Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-p9bg8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-26T18:28:14.206Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Dynamic behavioural models and contraceptive choice

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 September 2011

Mark R. Montgomery
Mark R. Montgomery
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, State University of New York, Stony Brook, USA
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Summary

Dynamic models of contraceptive use fill a theoretical gap. They bring behavioural content to the mathematically elegant Markov models of family building. They meet the criterion that Bulatao (1989) advances that method use, discontinuation and switching be considered not in isolation, but with reference to individual reproductive goals. Dynamic models help to link the literature on method choice with the literature on method effectiveness. These theoretical advantages are, at present, counter-balanced by empirical limitations. This article explores the theoretical and empirical underpinnings of dynamic contraceptive choice models.

Type
Research Article
Information
Journal of Biosocial Science , Volume 21 , supplement S11: Dynamics of Contraceptive Use , 1989 , pp. 17 - 40
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1989

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Akin, J. S. & Schwartz, B. J. (1989) The effect of economic factors on contraceptive choice in Jamaica and Thailand: a comparison of mixed multinomial logit results. Econ. Dev. cult. Change, 36, 503.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Azoury, K. (1985) Bayes solution to dynamic inventory models under unknown demand distribution. Management Sci. 31, 1150.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bertsekas, D. (1976) Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Control. Academic Press, New York.Google Scholar
Bulatao, R. A. (1989) Toward a framework for understanding contraceptive method choice. In: Choosing a Contraceptive: Factors in Method Choice in Asia and the U.S. Edited by Bulatao, R. A., Palmore, J. A. & Ward, S. E.. Westview, Boulder.Google Scholar
David, P. A., Mroz, T. A. & Wachter, K. (1985) Rational Strategies of Birthspacing and Fertility Regulation in Rural France during the Ancient Régime. Working Paper No. 14, Stanford Project on the History of Fertility Control, Department of Economics, Stanford University.Google Scholar
Freedman, R. A., Freedman, D. S. & Thornton, A. D. (1980) Changes in fertility expectations and preferences between 1962 and 1977: their relation to final parity. Demography, 17, 365.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Grady, W. R., Hayward, M. D., Billy, J. O. G. & Florey, F. A. (1989) Contraceptive switching among currently married women in the United States. J. biosoc. Sci. Suppl. 11, 117.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Grady, W. R., Hirsch, M. B., Keen, N. & Vaughan, B. (1983) Contraceptive failure and continuation among married women in the United States, 1970–75. Stud. Fam. Plann. 14, 9.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Heckman, J. J. & Willis, R. (1975) Estimation of a stochastic model of reproduction: an econometric approach. In: Household Production and Consumption. Edited by Terleckyj, N.. Columbia University Press, New York.Google Scholar
Hotz, V. J. & Miller, R. A. (1985) The Economics of Family Planning. Discussion paper series, Graduate School of Business Administration, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh.Google Scholar
Lee, R. D. (1980) Aiming at a moving target: period fertility and changing reproductive goals. Popul. Stud. 34, 205.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leung, S. (1987) A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Parental Sex Preferences on Fertility. PhD thesis. Department of Economics, University of Chicago.Google Scholar
Newman, J. L. (1988) A stochastic dynamic model of fertility. In: Research in Population Economics, Vol, 6. Edited by Schultz, T. P.. Jai Press, Greenwich, Connecticut.Google Scholar
Philliber, S. O. G. & Philliber, W. W. (1985) Social and psychological perspectives on voluntary sterilization: a review. Stud. Fam. Plann. 16, 1.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Ross, S. (1984) Introduction to Stochastic Dynamic Programming. Academic Press, New York.Google Scholar
Rust, J. (1987) Optimal replacement of GMC bus engines: an empirical model of Harold Zurcher. Econometrica, 55, 999.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sheps, M. C. & Menken, J. A. (1973) Mathematical Models of Conception and Birth. University of Chicago Press, Chicago.Google Scholar
Tanfer, K. & Rosenbaum, E. (1986) Contraceptive perceptions and method choice among young single women in the United States. Stud. Fam. Plann. 17, 269.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Trussell, J. A. & Kost, K. (1987) Contraceptive failure in the United States. Stud. Fam. Plann. 18, 237.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Wolpin, K. I. (1984) An estimable dynamic stochastic model of fertility and child mortality. J. polit. Econ. 92, 852.CrossRefGoogle Scholar