Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-2plfb Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-23T19:14:45.187Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

International Transmission of Stock Market Movements

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 April 2009

Abstract

This paper investigates the international transmission mechanism of stock market movements by estimating a nine-market vector autoregression (VAR) system. Using simulated responses of the estimated VAR system, we (i) locate all the main channels of interactions among national stock markets, and (ii) trace out the dynamic responses of one market to innovations in another. Generally speaking, a substantial amount of multi-lateral interaction is detected among national stock markets. Innovations in the U.S. are rapidly transmitted to other markets in a clearly recognizable fashion, whereas no single foreign market can significantly explain the U.S. market movements. Also, the dynamic response pattern is found to be generally consistent with the notion of informationally efficient international stock markets.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1989

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Agmon, T.The Relations among Equity Markets: A Study of Share Price Co-Movements in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany and Japan.” Journal of Finance, 27 (09 1972), 839855.Google Scholar
Agmon, T.Country Risk: The Significance of Country Factor for Share Price Movements in the United Kingdom, Germany, and Japan.” Journal of Business, 46 (01 1973), 2432.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Doan, T., and Litterman, R.. RATS Version 4.1. Minneapolis: Var Econometrics (1981).Google Scholar
Granger, C.Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross Spectral Methods.” Econometrica, 37 (07 1969), 429438.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Granger, C, and Morgenstern, O.. Predictability of Stock Market Prices. MA: Lexington (1970).Google Scholar
Grubel, H.Internationally Diversified Portfolios: Welfare Gains and Capital Flows.” American Economic Review, 58 (12 1968), 12991314.Google Scholar
Grubel, H., and Fadner, K.. “The Interdependence of International Equity Markets.” Journal of Finance, 26 (03 1971), 8994.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hilliard, J.The Relationship between Equity Indices on World Exchanges.” Journal of Finance, 34 (03 1979), 103114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lessard, D.World, Country and Industry Relationships in Equity Returns: Implications for Risk Reduction through International Diversification.” Financial Analysts Journal, 32 (01/02 1976), 28.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lessard, D.World, National and Industry Factors in Equity Returns.” Journal of Finance, 24 (05 1974), 379391.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levy, H., and Sarnat, M.. “International Diversification of Investment Portfolios.” American Economic Review, 60 (09 1970), 668675.Google Scholar
Lupoletti, W., and Webb, R.. “Defining and Improving the Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts: Contributions from a VAR Model.” Journal of Business, 59 (04 1986), 263285.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Panton, D.; Lessig, V. and Joy, O.. “Comovements of International Equity Markets: A Taxonomic Approach.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 11 (09 1976), 415432.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ripley, D.Systematic Elements in the Linkage of National Stock Market Indices.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 55 (08 1973), 356361.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sims, C.Macroeconomics and Reality.” Econometrica, 48 (01 1980), 148.CrossRefGoogle Scholar