Published online by Cambridge University Press: 27 November 2019
In framing investment treaty claims against host states, foreign investors routinely assert that the state’s conduct was ‘politically’ motivated. Arbitral tribunals must then grapple with these allegations. Yet, tribunals lack both a coherent conception of what constitutes politically motivated conduct and a consistent understanding of the relevance, if any, of such motivations for the disposition of an investor’s legal claims. This uncertainty points to an underlying tension within the investment treaty regime between the protection of investors’ interests on the one hand, and the legitimate scope for democratic decision-making and responsive politics on the other.
Using concepts drawn from political science, we develop a new framework to map the variety of conduct that tribunals characterize as ‘political’. Our framework draws attention to different types of influence over government decision-making, as well as differences between government actors responsible for the conduct. We use this framework to show that tribunals have adopted different conceptions of what constitutes illegitimate political influence over government decision-making in factually similar cases. We then evaluate tribunals’ competing approaches in light of normative theories spanning both public law and private law. Engaging with multiple normative theories allows us to examine whether tribunals’ different approaches to politically motivated conduct might reflect diverse underlying normative commitments. We argue, however, that many arbitral tribunals demonstrate a reflexive distrust of domestic political contestation that is difficult to justify within any of the theories that we consider.
The authors would like to thank the anonymous peer reviewer who provided generous and constructive comments on a draft of this article. Participants in a May 2018 workshop in the Investment Law and Policy series, convened by Lauge Poulsen, provided incisive feedback on an earlier draft. Lorenzo Cotula, Caroline Henckels, Jarrod Hepburn, David Schneiderman, and Esme Shirlow subsequently provided detailed comments on the overall argument. David Schneiderman also generously shared a draft of his paper ‘Hayek’s Dream’. Conversations with Julian Arato, Mark Aronson, Janina Boughey, Lisa Burton-Crawford, Michael Crawford, Rosalind Dixon, Rose Vassel, and David Winterton helped clarify various aspects of our public and private law analyses. Natalie Coulton and Jessie Zhang provided excellent research assistance. Jonathan also gratefully acknowledges the support of the UK’s Economic and Social Research Council, which funded earlier research on which this article draws under grant PTA-026-27-2969. The usual disclaimers apply.
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3 See, e.g., C. J. Tams, S. W. Schill and R. Hofmann (eds.), International Investment Law and the Global Financial Architecture (2017).
4 Z. Williams, Risky Business or Risky Politics: What Explains Investor-State Disputes? (2016), unpublished PhD dissertation (on file).
5 L. Cotula, ‘Democracy and International Investment Law’, (2017) 30 LJIL 351, at 364.
6 G. Van Harten, Sovereign Choices and Sovereign Constraints: Judicial Restraint in Investment Treaty Arbitration (2013); Williams, supra note 4; L. Cotula and M. Schröder, ‘Community Perspectives in Investor-State Arbitration’, (2017) IIED Land, Investment and Rights series, available at pubs.iied.org/pdfs/12603IIED.pdf.
7 Bilcon v. Canada, PCA Case No. 2009-04, Reply Memorial of the Investors, 21 December 2011, para. 556. Similarly, Pac Rim v. El Salvador, ICSID Case No. ARB/09/12, Claimant’s Memorial on the Merits and Quantum, 29 March 2013, para. 359: ‘As with Claimant’s other environmental permit applications, Pac Rim again concluded that the process was being impeded by political machinations and not technical concerns regarding the applications.’
8 E.g., Van Harten, supra note 6, Ch. 3; E. Shirlow, Judging at the Interface: Towards a Theory of Deference in the International Adjudication of Private Property Disputes (2018), unpublished PhD dissertation (on file).
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12 E.g., D. Schneiderman, ‘Hayek’s Dream: International Investment Law and the Denigration of Politics’, (2018) unpublished manuscript (on file).
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21 Tecmed v. Mexico, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/02, Award, 29 May 2003, paras. 42, 127–8.
22 AES v. Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/22, Award, 23 September 2010, para. 9.1.7.
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25 Van Harten’s conception of ‘politically-motivated abuse’ is particularly interesting, because it is deployed in the context of his wider criticism of arbitral tribunals’ tendency to regard state action that responds to the concerns of constituencies other than foreign investors as illegitimate. Although we are sympathetic to Van Harten’s wider criticism, he does not explain how tribunals should distinguish between the politically-motivated abuse that he regards as illegitimate and other forms of legitimate politically responsive conduct. Van Harten, supra note 6, at 72.
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29 Ibid., quoted in L. Graziano, Lobbying, Pluralism and Democracy (2001), 163.
30 Gilens and Page, supra note 27, at 566.
31 Graziano, supra note 29, at 161.
32 Tecmed v. Mexico, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/02, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 160.
33 Ibid., para. 173
34 Ibid., para. 99.
35 Ibid., para. 42.
36 Ibid., para. 43.
37 N. Richler, ‘Rock Bottom: With the seas nearly barren, should Digby Neck, Nova Scotia, settle for selling the earth?’, The Walrus, 12 December 2007, available at thewalrus.ca/rock-bottom/.
38 Bilcon v. Canada, PCA Case No. 2009-04, Reply Memorial of the Investors, 21 December 2011.
39 Ibid., para. 23.
40 S.D. Myers v. Canada, Partial Award, 13 November 2000, paras. 122, 168.
41 Ibid., para. 123.
42 Ibid., para. 179.
43 Ibid., para. 172.
44 Ibid., paras. 162, 179.
45 Ibid., para. 189.
46 Tokios Tokelés v. Ukraine, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/18, Award, 27 July 2006, para. 3.
47 Ibid., para. 137.
48 ILC, Articles on Responsibility of States for Internationally Wrongful Acts, UN Doc. A/56/10 (2001), at Art. 4: ‘The conduct of any State organ shall be considered an act of that State under international law, whether the organ exercises legislative, executive, judicial or any other functions.’
