Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gxg78 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T08:35:55.288Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

MIGRATION, CONGESTION, AND GROWTH

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 June 2018

Leonid V. Azarnert*
Affiliation:
National Research University Higher School of Economics
*
Address correspondence to: Leonid V. Azarnert, Department of Economics, National Research University Higher School of Economics, 3A Kantemirovskaya St., St Petersburg, 194100, Russia; e-mail: [email protected].

Abstract

This article analyzes the effect of migration from a less advanced economy to a more advanced economy on economic growth. The analysis is performed in a two-country growth model with endogenous fertility, in which congestion diseconomies are incorporated. The model shows that out-migration increases fertility and reduces human capital in the source economy. At the same time, in-migration reduces fertility and can increase or decrease the average level of human capital in the host economy. I show how migration affects the inter-temporal evolution of human capital in the world economy. I also demonstrate that a tax imposed on immigrants in the host economy can increase human capital accumulation in the receiving and sending economies and the world as a whole.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2018 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

I would like to thank Oded Galor, Daniel Tsiddon and two anonymous referees for valuable suggestions. I also thank participants at the 8th FIW research conference “International Economics” (Vienna 2015), the 2016 CEUS workshop on International Trade, Labor Markets and Finance in Europe (Vallendar/Koblenz) and EconWorld 2017 (Rome) for their comments.

