Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-t7czq Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-27T20:29:38.776Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Don't Toss Coins in Garbage Cans: A Prologue to Policy Design*

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 November 2008

John S. Dryzek
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Ohio State University

Abstract

Threats to effective policy-making arising from ubiquitous circumstances of complexity and uncertainty are often taken as reasons to eschew both the attacking of social problems through public policy and cogitation, such as policy analysis, in the policy process. It is suggested here that, as complexity and uncertainty increase, more cogitation is required, not less; but it is crucial that cogitation be of the appropriate sort. Greater use should be made of policy design, as opposed to methods emphasising selection among prespecified alternatives. The required design task varies with the level of difficulty – defined by complexity, uncertainty, and lack of feedback – in any case at hand. A taxonomy of levels of difficulty is developed, together with a preliminary outline of the design task required at each level.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1983

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Alexander, Christopher (1964) Notes on the Synthesis of Form. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Alexander, Christopher (1965) A City is not a tree, Architectural Forum, 122, (1) and (2), 5861 and 5862.Google Scholar
Alexander, Ernest A. (1982) Design in the decision-making process, Policy Sciences, 14, 279–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ashby, W. Ross (1960) Design for a Brain, 2nd edition. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Allison, Graham T. (1971) Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Boston: Little Brown.Google Scholar
Amacher, Ryan C., Tollison, Robert D., Willett, Thomas D. (eds.) (1976) The Economic Approach to Public Policy. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bono, Edward de (1970) Lateral Thinking: Creativity Step by Step. New York: Harper Row.Google Scholar
Brewer, Garry and deLeon, Peter (1983) Foundations of Policy Analysis. Homewood: Dorsey.Google Scholar
Caiden, Naomi and Wildavsky, Aaron (1974) Planning and Budgeting in Poor Countries. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Carley, Michael (1980) Rational Techniques in Policy Analysis. London: Heinneman.Google Scholar
Cohen, M. D., March, J. G., and Olsen, J. P. (1972) A Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice, Administrative Science Quarterly, 17, 125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Coleman, James S. (1972) Reply to Cain and Watts. In Rossi, Peter H. and Williams, Walter (eds.), Evaluating Social Programs, New York: Seminar Press, 97107.Google Scholar
Commoner, Barry (1972) The Closing Circle. New York: Bantam.Google Scholar
Cyert, Richard and March, James G. (1963) A Behavioral Theory of the Firm. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall.Google Scholar
Diesing, Paul (1962) Reason in Society. Urbana: University of Illinois Press.Google Scholar
Dryzek, John (1982) Policy analysis as a hermeneutic activity, Policy Sciences, 14, 309329.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dryzek, John (1983) Present choices, future consequences: A case for thinking strategically, World Futures.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dunn, William N. (1981) Public Policy Analysis: An Introduction. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice Hall.Google Scholar
Elkin, Stephen L. (1974) Political science and the analysis of public policy, Public Policy, 22, 399422.Google Scholar
Fay, Brian (1975) Social Theory and Political Practice. London: Allen and Unwin.Google Scholar
Goodin, Robert E. (1978) Uncertainty as an excuse for cheating our children: The case of nuclear wastes, Policy Sciences, 10, 2543.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goodin, Robert E. and Waldner, Ilmar (1979) Thinking big, thinking small, and not thinking at all, Public Policy, 27, 124.Google Scholar
Habermas, Jurgen (1970) Toward a Theory of Communicative Competence, Inquiry, 13, 360375.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Habermas, Jurgen (1973) Legitimation Crisis, translated by Thomas McCarthy. Boston: Beacon Press.Google Scholar
Hirschman, Albert O. (1967) Development Projects Observed. Washington DC: Brookings.Google Scholar
Lakatos, Imre (1970) Falsification and the methodology of scientific research programmes. In Lakatos, Imre and Musgrave, Alan (eds.), Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 91196.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