49 This conception of the state is normally dated to Montesquieu’s 1748 The Spirit of Laws. It is reflected in the structure of the US Constitution. It has proven enormously influential in other states.
50 These considerations are also reflected to a limited extent in doctrines internal to the investment treaty regime. For example, the doctrine of denial of justice applies only to review of judicial and administrative adjudicatory proceedings.
51 Williams, supra note 4; Caddell and Jensen, supra note 26.
52 Biwater v. Tanzania, ICSID Case No. ARB/05/22, Award, 24 July 2008, paras. 207, 219.
53 Williams, supra note 4.
54 Glamis Gold v. USA, Award, 8 June 2009, para. 175.
55 Ibid., para. 177.
56 Ibid., Memorial of Glamis Gold, 5 May 2006, para. 541.
57 Williams, supra note 4.
58 Al Warraq v. Indonesia, Final Award, 15 December 2014, paras. 98–102.
59 Ibid., para. 189.
60 Yukos v. Russia, supra note 20.
61 Bilcon v. Canada, PCA Case No. 2009-04, Award on Jurisdiction and Liability, 17 March 2015, para. 573.
62 Ibid., paras. 598–9.
63 For example, the dissenting arbitrator in Bilcon raised concerns that the tribunal’s review of the JRP’s decision in a single instance would have serious implications for the integrity of the legislative scheme for environmental assessment – Bilcon v. Canada, PCA Case No. 2009-04, Dissenting Opinion of Professor Donald McRae, 10 March 2015, paras. 48–9.
64 In the interests of brevity, we have limited case discussion to those that involve either executive action or state conduct that responds to broad interest group pressure. Therefore, not all sectors of the framework are populated.
65 Our primary search strategy relied on the full text search function of arbitral awards in the Investor-State Law Guide database, using the search term ‘politic’ in combination with the nouns ‘motivate’, ‘influence’, ‘consideration’, and ‘reason’. We layered these results over our existing codebook, which codes every known investment treaty dispute across a range of variables, including the source of the measure. We complemented these primary searches with a secondary review of the academic literature, and with our own knowledge of investment treaty disputes.
66 Similarly, Van Harten, supra note 6, at 75. In this section, we do not discuss every case in which a tribunal has held that the influence of broad interest groups over executive conduct constituted or contributed to a breach of an investment treaty. Other examples include Metalclad v. Mexico, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/97/1, Award, 30 August 200, para. 92; Vivendi v. Argentina (II), ICSID Case No ARB/97/3, Award, 20 August 2007, para. 7.4.22; Azurix v. Argentina, ICSID Case No ARB/01/12, Award, 14 July 2006, para. 378.
67 In an unpublished paper, Schneiderman, supra note 12, argues that in some cases tribunals hold states liable for failing to act in the way a private firm would have acted. His argument provides a compelling account of a handful of disputes arising from situations in which the host state is in a contractual relationship with the host state – notably, Biwater v. Tanzania. Although Schneiderman does not purport to explain other decisions we identify as falling within the first approach, his insight prompts the question of whether tribunals’ wider distrust of politically motivated conduct might stem from an unarticulated view that state conduct is illegitimate to the extent it departs from an ideal of private commercial conduct. However, many of the cases we identify as falling within the first approach, such as Tecmed v. Mexico, arise from the state’s exercise of regulatory powers and it is difficult to see how such a standard could be operationalized. In such cases, tribunals do not explicitly refer to the standard of normal commercial conduct as a benchmark for evaluating the state’s conduct nor do we perceive the influence of this distinction implicitly in the tribunals’ criticism of the state’s conduct. We think the juxtaposition of ‘political’ decision-making to an imagined ideal of rational, technocratic decision-making provides a more compelling explanation for these decisions.
68 Tecmed v. Mexico, supra note 32, para. 127.
69 Ibid., para. 149.
70 Bilcon v. Canada, supra note 61, paras. 505, 604. Cf. Bilcon v. Canada, Dissent, supra note 63, para. 49.
71 Bear Creek Mining v. Peru, ICSID Case No. ARB/14/21, Award, 30 November 2017, para. 560.
72 Ibid., para. 401.
73 Ibid., para. 408.
74 Ibid., para. 412.
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77 Impregilo v. Argentina (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/07/17, Award, 21 June 2011, para. 21.
78 Ibid., para. 201.
79 Ibid., para. 209.
80 Ibid., para. 329: ‘The position of the Province is reflected in a letter of July 23, 2002 … that adjustments in favor of [the investor] should not be made, as this would have negative effects for the customers whose economic interests required protection.’
81 Ibid., paras. 316–31.
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84 Ibid., Part VIII – Page 2, para. 8.8.
85 Ibid.
86 Ibid., Part VIII – Page 7, para. 8.23.
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135 Many theories of democracy see responsive government as a necessary characteristic of democracy. See, e.g., Cotula, supra note 5, at 364 arguing that an ‘action-based’ conception of democracy requires an openness of government decision-making to contestation by organized citizens.
136 E.g., Roberts, supra note 15.
137 This is an ex post effect, discussed in Bonnitcha, supra note 127, at 84. See also L. Sachs and L. Johnson, ‘Investment Treaties, Investor-State Dispute Settlement and Inequality: How International Rules and Institutions Can Exacerbate Domestic Disparities’, (2017), Working Paper No. 306 of the Initiative for Policy Dialogue, available at policydialogue.org/files/publications/papers/Johnson-and-Sachs-Intl-Rules.pdf.
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