Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-j824f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-07T23:20:48.592Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Accounting Losses as a Heuristic for Managerial Failure: Evidence from CEO Turnovers

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 August 2018

Abstract

We study the effects of accounting losses on chief executive officer (CEO) turnover. If accounting losses provide incremental information about managerial ability, boards can utilize the information in losses to assess CEOs’ stewardship of assets, which is why losses may serve as a heuristic for managerial failure. We find a positive relation between losses and subsequent CEO turnover after controlling for other accounting and stock-performance measures. We also find that losses are associated with an increase in board activity and that losses predict poor operating performance and future financial problems. Our results explain why CEOs manage earnings to avoid losses.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Michael G. Foster School of Business, University of Washington 2018 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

1

We thank Jarrad Harford (the editor) and an anonymous referee for their detailed and instructive comments. We also benefited from our discussions with Ray Ball, Sasson Bar-Yosef, Sudipta Basu, Jeremy Bertomeu, Scott Bronson, Ting Chen, John Elliott, Sonali Hazarika, Chris Hogan, Armen Hovakimian, Peter Joos, Yinghua Li, Antonio Marra, Christina Mashruwala, Pietro Mazzola, Steve Monahan, Serena Morricone, Daniel Oyon, Annalisa Prencipe, Shiva Rajgopal, Bill Ruland, and participants at the 2011 American Accounting Association annual meeting in Denver, Bocconi University, Copenhagen Business School, Cambridge University, INSEAD (Paris), University of Lausanne (UNIL), Temple University, and Yonsei University. Our special thanks to Masako Darrough, Val Dimitrov, Carol Marquardt, and Terry Shevlin for their many comments and suggestions on some of our prior versions.

