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Perspectives on the Electoral Behaviour of Baguio City (Philippines) Voters in a Transition Era1

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 August 2009

Steven Rood
Steven Rood
Affiliation:
University of Philippines College Baguio
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Extract

This paper attempts to trace, using survey evidence, the electoral behaviour of Baguio City voters during two years beginning with the 1986 Presidential election contest between Ferdinand Marcos and Corazon Aquino. The revolutionary aftermath to this election issued in a new political regime, which held a series of elections. By January 1988 there had been a plebiscite to ratify a new Constitution, Congressional and Senatorial elections, and finally local elections for the Mayor and City Council. For all of these elections, local surveys were conducted in the City of Baguio.

Type
Articles
Information
Journal of Southeast Asian Studies , Volume 22 , Issue 1 , March 1991 , pp. 86 - 108
Copyright
Copyright © The National University of Singapore 1991

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References

2 Reed, Robert R., City of Pines: The Origins of Baguio as a Colonial Hill Station and Regional Capital. Reseach Monograph No. 13 (Berkeley: University of California, Center for South and Southeast Asian Studies, 03 1976)Google Scholar.

3 Rood, Steven, “Population Mobility and Development in the Baguio Area: The Core Report”, in Rood, Steven et al. , Population Mobility and Development in the Baguio Area. Research Report Submitted to the National Economic and Development Authority (Region I) (Baguio: University of the Philippines College Baguio, Area Research and Training Center, 09 1987), pp. 28–29Google Scholar.

4 Ma. Fe Caces et al., “Population Mobility and Development in Metropolitan Baguio Urban Areas”, in Rood et al., op. cit. p. 428.

5 Gladys Cruz, “1986 Survey of Economic Establishments in Baguio City”, Cordillera Studies Center Working Paper No. 8 (Baguio: University of the Philippines College Baguio, Cordillera Studies Center, December 1988).

6 Caces et al., op. cit., p. 444.

7 Republic of the Philippines (NEDA, NCSO, POPCOM), Population Planning Dimension of Planning III: Population Projections (1970–2000) (Manila, 1975)Google Scholar.

8 Rood, Steven, “How Baguio Voters went in May 14 Polls”, The Baguio Midland Courier (3 06 1984), p. 8Google Scholar.

9 Some of the samples were panels — that is, the same voters were interviewed more than once. After the January 1986 survey we attempted to interview the same voters in February, after the presidential election, and in April, after the EDSA Revolution. Again, we attempted to re-interview some of our February 1987 sample, taken in conjunction with the Plebiscite on the new Constitution, as part of our sample in for the May 1987 Congressional election. However, in the analyses in this paper we will only use the samples as cross-sections, and make almost no use of their panel nature.

10 Rood et al., op. cit., Table A-III-6 (p. 45).

11 Benedict J. Tria Kerkvliet, “Issues for Consideration Regarding Local Perspectives on the Transition from Marcos” (Honolulu: photocopy, November 1987), pp. 7ff.

12 MacIntyre, Alsadair, “Is a Science of Comparative Politics Possible?” Against the Self-Images of the Age (London: Duckworth, 1971 — reprinted in 1978 by University of Notre Dame Press), pp. 277–78Google Scholar.

13 Steven Rood, “Baguio Citizen Response to the February 1986 Snap Election and Revolution”, Cordillera Studies Center Working Paper Number 4 (Baguio: University of the Philippines College Baguio, Cordillera Studies Center, May 1987). (Revised version published under the same title in Pilipinas, Number 10 [Spring 1988].)

14 Ma. Fe Caces with Virginia Lavarias, “Case Studies from the Informal Sector”, in Caces, op. cit. Ms. Lavarias did follow-up work on voting behaviour at my request.

15 Francisco Nemenzo raised this argument at a conference held by the Center for Integrative and Development Studies of the University of the Philippines, 30–31 May 1986.

16 Powell, John Duncan, “Peasant Society and Clientelist Politics”, American Political Science Review 64, Number 2 (06 1970): 412CrossRefGoogle Scholar, citing Pitt-Rivers, Julian, The People of the Sierra (New York: Criterion Books, 1954)Google Scholar.

17 Averch, Harvey A., Koehler, John E. and Denton, Frank H., The Matrix of Policy in the Philippines (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1971)CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

18 In this, and Table 17, for brevity's sake I omit the underlying cross tabulations (which resemble Table 15 in format), and report only the summary statistic, tau-c, measuring the relationship represented in the tables.

19 Rood, op. cit. (fn. 13).

20 Averch et al., op. cit., p. 46.

21 Ibid., p. 67.

22 Rood, op. cit. (fn. 13), p. 49.