La Porte, Todd R. (1975) Complexity and uncertainty: challenge to action. In La Porte, Todd R. (ed.), Organized Social Complexity: Challenges to Politics and Policy, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 332356.Google Scholar
Lindblom, Charles E. (1959) The science of muddling through, Public Administration Review, 19, 7988.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lindblom, Charles E. (1965) The Intelligence of Democracy: Decision Making Through Mutual Adjustment. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
Lindblom, Charles E. (1977) Politics and Markets. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Lindblom, Charles E. and Cohen, David K. (1979) Usable Knowledge: Social Science and Social Problem Solving. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Lovins, Amory B. (1977) Soft Energy Paths. New York: Harper Colophon.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Majone, Giandomenico (1976) Choice among policy instruments for pollution control, Policy Analysis, 2, 589613.Google Scholar
March, James G. (1978) Bounded rationality, ambiguity and the engineering of choice, Bell Journal, 9, 587608.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
May, Peter J. (1981) Hints for crafting alternative policies, Policy Analysis, 7, 227244.Google Scholar
Meadows, Donella et al. (1972) The Limits to Growth. New York: Universe Books.Google Scholar
MitrofF, Ian and Vaughan Blankenship, L. (1973) On the methodology of the holistic experiment: An approach to the conceptualization of large-scale social experiments, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 4, 339353.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mueller, Dennis C. (1979) Public Choice. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Popper, Karl (1963) Conjectures and Refutations. London: Routledge and Kegan Paul.Google Scholar
Popper, Karl (1972a) The Poverty of Historicism, rev. ed. London: Routledge and Kegan Paul.Google Scholar
Popper, Kal (1972b) Objective Knowledge. Oxford: Clarendon.Google Scholar
Quade, E. S. (1982) Analysis for Public Decisions, 2nd ed.New York: North Holland.Google Scholar
Rapaport, Amos (1978) Culture and Environment, The Ecologist Quarterly, 4, 269279.Google Scholar
Rein, Martin (1976) Social Science and Public Policy. Harmondsworth: Penguin.Google Scholar
Rubinstein, Moshe F. (1975) Patterns of Problem-Solving. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall.Google Scholar
Russell, Clifford S. (ed.) (1979) Collective Decision Making: Applications from Public Choice Theory. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press for Resources for the Future.Google Scholar
Salamon, Lester M. (1981) Rethinking public management: Third-party government and the changing forms of government action, Public Policy, 24, 255275.Google Scholar
Schell, Jonathan (1982) The Fate of the Earth. New York: Knopf.Google Scholar
Schick, Allen (1973) A Death in the Bureaucracy: The Demise of Federal PPB, Public Administration Review, 33, 146156.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schultze, Charles L. (1968) The Politics and Economics of Public Spending. Washington DC: Brookings.Google Scholar
Simon, Herbert A. (1978) On how to decide what to do, Bell Journal, 9, 494507.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simon, Herbert A. (1981) The Sciences of the Artificial, 2nd ed.Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Steinbruner, John D. (1974) The Cybernetic Theory of Decision. Princeton: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weaver, Warren (1948) Science and complexity, American Scientist, 36, 536544.Google ScholarPubMed
Weiss, Janet A. (1982) Coping with complexity; An experimental study of public policy decision-making, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 2, 6687.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Werbos, Paul (1979) Changes in policy analysis procedures suggested by new optimization methods and required for global survival, Policy Analysis and Information Systems, 3, 2752.Google Scholar
Wolfe, Tom (1981) From Bauhaus to Our House. New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux.Google Scholar
Wildavsky, Aaron (1966) The political economy of efficiency, Public Administration Review, 26, 292310.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wildavsky, Aaron (1979a) Speaking Truth to Power: The Art and Craft of Policy Analysis. Boston: Little, Brown.Google Scholar
Wildavsky, Aaron (1979b) The Politics of the Budgetary Process, 3rd ed.Boston: Little, Brown.Google Scholar
Winner, Langdon (1975) Complexity and the limits of human understanding. In La Porte, Todd R. (ed.), Organized Social Complexity: Challenges to Politics and Policy, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 4076.Google Scholar