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From Technocracy to Aristocracy: The Changing Career Paths of Japanese Politicians
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 24 March 2016
Abstract
My study investigates whether there has been a relative decline in the position of the Japanese bureaucracy in their relationship with politicians in recent decades. My hypothesis is that the loss of bureaucratic influence has been a function of the declining position of former bureaucrats within the ruling Liberal Democrat Party (LDP), and that politicians who were able to enter the Diet at a young age (due to hereditary recruitment) have gained influence. Their seniority has placed them at an advantage in promotion to key party and government posts. I use probit and logit analysis of LDP cabinet and Diet members (1955–2003) to demonstrate the decline of former bureaucrats within the LDP in terms of their overall numbers and their occupancy of key posts.
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26. A person who is elected to the lower house is credited each time with one seniority point. Thus, “Senior” generally refers to the number of times a person has been elected to the lower house. However, in the case where a lower house member first served in the upper house (which is typically no more than 5 percent of lower house members), that person is credited with one “Senior” point for each three years or fraction thereof served in the upper house, which is the convention used in the LDP. While the Diet also consists of an upper house, that body is less powerful, and examination of the Diet will focus on the lower house.Google Scholar
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30. Probit analysis was also conducted and the results are very similar.Google Scholar
31. Including reappointments and duel portfolios, the numbers break down as follows: 1,422 for lower house members, 209 for upper house members, and 23 for non-Diet members.Google Scholar
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34. Thirteen individuals who were not members of the Diet have served a total of twenty-four stints in the cabinet during the 1955–2004 period. Seven of these individuals were former bureaucrats and one was a child of a politician, but because they were not themselves politicians at the time of their appointment to the cabinet, they were considered neither FB nor Nisei in Table 9 and Figure 1. There was never more than one of these nonpolitician former bureaucrats in the cabinet at one time.Google Scholar
35. Amakudari means “descent from heaven” and refers to jobs arranged for retiring bureaucrats.Google Scholar
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38. Examples of the popular assumption that zoku politicians and bureaucrats work together to thwart reform can be found in Shinoda, Tomohito, Hashimoto's Leadership in Administrative Reform, IUJ Research Institute Working Paper, Asia Pacific Series No. 13, available at http://www.iuj.ac.jp/research/wpap013.cfm); and “Poor Diet Policy Debate,” editorial in Asahi Shimbun, October 15, 2004.Google Scholar
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