Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-g8jcs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-03T00:24:41.706Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

ON SUNSPOTS, HABITS, AND MONETARY FACTS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 October 2007

STÉPHANE AURAY
Affiliation:
Université de Lille 3 and CIRPÉE
PATRICK FÈVE
Affiliation:
University of Toulouse and Banque de France

Abstract

This paper proposes a sunspot-based mechanism that quantitatively accounts for the main monetary facts. In particular, we propose a cash-in-advance model with habit persistence and local durability in consumption decisions. In this context, when habit persistence is strong enough, there is real indeterminacy. We show that when sunspots positively correlate with money injections, the model generates a persistent response of inflation, a hump-shaped response of output, and the price puzzle. We then apply the model to the U.S data and we show that it performs well in reproducing the monetary transmission mechanism and the price puzzle in the short run.

Type
ARTICLES
Copyright
© 2007 Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abel Andrew B. 1990 Asset prices under habit Formation and catching up with the Joneses. American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings 80, 3842.Google Scholar
Allais Olivier 2004 Local substitution and habit persistence: Matching the moments of the equity premium and the risk-free rate. Review of Economic Dynamics 7, 265296.Google Scholar
Altig David, Lawrence Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, and Jesper Linde 2005 Firms-Specific Capital, Nominal Rigidities and the Business Cycle. NBER working paper 11034.Google Scholar
Auray Stéphane, Fabrice Collard, and Patrick Fève 2005 Habit persistence, money growth rule and real indeterminacy. Review of Economic Dynamics 8, 4867.Google Scholar
Benhabib Jess and Robert E. A. Farmer 1996 Indeterminacy and sector specific externalities. Journal of Monetary Economics 37, 397419.Google Scholar
Benhabib Jess and Robert E. A. Farmer 2000 The monetary transmission mechanism. Review of Economic Dynamics 3, 523550.Google Scholar
Boivin Jean and Marc Giannoni 2006 Has monetary policy become more effective? Review of Economics and Statistics 88, 445462.Google Scholar
Carlstrom Charles T. and Timothy S. Fuerst 2003 Money growth rules and price level determinacy. Review of Economic Dynamics 6, 263275.Google Scholar
Carroll Christopher D. and Jody Overland and David N. Weil 2000 Saving and growth with habit formation. American Economic Review 90, 341355.Google Scholar
Christiano Lawrence J., Martin Eichenbaum, and Charles Evans 1996 The effects of monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the flow of funds. The Review of Economics and Statistics 78, 1634.Google Scholar
Christiano Lawrence J., Martin Eichenbaum, and Charles Evans 1997 Sticky price and limited participation models of money: A comparison. European Economic Review 41, 12011249.Google Scholar
Christiano Lawrence J., Martin Eichenbaum, and Charles Evans 1999 Monetary policy shocks: What have we learned and to what end? In Michael Woodford and John Taylor (eds.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, pp. 65148. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
Christiano Lawrence J., Martin Eichenbaum, and Charles Evans 2005 Nominal rigidities and the dynamics effects of a shock to monetary policy. Journal of Political Economy 113, 145.Google Scholar
Constantinides Georges M. 1990 Habit formation: A resolution of the equity premium puzzle. Journal of Political Economy 98, 519543.Google Scholar
Cooley Thomas F. and Gary D. Hansen 1989 The inflation tax in a real business cycle model. American Economic Review 79, 73348.Google Scholar
Farmer Roger E. A. 1999 The Macroeconomics of Self-Fulfilling Prophecies. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Farmer Roger E. A. and Jang-Ting Guo 1995 The econometrics of indeterminacy: An applied study. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 43, 225271.Google Scholar
Fuhrer Jeffrey C. 2000 Habit formation in consumption and its implications for monetary-policy models. American Economic Review 90, 367390.Google Scholar
Giannikos Christos and Zhihong Shi 2004 Does Durability Help Asset Pricing with Habit Formation to Conform with U.S. Data? Mimeo, Columbia University and Baruch College, CUNY.
Giannoni Marc and Michael Woodford 2004 Optimal inflation targeting rules. In Ben Bernanke and Michael Woodford (eds.), The Inflation Targeting Debate, pp. 93162. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Hansen Lars Peter 1982 Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators. Econometrica 50, 10291054.Google Scholar
Hansen Gary D. 1985 Indivisible labor and the business cycles. Journal of Monetary Economics 16, 309327.Google Scholar
Heaton John C. 1993 The interaction between time–nonseparable preferences and time aggregation. Econometrica 61, 353385.Google Scholar
Heaton John C. 1995 An empirical investigation of asset pricing with temporally dependent preferences specification. Econometrica 63, 681717.Google Scholar
Hindy Ayman and Chi-fu Huang 1992 Intertemporal preferences for uncertain consumption: A continuous time approach. Econometrica 60, 781801.Google Scholar
Hindy Ayman, Chi-fu Huang, and David Kreps 1993 On intertemporal preferences with a continuous time dimension: I. The case of certainty. Journal of Mathematical Economics 21, 401440.Google Scholar
Hindy Ayman, Chi-fu Huang, and Steven H. Zhu 1997 Optimal consumption and portfolio rules with durability and habit formation. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 21, 525550.Google Scholar
Ireland Peter N. 2001 Sticky-price models of the business cycle: Specification and stability. Journal of Monetary Economics 47, 318.Google Scholar
Leeper Eric M., Christopher A. Sims, and Tao Zha 1996 What does monetary policy do? Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2, 163.Google Scholar
Perli Roberto 1998 Indeterminacy, home production, and the business cycle: A calibrated analysis. Journal of Monetary Economics 41, 105125.Google Scholar
Rogerson Richard 1988 Indivisible labor, lotteries and equilibrium. Journal of Monetary Economics 21, 316.Google Scholar
Rotemberg Julio and Michael Woodford 1997 An optimization-based econometric framework for the evaluation of monetary policy. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 297346.Google Scholar
Rotemberg Julio and Michael Woodford 1999 The cyclical behavior of prices and costs. In Michael Woodford and John Taylor (eds.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, pp. 10511135. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
Schmitt-Grohe Stephanie 2000 Endogenous business cycles and the dynamics of output, hours, and consumption. American Economic Review 90, 11361159.Google Scholar
Sims Christopher A. 1992 Interpreting the macroeconomic time series facts: The effects of monetary policy. European Economic Review 36, 9751000.Google Scholar
Smets Frank and Rafael Wouters 2003 An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the Euro area. Journal of the European Economic Association 1, 11231175.Google Scholar
Woodford Michael 1994 Monetary policy and price level determinacy in a cash-in-advance economy. Economic Theory 4, 345380.Google Scholar
Woodford Michael 2003 Interest and Prices: Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.