Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-xbtfd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-03T08:48:11.501Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

A Determination of The Risk of Ruin: Reply

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 April 2009

Extract

To sum up, Emery and Cogger [5] have raised several interesting questions concerning the derivation of the safety index (as well as the related risk of ruin) and the interpretation of that index which needed to be addressed. While the potential limitations discussed are theoretically possible, closer examination reveals that most of the concerns raised are unlikely to occur in practical applications, although certain of the procedures utilized were in need of further explanation. Several of these issues also provide extensions of the present work to make the estimation of the risk of ruin an even more robust measure of the potential for corporate failure.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1981

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

[1]Beekman, J.A Ruin Function Approximation.” Transactions of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 21, Part 1 (1969), pp. 4148.Google Scholar
[2]Buhlmann, H.Mathematical Methods in Risk Theory. New York: Springer-Verlag (1970).Google Scholar
[3]Cox, J., and Ross, S.. “The Valuation of Options for Alternative Stochastic Process.” Journal of Financial Economics (0103 1976).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[4]Emery, G., and Cogger, K.. “The Measurement of Liquidity.” Paper presented at the Financial Management Association, New Orleans, LA (10 1980).Google Scholar
[5]Emery, G., and Cogger, K.. “Comment on: A Determination of the Risk of Ruin.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 16, No. 5 (12 1981), pp. 759764.Google Scholar
[6]Kahn, E.; Beneson, P.; and Brown, B.. “Commercialization of Solar Energy by Regulated Utilities: Economic and Financial Risk Analysis.” Working paper LBL–11398, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA (10 1980).Google Scholar
[7]Kauppi, L., and Ojantakanen, P.. “Approximations of the Generalised Poisson Function.” ASTIN Bulletin, Vol. 5, Part 2 (1971), pp. 213226.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[8]Rogalski, R., and Vinso, J.. “A Measure of the Probability of Bankruptcy.” Working paper No. 3, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA (1981).Google Scholar
[9]Santomero, A., and Vinso, J.. “Estimating the Probability of Failure for Commercial Banks and the Banking System.” Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 1, No. 2 (09 1977), pp. 185205.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[10]Seal, H.Stochastic Theory of a Risk Business. New York: John Wiley and Sons, Inc. (1969).Google Scholar
[11]Stendl, J.Random Processes and the Growth of Firms. New York: Hafner Publishing Company (1965).Google Scholar
[12]Vinso, J.A Determination of the Risk of Ruin.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 14, No. 1 (03 1979), pp. 77100.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[13]Wilcox, J.A Prediction of Business Failure Using Accounting Data.” Empirical Research in Accounting: Selected Studies, 1973. Supplement to Journal of Accounting Research, Vol. 11 (1973), pp. 163179.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[14]Wilcox, J.. “The Gambler's Ruin Approach to Business Risk.” Sloan Management Review (Fall 1976), pp. 3346.Google Scholar