Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-hc48f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-18T20:07:24.039Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Least absolute deviation estimates in autoregression with infinite variance

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

S. Gross*
Affiliation:
Baruch College, City University of New York
W. L. Steiger*
Affiliation:
Rutgers University
*
Postal address: Department of Statistics, Baruch College, City University of New York, Box 344, 46 E. 26th St. N.Y. 10010, U.S.A.
∗∗Postal address: Department of Computer Science, Hill Center for the Mathematical Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, N.J. 08903, U.S.A.

Abstract

We consider an L1 analogue of the least squares estimator for the parameters of stationary, finite-order autoregressions. This estimator, the least absolute deviation (LAD), is shown to be strongly consistent via a result that may have independent interest. The striking feature is that the conditions are so mild as to include processes with infinite variance, notably the stationary, finite autoregressions driven by stable increments in Lα, α > 1. Finally, sampling properties of LAD are compared to those of least squares. Together with a known convergence rate result for least squares, the Monte Carlo study provides evidence for a conjecture on the convergence rate of LAD.

Type
Research Papers
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1979 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Research supported in part by a grant from the Rutgers University Research Council.

References

[1] Bloomfield, P. and Steiger, W. L. (1978) Least absolute deviation curve-fitting. Submitted for publication.Google Scholar
[2] Doob, J. L. (1953) Stochastic Processes. Wiley, New York.Google Scholar
[3] Du Mouchel, W. H. (1973) Stable distributions in statistical inference: 1. Symmetric stable distributions compared to other symmetric long-tailed distributions. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 68, 469477.Google Scholar
[4] Du Mouchel, W. H. (1973) On the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimates when sampling from a stable distribution. Ann. Statist. 1, 948957.Google Scholar
[5] Fama, E. and Roll, R. (1968) Some properties of symmetric stable distributions. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 63, 817836.Google Scholar
[6] Fama, E. and Roll, R. (1971) Parameter estimation for symmetric stable distributions. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 66, 331338.Google Scholar
[7] Feller, W. (1966) An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications, Vol. 2. Wiley, New York.Google Scholar
[8] Kanter, M. (1975) Stable densities under change of scale and total variation inequalities. Ann. Prob. 3, 697707.Google Scholar
[9] Kanter, M. (1976) On the unimodality of stable densities. Ann. Prob. 4, 10061008.Google Scholar
[10] Kanter, M. and Hannan, E. J. (1977) Autoregressive processes with infinite variance. J. Appl. Prob. 14, 411415.Google Scholar
[11] Kanter, M. and Steiger, W. L. (1974) Regression and autoregression with infinite variance. Adv. Appl. Prob. 6, 768783.Google Scholar
[12] Kanter, M. and Steiger, W. L. (1977) Estimating linear relationships for models based on random variables with infinite variance. Proceedings of the Fifth Brasov Conference on Probability Theory, 317323.Google Scholar
[13] Mandelbrot, B. (1963) The variation of certain speculative prices. J. Business U. Chicago 26, 294419.Google Scholar
[14] Mandelbrot, B. (1967) The variation of some other speculative prices. J. Business U. Chicago 40, 393413.Google Scholar
[15] Mandelbrot, B. (1974) A population birth-and-mutation process I: explicit distributions for the number of mutants in an old culture of bacteria. J. Appl. Prob. 11, 437444.Google Scholar
[16] Mandelbrot, B. and Taylor, H. (1967) On the distribution of stock price differences. Opns Res. 15, 10571062.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[17] Singleton, J. (1940) A method for minimizing the sum of absolute deviations. Ann. Math. Statist. 11, 301310.Google Scholar
[18] Wagner, H. M. (1959) Linear programming techniques for regression analysis. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 54, 206212.Google Scholar
[19] Yohai, V. J. and Maronna, R. A. (1977) Asymptotic behavior of least squares estimates for autoregressive processes with infinite variances. Ann. Statist. 5, 554560.CrossRefGoogle Scholar