Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gvvz8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-28T20:40:19.605Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Calling Mogadishu: How Reminders of Anarchy Bias Survey Participation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 August 2018

Elaine K. Denny  and
Jesse Driscoll
Elaine K. Denny
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of California Merced, Merced, California, U.S.A. e-mail: [email protected]
Jesse Driscoll
Affiliation:
University of California San Diego (GPS), La Jolla, California, U.S.A. e-mail: [email protected]
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

How does the fear of anarchy affect telephone survey behaviors? A survey experiment administered to a sample of Mogadishu residents—validated with a natural experiment—is used to assess this question. Randomly assigned reminders of anarchic violence conditioned differential effects on survey participation depending on subjects’ background level of security and welfare. Vulnerable subjects were more likely than non-vulnerable subjects to refuse to provide sensitive survey information after reminders of anarchy.

Keywords

Survey Non-ResponseFearTelephone Survey BehaviorsSomalia
Type
Research Article
Information
Journal of Experimental Political Science , Volume 6 , Issue 2 , Summer 2019 , pp. 81 - 92
Copyright
Copyright © The Experimental Research Section of the American Political Science Association 2018 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

All data analyzed in this project were collected according to processes approved by the Human Research Protections Program at the University of California at San Diego (Project # 111743 and #131065). The initial 2012 face-to-face survey was conducted cooperatively with Nicholai Lidow and the assistance of enumerators recruited from SUHA Mogadishu. Support for this research was provided by the National Science Foundation (Award No. SES-1216070), as well as the University of California at San Diego’s Hellman Fellowship and the Program Design and Evaluation Lab. The data, code, and any additional materials required to replicate all analyses in this article are available at the Journal of Experimental Political Science Dataverse within the Harvard Dataverse Network, at: doi:10.7910/DVN/IS2KTU. Madelyn Driscoll at Microsoft facilitated permissions for the Skype calls to Mogadishu that began in 2013. The names of the Somali-language survey enumerators that operated the phone bank are Abdulmalik Buul, Ibrahim Warsame, Ahmed Aden, and Abdisalan Haji, Abdikarim Tukri, and Abdiaziz Hussien. Helpful comments on previous drafts were provided by Craig Macintosh, Nahomi Ichino, Chris Fariss, Claire Adida, Lauren Prather, Nico Ravanilla, William Reno, and David Laitin. We also received valuable advice from editors and anonymous reviewers at this journal (and others), co-panelists at the Peace Sciences Annual Meeting, the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, and various UCSD working groups. The authors have no conflict of interest.

