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The expected ultimate size of a carrier-borne epidemic

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

Claude Lefèvre
Claude Lefèvre*
Affiliation:
Université Libre de Bruxelles
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Abstract

This paper is concerned with the expected ultimate size of the Downton carrier-borne epidemic (1968). The solution obtained is slightly recursive and it may be expressed as a power series in π, the proportion of the infected susceptibles becoming carriers. It generalizes the results of Dietz (1966) and Abakuks (1973) for some special cases of this model.

Keywords

CARRIER-BORNE EPIDEMICSEXPECTED ULTIMATE SIZE
Type
Short Communications
Information
Journal of Applied Probability , Volume 15 , Issue 2 , June 1978 , pp. 414 - 419
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1978 

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References

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