Published online by Cambridge University Press: 09 June 2017
This paper proposes a new theoretical framework aimed at understanding the link between technological change, skill premium, and employment. We build an endogenous growth model of directed technological change with vertical research and development (R&D) in which low-skilled workers might be organized in a trade union. This union can act as a monopoly seller of labor and decide unilaterally the low-skilled wage, or as a managerial union that bargains wage and employment with the employers' federation, i.e., firms. Our results suggest that (i) the impacts of trade unions on technological-bias and on the level of (un)employment crucially depend on their type and preferences; and (ii) trade unions can actually increase low-skilled wages and employment if they have some bargaining power and are employment-oriented. Furthermore, our framework provides some highlights to explain the relationship between wage dispersion and the deunionization process that occurred in the United Kingdom and the United States during the 1980s.
We particularly thank Philippe Aghion for valuable comments and suggestions. We also thank Ana Paula Ribeiro for her contributions on the labor market framework, Natércia Fortuna for her help with the econometric analysis, and Pedro Gil for his pertinent remarks regarding the general framework of the model. This research has been financed by Portuguese Public Funds through FCT (Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia) in the framework of the project PEst-OE/EGE/UI4105/2014. António Neto would also like to acknowledge FCT for the financial support through the doctoral grant SFRH/BD/80734/2011. CEFAGE-UBI has financial support from FCT and FEDER/COMPETE, through grant UID/ECO/04007/2013 (POCI-01-0145-FEDER-007659).