References

REFERENCES

Accetturo, Antonio, Francesco, Maneresi, Sauro, Mocetti, and Elisabetta, Olivieri (2014) Don't stay to close to me: The urban impact of immigration. Regional Science and Urban Economics 45, 4556.Google Scholar
Antman, Francisca M. (2011) The intergenerational effect of parental migration on schooling and work: What can we learn from children's time allocations? Journal of Development Economics 96, 200208.Google Scholar
Ashraf, Quamrul, Oded, Galor, and Omer, Ozak (2010) Isolation and development. Journal of European Economic Association 8, 401412.Google Scholar
Azarnert, Leonid V. (2004) Redistribution, fertility, and growth: The effect of the opportunities abroad. European Economic Review 48, 785795.Google Scholar
Azarnert, Leonid V. (2008) Foreign aid, fertility and human capital accumulation. Economica 75, 766781.Google Scholar
Azarnert, Leonid V. (2009) Abortion and human capital accumulation: A contribution to the understanding of the gender gap in education. Scottish Journal of Political Economy 56, 559579.Google Scholar
Azarnert, Leonid V. (2010a) Free education, fertility and human capital accumulation. Journal of Population Economics 23, 449468.Google Scholar
Azarnert, Leonid V. (2010b) Après nous le déluge: Fertility and the intensity of struggle against immigration. Journal of Population Economics 23, 13391349.Google Scholar
Azarnert, Leonid V. (2010c) Juvenile imprisonment and human capital investment. Journal of Economic Inequality 8, 2333.Google Scholar
Azarnert, Leonid V. (2010d) Is skilled immigration always good for growth in the receiving economy? Economics Letters 108, 116118.Google Scholar
Azarnert, Leonid V. (2012) Guest-worker migration, human capital and fertility. Review of Development Economics 16, 318330.Google Scholar
Azarnert, Leonid V. (2016) Transportation costs and the great divergence. Macroeconomic Dynamics 20, 214228.Google Scholar
Barro Robert, J. and Sala-i-Martin, Xavier (1992) Public finance in models of economic growth. Review of Economic Studies 59, 645661.Google Scholar
Bartel, Ann P. (1989) Where do the new U.S. immigrants live?. Journal of Labor Economics 7, 371391.Google Scholar
Bauer, Thomas K., Lofstrom, Magnus, and Zimmermann, Klaus F. (2000) Immigration policy, assimilation of immigrants and natives' sentiments toward immigrants: Evidence from 12 OECD-countries. Swedish Economic Policy Review 7, 1153.Google Scholar
Bayer, Christia and Juessen, Falko (2012) On the dynamics of interstate migration: Migration costs and self-selection. Review of Economic Dynamics 15, 377401.Google Scholar
Beine, Michel, Docquier, Frederic, and Rapoport, Hillel (2001) Brain drain and economic growth: Theory and evidence. Journal of Development Economics 64, 275289.Google Scholar
Beine, Michel, Docquier, Frederic, and Rapoport, Hillel (2008) Brain drain and human capital formation in developing countries: Winners and losers. Economic Journal 118, 631652.Google Scholar
Betts, Julian R. and Fairlie, Robert W. (2003) Does immigration induce “Native Flight” from public schools into private schools? Journal of Public Economics 87, 9871012.Google Scholar
Bhagwati, Jagdish and Wilson, John Douglas (1989) Income Taxation and International Mobility. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Bianchi, Milo, Buonanno, Paolo, and Pinotti, Paolo (2012) Do immigrants cause crime? Journal of European Economic Association 10, 13181347.Google Scholar
Bisin, Alberto and Verdier, Thierry (2011) The economics of cultural transmission and socialization. In Benhabib, Jess, Alberto, Bisin A., and Jackson, Matthew O. (eds.), Handbook of Social Economics, vol. 1A, pp. 333416. North Holland: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Borissov, Kirill (2016) The rich and the poor in a simple model of growth and distribution. Macroeconomic Dynamics 20, 19341952.Google Scholar
Borjas, George J. (1992) Ethnic capital and intergenerational mobility. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 123150.Google Scholar
Borjas, George J. (1995) Ethnicity, neighborhoods, and human-capital externality. American Economic Review 84, 365390.Google Scholar
Borjas, George J. (1998) To ghetto or not to ghetto? Ethnicity and residential segregation. Journal of Urban Economics 44, 228253.Google Scholar
Borjas, George J. (1999) Heaven's Door – Immigration Policy and the American Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Borjas, George J. (2015) Immigration and globalization: A review essay. Journal of Economic Literature 53, 961974.Google Scholar
Bruckner, Jan K. (1981) Congested public goods:The case of fire protection. Journal of Public Economics 15, 4558.Google Scholar
Chen, Hung-Ju (2006) International migration and economic growth: A source country perspective. Journal of Population Economics 19, 725748.Google Scholar
Dahan, Momi and Tsiddon, Daniel (1998) Demographic transition, income distribution and economic growth. Journal of Economic Growth 3, 2952.Google Scholar
Dahmann, Nicholas, Wolch, Jennifer, Joassart-Marcelli, Pascale, Reynolds, Kim, and Jerrett, Michael (2010) The active city? Disparities in the provision of urban recreation resources. Health & Place 16, 431445.Google Scholar
de Brauw, Alan and Giles, John (2017) Migrant opportunity and the educational attainment in rural China. Journal of Human Resources 52, 272311.Google Scholar
de la Croix, David and Docquier, Frederic (2012) Do brain drain and poverty result from coordination failures?. Journal of Economic Growth 17, 126.Google Scholar
de la Croix, David and Doepke, Matthias (2003) Inequality and growth: Why differential fertility matters. American Economic Review 93, 10911113.Google Scholar