References

REFERENCES

Benstead, Lindsay. 2014a. “Effects of Interviewer-Respondent Gender Intaraction on Attitudes toward Women and Politics: Findings from Morocco.” International Journal of Public Opinion Research 26 (3): 369–383.Google Scholar
Benstead, Lindsay. 2014b. “Does Interviewer Religious Dress Affect Survey Responses? Evidence from Morocco.” Politics and Religion 7: 734–760.Google Scholar
Berinsky, Adam. 2004. Silent Voices: Public Opinion and Political Participation in America. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Blair, Graeme, Fair, C. Christine, Malhotra, Neil, and Shapiro, Jacob N.. 2013. “Poverty and Support for Militant Politics: Evidence from Pakistan.” American Journal of Political Science 57 (1): 30–48.Google Scholar
Bush, Sarah and Prather, Lauren. 2018. “How Electronic Devices in Face-to-Face Interviews Change Survey Behavior: Evidence from a Developing Country.” Working Paper.Google Scholar
Callen, Michael, Isaqzadeh, Mohammad, Long, James D., and Sprenger, Charles. 2014. “Violence and Risk Preference: Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan.” The American Economic Review 104 (1): 123–48.Google Scholar
Cameron, Lisa and Shah, Manisha. 2015. “Risk-Taking Behavior in the Wake of Natural Disasters.” Journal of Human Resources 50 (2): 484–515.Google Scholar
Corstange, Daniel. 2014. “Foreign-Sponsorship Effects in Developing-World Surveys: Evidence From A Field Experiment in Lebanon.” Public Opinion Quarterly 78 (2): 474–484.Google Scholar
Denny, Elaine and Driscoll, Jesse. 2018. “Replication Data for: Calling Mogadishu: How Reminders of Anarchy Bias Survey Participation.” (https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/IS2KTU), Harvard Dataverse, accessed July 27, 2018.Google Scholar
Driscoll, Jesse and Hidalgo, Daniel. 2014. “Intended and Unintended Consequences of Democracy Promotion Assistance to Georgia After the Rose Revolution.” Research and Politics 1 (1): 1–13.Google Scholar
Driscoll, Jesse and Lidow, Nicholai. 2014. “Representative Surveys in Insecure Environments: A Case Study of Mogadishu, Somalia.” Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology 2 (1): 78–95.Google Scholar
Driscoll, Jesse and Maliniak, Daniel. 2016. “Did Georgian Voters Desire Military Escalation in 2008? Experiments and Observations.” The Journal of Politics 78 (1): 265– 280.Google Scholar
Eckel, Catherine C., El-Gamal, Mahmoud A. and Wilson, Rick K.. 2009. “Risk Loving after the Storm: A Bayesian-Network Study of Hurricane Katrina Evacuees.” Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 69 (2): 110–24.Google Scholar
Getmansky, Anna and Zeitzoff, Thomas. 2014. “Terrorism and Voting: The Effect of Rocket Threat on Voting in Israeli Elections.” American Political Science Review 108 (03): 588–604.Google Scholar
Hassell, Hans J. G. and Settle, Jaime E.. 2017. “The Differential Effects of Stress on Voter Turnout.” Political Psychology 38 (3): 533–550.Google Scholar
Huddy, Leonie, Feldman, Stanley, Taber, Charles, and Lahav, Gallya. 2005. “Threat, Anxiety, and Support of Antiterrorism Policies.” American Journal of Political Science 49 (3): 593–608.Google Scholar
Lerner, Jennifer S., Gonzalez, Roxana M., Small, Deborah A., and Fischhoff, Baruch. 2003. “Effects of Fear and Anger on Perceived Risks of Terrorism: A National Field Experiment.” Psychological Science 14 (2): 144–50.Google Scholar
Lerner, Jennifer S. and Keltner, Dacher. 2001. “Fear, Anger, and Risk.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 81 (1): 146.Google Scholar
Levine, Adam Seth. 2015. American Insecurity: Why Our Economic Fears Lead to Political Inaction. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Lyall, Jason, Imai, Shiraito and Kosuke. 2015. “Coethnic Bias and Wartime Informing.” The Journal of Politics 77 (3): 833–48.Google Scholar
Marcus, George. 2002. The Sentimental Citizen: Emotion in Democratic Politics. University Park, PA: Penn State University Press.Google Scholar
Merolla, Jennifer L. and Zechmeister, Elizabeth J.. 2009. Democracy at Risk: How Terrorist Threats Affect the Public. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Shapiro, Jacob and Weidmann, Nils. 2015. “Is the Phone Mightier Than the Sword? Cellphones and Insurgent Violence in Iraq.” International Organization 69 (02): 247–74.Google Scholar
Sniderman, Paul and Grob, Douglas. 1996. “Innovations in Experimental Design in Attitude Surveys.” Annual Review of Sociology 22 (1): 377–99.Google Scholar
Voors, Maarten J., Nillesen, Eleonora EM, Verwimp, Philip, Bulte, Erwin H., Lensink, Robert, and Van Soest, Daan P.. 2012. “Violent Conflict and Behavior: A Field Experiment in Burundi.” The American Economic Review 102 (2): 941–64.Google Scholar
Woldemariam, Michael. 2018. Insurgent Fragmentation in the Horn of Africa: Rebellion and its Discontents. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: Link

Denny and Driscoll Dataset

Dataset

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/IS2KTU
Link
Supplementary material: PDF

Denny and Driscoll supplementary material

Denny and Driscoll supplementary material 1

Download Denny and Driscoll supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 261.3 KB