Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rcrh6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-23T23:54:12.808Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

U.S. Import Demand and Supply Response for Fresh Tomatoes,Cantaloupes, Onions, Oranges, and Spinach

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 January 2015

James L. Seale Jr. ,
Lisha Zhang  and
Mohamad R. Traboulsi
James L. Seale Jr.
Affiliation:
Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
Lisha Zhang
Affiliation:
Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
Mohamad R. Traboulsi
Affiliation:
Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Extract

Elasticities of import demand and supply often drive economic models, butfew empirical estimates of these elasticities exist for vegetables andfruits. For those that do exist, most are outdated. Because elasticitieschange over time as income, prices, and market conditions change, outdatedelasticity estimates may not be representative of changes in importquantities demanded or in acreages, yield, and quantities supplied.Moreover, import demand elasticities by country of origin for mostvegetables and fruits are nonexistent. This article presents research thatupdates elasticity estimates for each of the selected product categories andincludes production and trade implications.

Keywords

acreage responsecointegrationerror-correction modelfruitsimport demandRotterdam modelsupply responsevegetablesF14QUQ17
Type
Session Title: Future Domestic and International Competitiveness of the Southern Fruit and Vegetable Industry
Information
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics , Volume 45 , Issue 3 , August 2013 , pp. 435 - 452
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2013