Delogu, Marco, Docquier, Frederic, and Machado, Joel (2018) Globalizing labor and the world economy: The role of human capital. Journal of Economic Growth 23 (2), 223258.Google Scholar
Derlet, Robert W. and Richards, Johm R. (2000) Overcrowding in the nation's emergency departments: Complex causes and disturbing. Annals of Emergency Medicine 35, 6367.Google Scholar
Desmet, Klaus and Rossi-Hansberg, Esteban (2015) On the spatial economic impact of global warming. Journal of Urban Economics 88, 1637.Google Scholar
Docquier, Frederc, Machado, Joel, and Sekkat, Khalid (2015) Efficiency gains from liberalizing labor mobility. Scandinavian Journal of Economics 117, 303346.Google Scholar
Docquier, Frederic and Rapoport, Hillel (2012) Globalization, brain drain and development. Journal of Economic Literature 50, 681730.Google Scholar
Durand, Jorge, Massey, Douglas S., and Zenteno, Rene M. (2001) Mexican immigration to the United States: Continuities and changes. Latin American Research Review 36, 107127.Google Scholar
Duranton, Gilles and Puga, Diego (2004) Micro-foundation of urban agglomeration economies. In Vernon, Henderson J. and Thisse, Jacques-Francois (eds.), Handbook of Urban and Regional Economics, vol. 4, pp. 20652118. North Holland, Amsterdam: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Dustmann, Christian and Preston, Jan I. (2006) Is immigration good or bad for the economy? Analysis of attitudinal responses. Research in Labor Economics 24, 334.Google Scholar
Dustmann, Christian and Preston, Jan I. (2007) Racial and economic factors in attitudes to immigration. B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy 7 (Advances), Article 62.Google Scholar
Edin, Per-Anders, Fredriksson, Peter, and Aslund, Olof (2003) Ethnic enclaves and economic success of immigrants – Evidence from a natural experiment. Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, 329357.Google Scholar
Fan, C. Simon and Stark, Oded (2007) International migration and “educated unemployment”. Journal of Development Economics 83, 7687.Google Scholar
Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti, Pessoa, Samuel, and Dos Santos, Marcelo Rodrigues (2016) Globalization and the industrial revolution. Macroeconomic Dynamics 20, 643660.Google Scholar
Fujita, Masahisa (1989) Urban Economic Theory: Land use and City Size. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Galor, Oded (2011) Unified Growth Theory. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Galor, Oded (2012) The demographic transition: Causes and consequences. Cleometrica 6, 128.Google Scholar
Galor, Oded and Moav, Omer (2000) Ability biased technological transition, wage inequality and economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics 115, 469498.Google Scholar
Galor, Oded and Moav, Omer (2002) Natural selection and the origin of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics 117, 11331191.Google Scholar
Galor, Oded and Mountford, Andrew (2006) Trade and the great divergence: The family connection. American Economic Review 96, 229303.Google Scholar
Galor, Oded and Mountford, Andrew (2008) Trading population for productivity: Theory and evidence. Review of Economic Studies 75, 11431179.Google Scholar
Galor, Oded and Tsiddon, Daniel (1997) The distribution of human capital and economic growth. Journal of Economic Growth 2, 93124.Google Scholar
Gang, Ira N., Rivera-Batiz, Francisco L., and Yun, Myeong-Su (2002) Economic Stain, Ethnic Concentration and Attitudes Toward Foreigners in European Union. IZA discussion paper no. 578.Google Scholar
Hanson, Gordon H. (2006) Illegal migration from Mexico to the United States. Journal of Economic Literature 44, 869924.Google Scholar
Henderson, J. Vernon (2002) Urban primacy, external costs, and quality of life. Resource and Energy Economics 24, 95106.Google Scholar
Henderson, J. Vernon (2010) Cities and development. Journal of Regional Science 50, 515540.Google Scholar
Henderson, J. Vernon and Wang, Hyoung Gun (2005) Aspects of the rural-urban transformation of countries. Journal of Economic Geography 5, 2342.Google Scholar
Henderson, J. Vernon and Venables, Anthony J. (2009) The dynamics of city formation. Review of Economic Dynamics 12, 233254.Google Scholar
Jepsen, Christopher and Rivkin, Steven (2009) Class size reduction and student achievement. Journal of Human Resources 44, 223250.Google Scholar
Kandel, William and Kao, Grace (2001) The impact of temporary labor migration on Mexican children's educational aspirations and performance. International Migration Review 35, 12051231.Google Scholar
Kanemoto, Yoshitsugu (1980) Theories of Urban Externalities. North Holland: Amsterdam.Google Scholar
Khraiche, Maroula (2015) A macroeconomic analysis of guest worker permits. Macroeconomic Dynamics 19, 189220.Google Scholar
Kiguchi, Takehiro and Mountford, Andrew (2017) Immigration and unemployment: A macroeconomic approach. Macroeconomic Dynamics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100517000244Google Scholar
Ladd, Helen F. (1994) Fiscal impacts of local population growth: A conceptual and empirical analysis. Regional Science and Urban Economics 24, 661686.Google Scholar
Malmberg, Bo (2012) Fertility cycles, age structure and housing demand. Scottish Journal of Political Economy 59, 467482.Google Scholar
McCann, Philip and Shefer, Daniel (2004) Location, agglomeration and infrastructure. Papers in Regional Science 83, 177196.Google Scholar
McHale, John (2009) Taxation and skilled Indian migration to the United States: Revisiting the Bhagwati tax. In Bhagwati, Jagdish N. and Hanson, Gordon H. (eds.) Skilled Immigration: Problems, Prospects and Policies. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
