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The Dynamics of Latin American Agricultural Production Growth, 1950–2008
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 23 April 2019
Abstract
This article is the first of its kind to offer a quantitative estimation of the evolution of Latin American agricultural production and productivity between 1950 and 2008. It also uncovers the extent to which the increases in production were due to increases in factors of production or to efficiency gains. Our findings reveal that efficiency gains made a rather modest contribution to the substantial increase in production, although their role became increasingly large over time and were highly significant between 1994 and 2008. Capital was the most important productive factor in explaining increases in output.
Spanish abstract
Este artículo es el primero en ofrecer una estimación cuantitativa de la evolución de la producción y productividad agrícola latinoamericana entre 1950 y 2008. También explora hasta qué punto el incremento de la producción se ha debido al crecimiento del uso de factores de producción y hasta qué punto ha sido resultado de las mejoras en la eficiencia productiva. Nuestros hallazgos revelan que la mejora en la eficiencia contribuyó de forma modesta al incremento sustancial de la producción, aunque su papel fue cada vez mayor a lo largo del tiempo, siendo altamente significativo entre 1994 y 2008. El capital fue el factor productivo más importante para explicar los incrementos de producción.
Portuguese abstract
Este artigo é o primeiro a oferecer uma estimativa quantitativa da evolução da produção e produtividade agrícolas na América Latina entre 1950 e 2008. Revela, também, o quanto aumentos de produção se deram devido ao aumento do uso de fatores de produção ou devido a ganhos em eficácia. Nossas conclusões revelam que ganhos em eficácia contribuíram modestamente ao substancial aumento em produção, embora tal contribuição foi-se aumentando ao longo do tempo até se tornar bastante significativa entre 1994 e 2008. Capital econômico foi o fator de produção mais importante no aumento da produção.
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References
1 Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), 25 años en la agricultura de América Latina: Rasgos principales (1950–1975) (Santiago: CEPAL, 1978)Google Scholar is a precursor to our study as it also presents a joint vision of the Latin American agricultural sector between 1950 and 1975. The forestry sector does not form part of the study. This sector was very important in some countries and its expansion was highly coordinated with the industrialisation phases of the production process (fundamentally in the pulp and paper industry). It has different dynamics to the agricultural sector, although in cases where deforestation has taken place in order to farm new land there is a clear relationship between the two.
2 TFP is the difference between the growth in production and the growth in factors of production; in other words, this measurement of productivity represents efficiency gains or better allocation of resources.
3 Until 2004 the FAO published its data in yearbooks, variously named Production Yearbook (1947–75), FAO Production Yearbook (1976–87) and FAO Yearbook. Production (1988–2004). Data from 1961 are available on FAOSTAT's webpage (http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#home); FAOSTAT is the FAO's Corporate Statistical Database. Our results depend on the quality of the data derived from the FAO; these have been validated by recent empirical analysis: Gollin, Douglas, Lagakos, David and Waugh, Michael E., ‘Agricultural Productivity Differences across Countries’, American Economic Review, 104: 5 (2014), pp. 165–70CrossRefGoogle Scholar. The Appendix is available at doi.org/10.1017/S0022216X18001141 under the ‘Supplementary materials’ tab.
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