References

Adams, R. B., and Ferreira, D.. “A Theory of Friendly Boards.” Journal of Finance, 62 (2007), 217237.Google Scholar
Barberis, N., and Huang, M.. “Mental Accounting, Loss Aversion, and Individual Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 56 (2001), 12471292.Google Scholar
Beaver, W. H.; McNichols, M. F.; and Nelson, K. K.. “Management of the Loss Reserve Accrual and the Distribution of Earnings in the Property-Casualty Insurance Industry.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 35 (2003), 347376.Google Scholar
Berger, P. G., and Ofek, E.. “Bustup Takeovers of Value-Destroying Diversified Firms.” Journal of Finance, 51 (1996), 11751200.Google Scholar
Bowen, W. G. The Board Book: An Insider’s Guide for Directors and Trustees. New York, NY: W. W. Norton and Company (2008).Google Scholar
Burgstahler, D., and Dichev, I.. “Earnings Management to Avoid Earnings Decreases and Losses.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 24 (1997), 99126.Google Scholar
Burgstahler, D. C., and Eames, M. J.. “Earnings Management to Avoid Losses and Earnings Decreases: Are Analysts Fooled?Contemporary Accounting Research, 20 (2003), 253294.Google Scholar
Bushman, R.; Dai, Z.; and Wang, X.. “Risk and CEO Turnover.” Journal of Financial Economics, 96 (2010), 381398.Google Scholar
Chang, E. C., and Wong, S. M.. “Governance and Multiple Objectives: Evidence from Top Executive Turnover in China.” Journal of Corporate Finance, 15 (2009), 230244.Google Scholar
Chemmanur, T. J.; Paeglis, I.; and Simonyan, K.. “Management Quality, Financial and Investment Policies, and Asymmetric Information.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 44 (2009), 10451079.Google Scholar
Collins, D. W.; Pincus, M.; and Xie, H.. “Equity Valuation and Negative Earnings: The Role of Book Value of Equity.” Accounting Review, 74 (1999), 2961.Google Scholar
DeAngelo, H., and DeAngelo, L.. “Dividend Policy and Financial Distress: An Empirical Investigation of Troubled NYSE Firms.” Journal of Finance, 45 (1990), 14151431.Google Scholar
DeAngelo, H.; DeAngelo, L.; and Skinner, D. J.. “Dividends and Losses.” Journal of Finance, 53 (1992), 336.Google Scholar
DeAngelo, L.Managerial Competition, Information Costs, and Corporate Governance.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 10 (1988), 336.Google Scholar
DeFond, M. L., and Park, C. W.. “The Effect of Competition on CEO Turnover.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 27 (1999), 3556.Google Scholar
Denis, D. K., and McConnell, J. J.. “International Corporate Governance.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39 (2003), 136.Google Scholar
Desai, H.; Hogan, C. E.; and Wilkins, M. S.. “The Reputational Penalty for Aggressive Accounting: Earnings Restatements and Management Turnover.” Accounting Review, 81 (2006), 83112.Google Scholar
Dikolli, S. S.; Mayew, W. J.; and Nanda, D.. “CEO Tenure and Performance-Turnover Relation.” Review of Accounting Studies, 19 (2014), 281327.Google Scholar
Easton, P. D.; Monahan, S. J.; and Vasvari, F. P.. “Initial Evidence on the Role of Accounting Earnings in the Bond Market.” Journal of Accounting Research, 47 (2009), 721766.Google Scholar
Easton, P., and Pae, J.. “Accounting Conservatism and the Relation between Returns and Accounting Data.” Review of Accounting Studies, 9 (2004), 495521.Google Scholar
Eisfeldt, A. L., and Kuhnen, C. M.. “CEO Turnover in a Competitive Assignment Framework.” Journal of Financial Economics, 109 (2013), 351372.Google Scholar
Engel, E.; Hayes, R. M.; and Wang, X.. “CEO Turnover and Properties of Accounting Information.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 36 (2003), 197226.Google Scholar
Farrell, K. A., and Whidbee, D. A.. “Impact of Firm Performance Expectations on CEO Turnover and Replacement Decisions.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 36 (2003), 165196.Google Scholar
Fich, E. M., and Shivdasani, A.. “Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors?Journal of Finance, 61 (2006), 689724.Google Scholar
Gibbons, R., and Murphy, K. J.. “Relative Performance Evaluation for Chief Executive Officers.” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 43 (1990), 30S51S.Google Scholar
Graham, J. R.; Harvey, C. R.; and Rajgopal, S.. “The Economic Implications of Corporate Financial Reporting.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 40 (2005), 373.Google Scholar
Grullon, G.; Michaely, R.; and Swaminathan, B.. “Are Dividend Changes a Sign of Firm Maturity?Journal of Business, 75 (2002), 387424.Google Scholar
Hayn, C.The Information Content of Losses.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 20 (1995), 125154.Google Scholar
Heflin, F., and Hsu, C.. “The Impact of the SEC’s Regulation of Non-GAAP Disclosures.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 46 (2008), 349365.Google Scholar
Hirshleifer, D., and Thakor, A. V.. “Managerial Performance, Boards of Directors and Takeover Bidding.” Journal of Corporate Finance, 1 (1994), 6390.Google Scholar
Hu, J.; Kim, J.-B.; and Lin, Z. J.. “Does Timely Loss Recognition Improve the Boards’ Ability to Learn from Market Prices? Evidence from Worldwide CEO Turnovers.” Journal of International Accounting Research, 14 (2015), 124.Google Scholar
Huson, M. R.; Parrino, R.; and Starks, L. T.. “Internal Monitoring Mechanisms and CEO Turnover: A Long-Term Perspective.” Journal of Finance, 55 (2001), 22652297.Google Scholar
Jacob, J., and Jorgensen, B. N.. “Earnings Management and Accounting Income Aggregation.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 43 (2007), 369390.Google Scholar
Joos, P., and Plesko, G.. “Valuing Loss Firms.” Accounting Review, 80 (2005), 847870.Google Scholar
Kahneman, D., and Tversky, A.. “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk.” Econometrica, 47 (1979), 263291.Google Scholar
Khorana, A.Performance Changes following Top Management Turnover: Evidence from Open-End Mutual Funds.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 36 (2001), 371393.Google Scholar
Klein, A., and Marquardt, C.. “Fundamentals of Accounting Losses.” Accounting Review, 81 (2006), 179206.Google Scholar
Lintner, J. V.Distribution of Income of Corporations among Dividends, Retained Earnings, and Taxes.” American Economic Review, 46 (1956), 97113.Google Scholar
Miller, M. H., and Modigliani, F.. “Dividend Policy and Growth, and the Valuation of Shares.” Journal of Business, 34 (1961), 411433.Google Scholar
Mobbs, S.CEOs under Fire: The Effects of Competition from Inside Directors on Forced CEO Turnover and CEO Compensation.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 48 (2013), 669698.Google Scholar
Murphy, K. J., and Zimmerman, J. L.. “Financial Performance surrounding CEO Turnover.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 16 (1993), 273315.Google Scholar
Nissim, D., and Ziv, A.. “Dividend Changes and Future Profitability.” Journal of Finance, 56 (2001), 21112133.Google Scholar
Ofek, E.Capital Structure and Firm Response to Poor Performance.” Journal of Financial Economics, 34 (1993), 330.Google Scholar
Parrino, R.CEO Turnover and Outside Succession: A Cross-Sectional Analysis.” Journal of Financial Economics, 46 (1997), 165197.Google Scholar
Peters, F. S., and Wagner, A. F.. “The Executive Turnover Risk Premium.” Journal of Finance, 69 (2014), 15291563.Google Scholar
Phillips, J.; Pincus, M.; and Rego, S. O.. “Earnings Management: New Evidence Based on Deferred Tax Expense.” Accounting Review, 78 (2003), 491521.Google Scholar
Pinnuck, M., and Lillis, A.. “Profits versus Losses: Does Reporting an Accounting Loss Act as a Heuristic Trigger to Exercise the Abandonment Option and Divest Employees?Accounting Review, 82 (2007), 10311053.Google Scholar
Pourciau, S.Earnings Management and Nonroutine Executive Change.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 16 (1993), 317336.Google Scholar
Roychowdhury, S.Earnings Management through Real Activities Manipulation.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 42 (2006), 335370.Google Scholar
Schwartz-Ziv, M., and Weisbach, M. S.. “What Do Boards Really Do? Evidence from Minutes of Board Meetings.” Journal of Financial Economics, 108 (2013), 349366.Google Scholar
Sloan, R.Accounting Earnings and Top Executive Compensation.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 16 (1993), 55100.Google Scholar
Smith, C. W., and Watts, R. L.. “The Investment Opportunity Set and Corporate Financing, Dividend, and Financing Policies.” Journal of Financial Economics, 32 (1992), 262292.Google Scholar
Vafeas, N.Board Meeting Frequency and Firm Performance.” Journal of Financial Economics, 53 (1999), 113142.Google Scholar
Warner, J. B.; Watts, R. L.; and Wruck, K. H.. “Stock Prices and Top Management Changes.” Journal of Financial Economics, 20 (1988), 461492.Google Scholar
Warther, V.Board Effectiveness and Board Dissent: A Model of the Board’s Relationship to Management and Shareholders.” Journal of Corporate Finance, 4 (1998), 5370.Google Scholar
Watts, R. L.Conservatism in Accounting, Part I: Explanations and Implications.” Accounting Horizons, 17 (2003), 207221.Google Scholar
Weisbach, M.Outside Directors and CEO Turnover.” Journal of Financial Economics, 20 (1988), 431460.Google Scholar