Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-q99xh Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-28T07:34:45.408Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

THE PENETRATION OF ENGINEERING BY ECONOMICS: McFADDEN AND THE TRANSFORMATION OF ROAD DEMAND ESTIMATION

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 June 2021

Ariane Dupont-Kieffer*
Affiliation:
Ariane Dupont-Kieffer: PHARE/University Panthéon-Sorbonne, [email protected];
Sylvie Rivot
Affiliation:
Sylvie Rivot: BETA/Université of Haute-Alsace, [email protected];
Jean-Loup Madre
Affiliation:
Jean-Loup Madre: UPE/IFSTTAR/AME/DEST, [email protected].
*
*Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

The golden age of road demand modeling began in the 1950s and flourished in the 1960s in the face of major road construction needs. These macro models, as well as the econometrics and the data to be processed, were provided mainly by engineers. A division of tasks can be observed between the engineers in charge of estimating the flows within the network and the transport economists in charge of managing these flows once they are on the road network. Yet the inability to explain their decision-making processes and individual drives gave some room to economists to introduce economic analysis, so as to better understand individual or collective decisions between transport alternatives. Economists, in particular Daniel McFadden, began to offer methods to improve the measure of utility linked to transport and to inform the engineering approach. This paper explores the challenges to the boundaries between economics and engineering in road demand analysis.

Type
Symposium: Economics and its Boundaries
Copyright
© The History of Economics Society, 2021

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

This paper was first presented at the Charles Gide 2019 workshop “Evolutions of the Disciplinary Boundaries of Economics with the Other Sciences,” Montreal (QC, Canada), 25–27 June. It was partly based on a paper presented at the HOPE Conference “Becoming Applied: The Transformation of Economics,” April 2016. We would like to thank the participants of both conferences and especially Marcel Boumans. We would also to thank Julien Dupont, Emmanuelle Kalfon, and Ms Anne Le Bihan of the L’Écume bookshop of Groix.