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Charemza, W.W., and Deadman, D.F.. New Directions in Econometric Practice: General to Specific Modelling, Cointegration and Vector Autoregression. Brookfield, VT: Edward Elgar Publishing Limited, 1992.Google Scholar
Dickey, D.A., and Fuller, W.A.. “Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 74(1979):427-31.Google Scholar
Engle, R.F., and Granger, C.W.J.. “Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing.” Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society 55(1987):251-76.10.2307/1913236Google Scholar
Ghatak, S., and Seale, J.L. Jr. “Rice, Risk and Rationality: Supply Response in West Bengal, India.” European Research Studies Journal 4(2001):155-69.Google Scholar
Granger, C.W.J. “Some Properties of Time Series Data and Their Use in Econometric Model Specification.” Journal of Econometrics 16(1981):121-30.10.1016/0304-4076(81)90079-8Google Scholar
Griliches, Z. “The Demand for Fertilizer: An Economic Interpretation of a Technical Change.” Journal of Farm Economics 40(1958):591–606.10.2307/1235370Google Scholar
Huang, S., and Huang, K.. Increased U.S. Imports of Fresh Fruit and Vegetables. Washington, DC: United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, FTS, 2007, pp. 328–401.Google Scholar
Kmenta, J. Elements of Econometrics. 2nd ed. New York, NY: Macmillan Publishing Company, 1990.Google Scholar
Lee, J.-Y, Brown, M.G., and Seale, J.L. Jr. “Demand Relationships among Fresh Fruit and Juices in Canada.” Review of Agricultural Economics 14(1992):255-62.10.2307/1349504Google Scholar
Lee, J.-Y., Seale, J.L. Jr., and Jierwiriyapant, P.A.. “Do Trade Agreements Help U.S. Exports? A Study of the Japanese Citrus Industry.” Agribusiness 6(1990):505-14.10.1002/1520-6297(199009)6:5<505::AID-AGR2720060508>3.0.CO;2-G3.0.CO;2-G>Google Scholar
Lopez, R.A., and Munoz, A.O.. “Supply Response in the Northeastern Fresh Tomato Market.” Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 16(2012):35-43.Google Scholar
Maddala, G.S., and Kim, I.-M.. Unit Roots, Co-integration, and Structural Change. Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 1998.Google Scholar
Mangahas, M., Recto, A.E., and Ruttan, V.W.. “Price and Market Relationships for Rice and Com in the Philippines.” Journal of Farm Economics 48(1966):685-703.10.2307/1236869Google Scholar
Nerlove, M. “Estimates of the Elasticities of Supply of Selected Agricultural Commodities.” Journal of Farm Economics 38(1956) :496–509.10.2307/1234389Google Scholar
Nzaku, K., Houston, J.E., and Fonsah, E.G.. “Analysis of U.S. Demand for Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Imports.” Journal of Agribusiness 28(2010):163-81.Google Scholar
Onyango, B.M., and Bhuyan, S.. A Situation Analysis of Production and Consumption of Fruits and Vegetables in the Northeastern United States. New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics, Agricultural Experiment Station Report no. P-02804-1-2000, 2000.Google Scholar
Prais, S.J., and Winston, C.B.. Trends and Serial Correlation. Chicago, IL: Cowles Commission Discussion Paper No. 383, 1954.Google Scholar
Rao, J. “Agricultural Supply Response: A Survey.” Agricultural Economics 3(1989):1–22.10.1016/0169-5150(89)90036-4Google Scholar
Roberts, I.M., and Cuthbertson, A.G.. “The Market for Australian Apples in the United Kingdom.” Quarterly Review of Agricultural Economics 25(1972):13–46.Google Scholar
Russo, C., Green, R.D., and Howitt, R.E.. Estimation of Supply and Demand Elasticities of California Commodities. Berkeley, CA: Giannini Foundation of Agricultural Economics, Agriculture and Resource Economics Working Paper No. 09-001, 2008.Google Scholar
Sargan, J.D. “Wages and Prices in the United Kingdom: A Study in Econometric Methodology.” Quantitative Economics and Econometric Analysis. Wallis, K.F. and Hendry, D.F., eds. Oxford, U.K.: Basil Blackwell, 1984.Google Scholar
Sarris, A.H. Empirical Models of International Trade in Agricultural Commodities. Berkeley, CA: Giannini Foundation of Agricultural Economics, Agriculture and Resource Economics Working Paper No. 92, 1979.Google Scholar
Sarris, A.H. “European Community Enlargement and World Trade in Fruits and Vegetables.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 65(1983):235-46.10.2307/1240869Google Scholar
Schmitz, T.G., and Seale, J.L. Jr. “Import Demand for Disaggregated Fresh Fruits in Japan.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 34(2002):585–602.Google Scholar
Seale, J.L. Jr., Lee, J.-Y., Schmitz, A., and Schmitz, T.G.. Import Demand for Fresh Fruit in Japan and Uniform Substitution for Products from Different Sources. Gainesville, FL: University of Florida, International Agricultural Trade and Policy Center MGTC_05-02, 2005.Google Scholar
Seale, J.L. Jr., Sparks, A.L., and Buxton, B.M.. “A Rotterdam Application to International Trade in Fresh Apples: A Differential Approach.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 17(1992):138-49.Google Scholar
Sparks, A.L. “A System Wide Approach to Import Demand for U.S. Fresh Oranges.” Agribusiness 8(1992):253-60.10.1002/1520-6297(199205)8:3<253::AID-AGR2720080306>3.0.CO;2-E3.0.CO;2-E>Google Scholar
StataCorp, L.P. STATA Base Reference Manual, Release 11. College Station, TX: STATA Press, 2009.Google Scholar
Theil, H. “The Information Approach to Demand Analysis.” Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society 33(1965):67–87.10.2307/1911889Google Scholar
Thornsbury, S., Jerardo, A., and Wells, H.F.. Vegetables and Pulses Outlook. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service Report No. VGS-352, 2012.Google Scholar
Tshikala, K.S., and Fonsah, E.G.. “Analysis of U.S. Demand for Imported Melons using a Dynamic Almost Ideal Demand System.” Paper presented in 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama, no. 119779. Southern Agricultural Economics Association, 2012.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service. Citrus: World Markets and Trade. Washington, DC: Foreign Agricultural Service Reports Statistics Division, Technical Report 1310, 2013. Internet site: www.ntis.gov/search/product.aspx?ABBR=PB2013104760 (Accessed January 25, 2013).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service. U.S. Cantaloupe Statistics: Table 03—U.S. Cantaloup: Acreage, Yield, Production, and Value, 1950-2010. Internet site: http://usda01.library.cornell.edu/usda/ers/02002/Table03.xls (Accessed November 1, 2012a).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service. U.S. Onion Statistics: Table 03—U.S.Onions: Acreage, Yield, Production, and Value, 1950-2010. Internet site: http://usda01.library.cornell.edu/usda/ers/94013/Table01.xls (Accessed November 1, 2012b).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service. U.S. Fresh Tomato Statistics: Table 01-U.S. Tomatoes: Acreage, Yield, Production, and Value, 1950-2010. Internet site: http://usda01.library.cornell.edu/usda/ers/92010/Table001.xls (Accessed November 1, 2012c).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service. Farm Labor, Various. Internet site: http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID= 1063 (Accessed November 1, 2012d).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service. Fertilizer Use and Price: Table 8-Fertilizer Price Indexes, 1960-2011. Internet site: http://www.ers.usda.gov/datafiles/Fertilizer_Use_and_Price/Fertilizer_Prices/table8.xls (Accessed November 1, 2012e).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau. U.S. Cantaloupe Statistics: Table 26-Cantaloupe: U.S. Import Volume from Selected Countries, 1967-2010. Internet site: http://usda01. Hbrary.cornell.edu/usda/ers/02002/Table26.xls (Accessed November 1, 2012a).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau. U.S. Onion Statistics: Table 51—Onions, Fresh: U.S. Imports by Country, 1989-2010. Internet site: http://usda01.library.cornell.edu/usda/ers/94013/Table51.xls (Accessed November 1, 2012b).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau. U.S. Tomato Statistics: Table 80—Fresh Tomatoes: U.S. Import Volume from Selected Countries, 1978-2009. Internet site: http://usda01.library.cornell.edu/usda/ers/92010/Table080.xls (Accessed November 1, 2012c).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce and U.S. International Trade Commission. Spinach: U.S. Import Sources by Value. Internet site: www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/vegetables-and-pulses-data/data-by-commodity-imports-and-exports.aspx?reportPath=/TradeR3/TradeTables&program Area=veg&stat_year= 2008&top=5&HardCopy =True&RowsPerPage = 25&groupName = Vegetables&commodityName = Spinach#P70 fbcfO1238e4caea42b45 3e49dc 3f9a_3_1004 (Accessed November 1, 2012a).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce and U.S. International Trade Commission. Spinach: U.S. Import Sources by Volume. Internet site: www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/vegetables-and-pulses-data/data-by-commodity-imports-and-exports.aspx?reportPath=/TradeR3/TradeTables&programArea=veg&stat_year= 2008&top=5&HardCopy=True&RowsPerPage= 25&groupName=Vegetables&commodityName= Spinach#P10071f9fd95249c7aal499d92f32ald8_ 2_1180 (Accessed November 1, 2012b).Google Scholar
VanSickle, J.J., Evans, E.A., and Emerson, R.D.. “U.S.-Canadian Tomato Wars: An Economist Tries to Make Sense Out of Recent Antidumping Suits.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 35(2003):283-96.Google Scholar
Yule, G.U. “Why Do We Sometimes Get Nonsense Correlations between Time Series? A Study in Sampling and the Nature of Time Series.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 89(1926):1–64.10.2307/2341482Google Scholar