Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-25T04:46:33.735Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

THE ROLE OF EDUCATION SIGNALING IN EXPLAINING THE GROWTH OF THE COLLEGE WAGE PREMIUM

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 June 2017

Yu Zheng*
Affiliation:
City University of Hong Kong
*
Address correspondence to: Yu Zheng, Department of Economics and Finance, City University of Hong Kong, 83 Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon Tong, Kowloon, Hong Kong; e-mail: [email protected].

Abstract

This paper incorporates an education signaling mechanism into a dynamic model of production and asks if “higher education as a signal” helps explain the simultaneous increase in the supply and price of skilled relative to unskilled labor in the United States since 1980. The key mechanism is that if college degrees serve as a signal of unobservable talent and talent is productive at the workplace, then improved access to college will enable a higher fraction of the population to signal talent by completing college, resulting in degrees being a better signal about talent and a widening skill premium. When I assess the contribution of signaling in the model calibrated to the US economy from 1980 to 2003, I find that about 10% of the increase in the skill premium can be attributed to the signaling mechanism, after adjusting for the potential decline in the quality of college graduates.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

I thank Sumru Altug, Michele Boldrin, Ping Wang, an associate editor and two anonymous referees for their helpful comments. Financial support from the City University of Hong Kong Start-up Grant (No. 7200264) is gratefully acknowledged.

References

REFERENCES

Acemoglu, D. (1998) Why do new technologies complement skills? Directed technical change and wage inequality. Quaterly Journal of Economics 113, 10551089.Google Scholar
Antras, P. (2004) Is the U.S. aggregate production function Cobb-Douglas? New estimates of the elasticity of substitution. Contributions to Macroeconomics 4, 11611162.Google Scholar
Autor, D. H., Katz, L. F., and Kearney, M. S. (2008) Trends in U.S. wage inequality: Revising the revisionists. Review of Economics and Statistics 90 (2), 300323.Google Scholar
Balart, P. (2016) The increase in college premium and the decline in low-skill wages: A signaling story. Journal of Public Economic Theory 18 (3), 363384.Google Scholar
Barro, R. J. (1974) Are government bonds net wealth? Journal of Political Economy 82 (6), 10951117.Google Scholar
Baumol, W. J. and Blackman, S. A. B. (1995) How to think about rising college costs. Planning for Higher Education 23 (4), 17.Google Scholar
Bedard, K. (2001) Human capital versus signaling models: University access and high school dropouts. Journal of Political Economy 109 (4), 749775.Google Scholar
Blackburn, M. L., Bloom, D. E., and Freeman, R. B. (1990) The declining economic position of less skilled American men. In Burtless, G. (ed.), A Future of Lousy Jobs? The Changing Structure of U.S. Wages. Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Bound, J. and Johnson, G. (1992) Changes in the structure of wages in the 1980's: An evaluation of alternative explanations. American Economics Review 82 (3), 371392.Google Scholar
Cameron, S. V. and Heckman, J. J. (2001) The dynamics of educational attainment for black, Hispanic, and white males. Journal of Political Economy 109 (3), 455499.Google Scholar
Card, D. and DiNardo, J. E. (2002) Skill-biased technological change and rising wage inequality: Some problems and puzzles. Journal of Labor Economics 20 (4), 733783.Google Scholar
Card, D. and Lemieux, T. (2001) Can falling supply explain the rising return to college for younger men? A cohort-based analysis. Quarterly Journal of Economics 116 (2), 705746.Google Scholar
Carneiro, P. and Heckman, J. J. (2002) The evidence on credit constraints in post-secondary schooling. Economic Journal 112 (482), 705734.Google Scholar
Carneiro, P. and Lee, S. (2011) Trends in quality-adjusted skill premia in the United States, 1960–2000. American Economic Review 101 (6), 23092349.Google Scholar
Eckstein, Z. and Nagypal, E. (2004) The evolution of U.S. earnings inequality: 1961–2002. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review 28 (2), 1029.Google Scholar
Fang, H. (2006) Disentangling the college wage premium: Estimating a model with endogenous education choices. International Economic Review 47 (4), 11511185.Google Scholar
Glomm, G. and Ravikumar, B. (1992) Public versus private investment in human capital: Endogenous growth and income inequality. Journal of Political Economy 100 (4), 818834.Google Scholar
Guvenen, F. and Kuruscu, B. (2012) Understanding the evolution of the US wage distribution: A theoretical analysis. Journal of the European Economic Association 10 (3), 482517.Google Scholar
He, H. (2012) What drives the skill premium: Technological change or demographic variation. European Economic Review 56 (8), 15461572.Google Scholar
He, H. and Liu, Z. (2008) Investment-specific technological change, skill accumulation, and wage inequality. Review of Economic Dynamics 11 (2), 314334.Google Scholar
Hendel, I., Shapiro, J., and Willen, P. (2005) Educational opportunity and income inequality. Journal of Public Economics 89 (5–6), 841870.Google Scholar
Hendricks, L. and Schoellman, T. (2014) Student abilities during the expansion of US education. Journal of Monetary Economics 63, 1936.Google Scholar
Juhn, C., Kim, D. I., and Vella, F. (2005) The expansion of college education in the United States: Is there evidence of declining cohort quality? Economic Inquiry 43 (2), 303315.Google Scholar
Katz, L. F. and Murphy, K. M. (1992) Changes in relative wages, 1963–1987: Supply and demand factors. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107 (1), 3578.Google Scholar
Krusell, P., Ohanian, L. E., Rios-Rull, J.-V., and Violante, G. L. (2000) Capital-skill complementarity and inequality: A macroeconomic analysis. Econometrica 68 (5), 10291053.Google Scholar
Lochner, L. and Monge-Naranjo, A. (2011) The nature of credit constraints and human capital. American Economic Review 101, 24872529.Google Scholar
Lochner, L. and Monge-Naranjo, A. (2012) Credit constraints in education. Annual Review of Economics 4 (1), 225256.Google Scholar
Maoz, Y. D. and Moav, O. (2004) Social stratification, capital-skill complementarity, and the nonmonotonic evolution of the education premium. Macroeconomic Dynamics 8, 295309.Google Scholar
McAdam, P. and Willman, A. (2017) Unraveling the skill premium. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 130. doi:10.1017/S1365100516000547.Google Scholar
Riley, J. G. (2001) Silver signals: Twenty-five years of screening and signaling. Journal of Economic Literature 39 (2), 432478.Google Scholar
Spence, M. (1973) Job market signaling. Quarterly Journal of Economics 87 (3), 355374.Google Scholar
Stiglitz, J. E. (1975) The theory of ‘screening’, education, and the distribution of income. American Economic Review 65 (3), 283300.Google Scholar
Taber, C. R. (2001) The rising college premium in the eighties: Return to college or return to unobserved ability? The Review of Economic Studies 68 (3), 665691.Google Scholar