References

REFERENCES

Alacevich, Michele. 2017. “Theory and Practice in Development Economics.” History of Political Economy 49 (Suppl.): 264291.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Allais, Maurice F. C., Viscovo, Mario Del, de la Vinelle, Louis D., Ort, Coenraad, and Seidenfus, Helmuth. 1967. “Options in Transport Tariff Policy.” Report by a Committee of Independent Experts to the Commission of the European Economic Community. Brussels: European Commission.Google Scholar
Arrow, Kenneth, Harris, Theodore, and Marschak, Jacob. 1951. “Optimal Inventory Policy.” Econometrica 19 (3): 250272.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Banzhaf, H. Spencer. 2017. “Constructing Markets: Environmental Economics and the Contingent Valuation Controversy.” History of Political Economy 49 (Suppl.): 213239.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bates, John. 2000. “History of Demand Modelling.” In Hensher, D. A. and Button, K. J., eds., Handbook of Transport Modelling. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science Ltd, pp. 1133.Google Scholar
Ben-Akiva, Moshe, Bowman, John, and Gopinath, Dinesh. 1996. “Travel Demand Model System for the Information Era.” Transportation 23 (3): 241266.Google Scholar
BITRE (Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics). 2012. “Traffic Growth: Modelling a Global Phenomenon.” Report 128. Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics (Australia). Canberra, Australia.Google Scholar
Boiteux, Marcel. [1949] 1960. “Peak-Load Pricing.” Journal of Business 33 (2): 157179.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Braudel, Fernand. 1949. La Méditerranée et le monde méditerranéen à l’époque de Philippe II. Paris: Armand Colin.Google Scholar
Buchanan, James M. 1952. “The Pricing of Highway Services.” National Tax Journal 5 (2): 97106.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Buchanan, James M. 1956. “Private Ownership and Common Usage: The Road Case Re-examined.” Southern Economic Journal 22 (3): 305316.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chapin, F. Stuart. 1974. Human Activity Patterns in the City. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Cherrier, Beatrice. 2014. “Towards a History of Economics at M.I.T., 1940–72.” History of Political Economy 46 (Suppl.): 1544.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Diamond, Peter. 1971. “A Model of Price Adjustment.” Journal of Economic Theory 3 (2): 156168.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Domencich, Tom, and McFadden, Daniel L.. 1974. Urban Travel Demand: A Behavioral Analysis. Amsterdam: Charles River Associates, North-Holland Publishing Co.Google Scholar
Drèze, Jacques. 1997. “Research and Development in Public Economics: William Vickrey’s Inventive Quest of Efficiency.” Scandinavian Journal of Economics 99 (2): 179198.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dupuit, A. Jules. 1844. “De la mesure de l’utilité des travaux publics.” Annales des Ponts et Chaussées, Mémoires et Documents 8: 332375.Google Scholar
Dvoretsky, Ayreh, Kiefer, Jack, and Wolfowitz, Jacob. 1952. “The Inventory Problem.” Econometrica 20: 187222, 450–456.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Finney, David J., 1947. Probit Analysis. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Flood, Merrill. 1953. “On the Hitchcock Distribution Problem.” Pacific Journal of Mathematics 3 (2): 369396.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Flood, Merrill. 1954. “Applications of Transportation Theory to Scheduling a Military Tanker Fleet.” Journal of the Operations Research Society 2: 150162.Google Scholar
Fried, M., Havens, J. and Thall, M.. 1977. “Travel Behavior—A Synthesized Theory.” NCHRP. Final Report. Washington, DC: Transportation Research Board.Google Scholar
Hägerstrand, Torsten. 1970. “What about People in Regional Science?Papers of the Regional Science Association 24 (1): 621.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hitchcock, Frank L. 1941. “The Distribution of a Product from Several Sources to Numerous Localities.” Journal of Mathematics and Physics 20 (1–4): 224230.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Houthakker, Hendrik S. 1951. “Electricity Tariffs in Theory and Practice .” Economic Journal 61 (241): 125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kantorovitch, Leonid. 1942. “On the Translocation of Masses.” Doklady Akad Nauk SSSR 37: 199201.Google Scholar
Knight, Frank H. 1924. “Some Fallacies in the Interpretation of Social Cost.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 38 (3): 582606.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Koopmans, Tjalling C. 1947. “Optimum Utilization of the Transportation System.” Proceedings of the International Statistical Conferences 5: 136146. Reprinted as supplement to Econometrica 17 (Suppl.): 136–146.Google Scholar
Koopmans, Tjalling C. 1956. “Introduction.” In Beckman, M., McGuire, C. B., and Winsten, C. B., eds., Studies in the Economics of Transportation. Cowles Commission for Research in Economics. New Haven: Yale University Press; London: Geoffrey Cumberlege, Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Lindsay, Robin. 2006. “Do Economists Reach a Conclusion on Road Pricing? The Intellectual History of an Idea.” Econ Journal Watch 3 (2): 292379.Google Scholar
Manski, Charles F. 2001. “Daniel McFadden and the Econometric Analysis of Discrete Choice.” Scandinavian Journal of Economics 103 (2): 217229.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McDonald, John F. 2013. “Pigou, Knight, Diminishing Returns, and Optimal Pigouvian Congestion Tolls.” Journal of the History of Economic Thought 35 (3): 353371.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McFadden, Daniel L. 1974. “The Measurement of Urban Travel Demand.” Journal of Public Economics 3 (4): 303328.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McFadden, Daniel L. 2013. “The New Science of Pleasure.” NBER Working Paper 18687. Initial version presented at the Frisch Lecture, Econometric Society World Congress, London, 2005.Google Scholar
McNally, Michael G. 2000. “The Activity-Based Approach.” In Hensher, D. A. and Button, K. J., eds., Handbook of Transport Modelling. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science Ltd, pp. 5369.Google Scholar
Mitchell, Robert B., and Rapkin, Chester. 1954. Urban Traffic: A Function of Land Use. New York: Columbia University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peterson, Sarah Jo. 2020. The Transportation Research Board 1920–2020, Everyone Interested Is Invited. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pigou, Arthur Cecil. 1912. Wealth and Welfare. London: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Pigou, Arthur Cecil. 1920. The Economics of Welfare. London: Macmillan and Co.Google Scholar
Quandt, Richard E., and Baumol, William J.. 1966. “The Demand for Abstract Transport Modes: Theory and Measurement.” Journal of Regional Science 6 (2): 1326.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rassam, Paul R., Ellis, Raymond H., and Bennett, John C.. 1970. The N-dimensional Logit Model: Development and Application. Washington: Peat, Marwick, Mitchell and Co.Google Scholar
Samuelson, Paul A. 1952. “Spatial Price Equilibrium and Linear Programming.” American Economic Review 42 (3): 283303.Google Scholar
Solow, Robert. Robert, M. Solow Papers, David, M. Rubenstein Rare Book & Manuscript Library, Duke University. 1960–2013.Google Scholar
Svorenčik, Andrej. 2017. “Allocating Airport Slots: The History of Early Applied Experimental Research.” History of Political Economy 49 (Suppl.): 240263.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vickrey, William S. 1952. “The Revision of the Rapid Transit Fare Structure of the City of New York.” Technical Monograph No. 3. Finance Project, Mayor’s Committee on Management Survey of the City of New York.Google Scholar
Vickrey, William S. 1955. “A Proposal for Revising New York’s Subway Fare Structure.” Journal of the Operations Research Society of America 3 (1): 277306.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Walters, Alan. 1961. “The Theory and Measurement of Private and Social Costs of Highway Congestion.” Econometrica 29 (4): 676699.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Walters, Alan. 1968. The Economics of Road User Charges. World Bank Staff Occasional Papers Number 5. Baltimore, MD: The Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Walters, Alan. 1982. “Externalities in Urban Buses.” Journal of Urban Economics 11 (1): 6072.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Warner, Stanley. 1962. Stochastic Choice of Mode in Urban Travel: A Study in Binary Choice. Evenston: Northwestern University Press.Google Scholar
Zelinsky, Wilbur. 1971. “The Hypothesis of the Mobility Transition.” Geographical Review 61 (2): 219224.CrossRefGoogle Scholar