On a general method of approximation to the Values of Annuities and Assurances, for long terms of years, depending on One or Two Lives

Extract

The discovery of some general Law of Mortality, by means of which the values of the contingencies, depending upon human life, might be expressed in some simple formulæ, without the necessity of performing the numerous calculations which are required even for the chances of a single life, and still more in the various eases, in which two or more lives are involved, has occupied the attention and labours of many scientific men. But the result has not hitherto been satisfactory, in spite of the skill with which their investigations have been conducted, and the unwearied patience which they have brought to the task. The failure has probably arisen from the want of a sufficient number of observations, the authenticity of which could be relied upon; or for want of that accuracy in the data, without which it is in vain to attempt to find the traces of a regular law, disturbed as it must be by the peculiar circumstances under which the observations were made, or by the ignorance, and, in some cases it may be, by the wilful errors of those who have been employed to collect the facts.