McKenzie, David and Rapoport, Hillel (2010) Self-selection patterns in Mexico – U.S. migration: The role of migration networks. Review of Economics and Statistics 92, 811821.Google Scholar
McKenzie, David and Rapoport, Hillel (2011) Can migration reduce educational attainment? Evidence from Mexico. Journal of Population Economics 24, 13131358.Google Scholar
Miguet, Florence (2008) Voting about immigration policy: What does the Swiss experience tell us?. European Journal of Political Economy 24, 628641.Google Scholar
Miyagiwa, Kaz (1991) Scale economies in education and the brain drain problem. International Economic Review 32, 743759.Google Scholar
Moav, Omer (2005) Cheap children and the persistence of poverty. Economic Journal 115, 88110.Google Scholar
Morand, Olivier F. (1999) Endogenous fertility, income distribution, and growth. Journal of Economic Growth 4, 331349.Google Scholar
Mountford, Andrew (1997) Can a brain drain be good for growth in the source economy? Journal of Development Economics 53, 287303.Google Scholar
Mountford, Andrew and Rapoport, Hillel (2011) The brain drain and the world distribution of income. Journal of Development Economics 95, 417.Google Scholar
Murphy, Kevin M., Simon, Curtis J., and Tamura, Robert (2008) Fertility decline, baby boom, and economic growth. Journal of Human Capital 2, 262302.Google Scholar
O'Rourke, Kevin H. and Sinnott, Richard (2006) The determinants of individual attitudes toward immigration. European Journal of Political Economy 22, 838861.Google Scholar
Richardson, Drew B. and Mountain, David (2009) Myths versus facts in emergency department overcrowding and hospital access block. Medical Journal of Australia 190, 369374.Google Scholar
Richardson, Harry W. (1987) The costs of urbanization: A four country comparison. Economic Development and Cultural Change 33, 561580.Google Scholar
Saiz, Albert (2007) Immigration and housing rents in American cities. Journal of Urban Economics 61, 345371.Google Scholar
Saiz, Albert and Wachter, Susan (2011) Immigration and the Neighborhood. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 3, 169188.Google Scholar
Sato, Yasuhiro (2007) Economic geography, fertility and migration. Journal of Urban Economics 61, 372387.Google Scholar
Sato, Yasuhiro and Yamamoto, Kazuhiro (2005) Population concentration, urbanization, and demographic transition. Journal of Urban Economics 58, 4561.Google Scholar
Scheve, Kenneth F. and Slaughter, Matthew J. (2001) Labor market competition and individual preferences over immigration policy. Review of Economics and Statistics 83, 133145.Google Scholar
Schull, Michael J., Szalai, John-Paul, Schwartz, Brian, and Redelmeier, Donald A. (2001) Emergency department overcrowding following systematic hospital restructuring: Trends at twenty hospital over ten years. American Emergency Medicine 8, 10371043.Google Scholar
Schultz, Christian and Sjostrom, Tomas (2001) Local public goods, debt and migration. Journal of Public Economics 80, 313337.Google Scholar
Shiff, Maurice (2005) Brain gain: Claims about its size and impact on welfare and growth are greatly exaggerated. In Caglar, Ozden and Shiff, Maurice (eds.) International Migration, Remittances and Brain Drain, pp. 201225. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
Simon, Curtis J. and Tamura, Robert (2009) Do higher rents discourage fertility? Evidence from U.S. cites, 1940–2000. Regional Science and Urban Economics 39, 3342.Google Scholar
Spenkuch, Jorg L. (2014) Understanding the impact of immigration on crime. American Law and Economics Review 16, 177219.Google Scholar
Sprivulis, Peter C., Da Silva, Julie-Ann, Jacobs, Ian G., Frazer, Amanda R.L., and Jelinek, George A. (2006) The association between hospital overcrowding and mortality among patients admitted via Western Australian emergency departments. Medical Journal of Australia 184, 208212.Google Scholar
Stark, Oded (1991) The Migration of Labor. Oxford, UK: Blackwell.Google Scholar
Stark, Oded, Helmenstein, Christian, and Prskawetz, Alexia (1998) Human capital depletion, human capital formation, and migration: A blessing or a “curse”? Economics Letters 60, 363367.Google Scholar
Stark, Oded and Wang, Yong (2002) Inducing human capital formation: Migration as a substitution for subsidies. Journal of Public Economics 86, 2946.Google Scholar
Strulick, Holger and Weisdorf, Jacob (2014) How child costs and survival shaped the industrial revolution and the demographic transition. Macroeconomic Dynamics 18, 114144.Google Scholar
Tabuchi, Takaktoshi (1998) Urban agglomeration and dispersion: A synthesis of Alonso and Krugman. Journal of Urban Economics 44, 333351.Google Scholar
Tamura, Robert (1991) Income convergence in an endogenous growth model. Journal of Political Economy 99, 522540.Google Scholar
Tamura, Robert (1996) From decay to growth: A demographic transition to economic growth. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 20, 12371261.Google Scholar
Trzeciak, Stephen and Rivers, Emanuel P. (2003) Emergency department overcrowding in the United States: An emerging threat to patient safety and public health. Emergency Medicine Journal 20, 402405.Google Scholar
Vasilakis, Chrisovalantis (2017) Fighting poverty and child malnutrition: On the design of foreign aid policies. Macroeconomic Dynamics 21, 19351956.Google Scholar
Venables, Anthony J. (2005) Spatial disparities in developing countries: Cities, regions, and international trade. Journal of Economic Geography 5, 321.Google Scholar
Viaene, Jean-Marie and Zilcha, Itzhak (2002) Capital market integration, growth and income distribution. European Economic Review 46, 301327.Google Scholar
Zhang, Jie (2002) Urbanization, population transition, and growth. Oxford Economic Papers 54, 91117.Google Scholar