Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gxg78 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-26T05:32:20.991Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The probabilities of absolute ruin in the renewal risk model with constant force of interest

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

Dimitrios G. Konstantinides*
Affiliation:
University of the Aegean
Kai W. Ng*
Affiliation:
The University of Hong Kong
Qihe Tang*
Affiliation:
The University of Iowa
*
Postal address: Department of Statistics and Actuarial - Financial Mathematics, University of the Aegean, Karlovassi, GR-83 200 Samos, Greece. Email address: [email protected]
∗∗Postal address: Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong. Email address: [email protected]
∗∗∗Postal address: Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, The University of Iowa, 241 Schaeffer Hall, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA. Email address: [email protected]
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

In this paper we consider the probabilities of finite- and infinite-time absolute ruins in the renewal risk model with constant premium rate and constant force of interest. In the particular case of the compound Poisson model, explicit asymptotic expressions for the finite- and infinite-time absolute ruin probabilities are given. For the general renewal risk model, we present an asymptotic expression for the infinite-time absolute ruin probability. Conditional distributions of Poisson processes and probabilistic techniques regarding randomly weighted sums are employed in the course of this study.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 2010 

References

[1] Asmussen, S. (1998). Subexponential asymptotics for stochastic processes: extremal behavior, stationary distributions and first passage probabilities. Ann. Appl. Prob. 8, 354374.Google Scholar
[2] Cai, J. (2007). On the time value of absolute ruin with debit interest. Adv. Appl. Prob. 39, 343359.Google Scholar
[3] Chistyakov, V. P. (1964). A theorem on sums of independent positive random variables and its applications to branching random processes. Theory Prob. Appl. 9, 640648.Google Scholar
[4] Chover, J., Ney, P. and Wainger, S. (1973). Degeneracy properties of subcritical branching processes. Ann. Prob. 1, 663673.Google Scholar
[5] Chover, J., Ney, P. and Wainger, S. (1973). Functions of probability measures. J. Analyse Math. 26, 255302.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[6] Cline, D. B. H. (1986). Convolution tails, product tails and domains of attraction. Prob. Theory Relat. Fields 72, 529557.Google Scholar
[7] Cline, D. B. H. and Samorodnitsky, G. (1994). Subexponentiality of the product of independent random variables. Stoch. Process. Appl. 49, 7598.Google Scholar
[8] Dassios, A. and Embrechts, P. (1989). Martingales and insurance risk. Commun. Statist. Stoch. Models 5, 181217.Google Scholar
[9] Dickson, D. C. M. and Egı´dio dos Reis, A. D. (1997). The effect of interest on negative surplus. Insurance Math. Econom. 21, 116.Google Scholar
[10] Embrechts, P. and Schmidli, H. (1994). Ruin estimation for a general insurance risk model. Adv. Appl. Prob. 26, 404422.Google Scholar
[11] Embrechts, P. and Veraverbeke, N. (1982). Estimates for the probability of ruin with special emphasis on the possibility of large claims. Insurance Math. Econom. 1, 5572.Google Scholar
[12] Gerber, H. U. (1971). Der Einfluss von Zins auf die Ruinwahrscheinlichkeit. Bull. Swiss Assoc. Actuaries 71, 6370.Google Scholar
[13] Gerber, H. U. (1979). An Introduction to Mathematical Risk Theory (S. S. Huebner Foundation Monogr. Ser. 8). University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.Google Scholar
[14] Gerber, H. U. and Yang, H. (2007). Absolute ruin probabilities in a Jump diffusion risk model with investment. N. Amer. Actuarial J. 11, 159169.Google Scholar
[15] Grey, D. R. (1994). Regular variation in the tail behaviour of solutions of random difference equations. Ann. Appl. Prob. 4, 169183.Google Scholar
[16] Kalashnikov, V. and Konstantinides, D. (2000). Ruin under interest force and subexponential claims: a simple treatment. Insurance Math. Econom. 27, 145149.Google Scholar
[17] Klüppelberg, C. (1988). Subexponential distributions and integrated tails. J. Appl. Prob. 25, 132141.Google Scholar
[18] Klüppelberg, C. (1989). Estimation of ruin probabilities by means of hazard rates. Insurance Math. Econom. 8, 279285.Google Scholar
[19] Klüppelberg, C. and Stadtmüller, U. (1998). Ruin probabilities in the presence of heavy-tails and interest rates. Scand. Actuarial J. 1998, 4958.Google Scholar
[20] Konstantinides, D., Tang, Q. and Tsitsiashvili, G. (2002). Estimates for the ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force in the presence of heavy tails. Insurance Math. Econom. 31, 447460.Google Scholar
[21] Rogozin, B. A. and Sgibnev, M. S. (1999). Banach algebras of measures on the line with given asymptotics of distributions at infinity. Siberian Math. J. 40, 565576.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[22] Ross, S. M. (1983). Stochastic Processes. John Wiley, New York.Google Scholar
[23] Sundt, B. and Teugels, J. L. (1995). Ruin estimates under interest force. Insurance Math. Econom. 16, 722.Google Scholar
[24] Sundt, B. and Teugels, J. L. (1997). The adjustment function in ruin estimates under interest force. Insurance Math. Econom. 19, 8594.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[25] Tang, Q. (2005). The finite-time ruin probability of the compound Poisson model with constant interest force. J. Appl. Prob. 42, 608619.Google Scholar
[26] Tang, Q. (2006). On convolution equivalence with applications. Bernoulli 12, 535549.Google Scholar
[27] Tang, Q. and Tsitsiashvili, G. (2003). Precise estimates for the ruin probability in finite horizon in a discrete-time model with heavy-tailed insurance and financial risks. Stoch. Process. Appl. 108, 299325.Google Scholar
[28] Tang, Q. and Tsitsiashvili, G. (2004). Finite- and infinite-time ruin probabilities in the presence of stochastic returns on investments. Adv. Appl. Prob. 36, 12781299.Google Scholar
[29] Yang, H., Zhang, Z. and Lan, C. (2004). On the time value of absolute ruin for a multi-layer compound Poisson model under interest force. Statist. Prob. Lett. 78, 18351845.Google Scholar
[30] Zhu, J. and Yang, H. (2008). Estimates for the absolute ruin probability in the compound Poisson risk model with credit and debit interest. J. Appl. Prob. 45, 818830.Google Scholar