” (that which is indicatedversus indicator), to theparticular socio-economic characteristics of the territory, or the developmentindicators of the localeconomy, via the model coefficients which is termed regulators.
As a result, the economic-mathematical model is generated in the form of anindicative functioncharacterizing the current socio-economic situation of the regions and federaldistricts of Russiaon different levels of economic organization (from local and regional tonational). It reflects appropriatelyand dramatically the specific character of the region's socio-economic potentialby theexample of the connection of investments with the volumes of production. Themodel permitsthe position of the regions and districts to be identified in the system ofinter-regional and nationalsocio-economic links and economic-geographical conditions of development. Theresultsderived from modeling the socio-economic development potential of Russia'sregions have beenused to construct the control surface of the country's economy characterizingthe changes in the development potential of the federal districts toward itsdecrease.

Keywords

socio-economic developmentpotentialinvestmentsvolume ofproductioninvariant economic-geographical conditions of developmentindicatorregulatorthe indicatedindicativefunctionfunctional complex
Type
Research Article
Information
Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena , Volume 4 , Issue 5: Modelling of geographical processes and natural resources , 2009 , pp. 158 - 175
Copyright
© EDP Sciences, 2009

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