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The Potential Effects on United States Agriculture of an Avian Influenza Outbreak

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2015

Scott Brown ,
Daniel Madison ,
H.L. Goodwin  and
F. Dustan Clark
Scott Brown
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, and program director, FAPRI, University of Missouri-Columbia
Daniel Madison
Affiliation:
FAPRI, University of Missouri-Columbia
H.L. Goodwin
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness
F. Dustan Clark
Affiliation:
Department of Poultry Science, University of Arkansas-Fayetteville
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Abstract

The U.S. poultry industry has spent considerable resources to date preparing for an outbreak of avian influenza in this country. This research quantifies the potential effects of two alternative avian influenza scenarios on the poultry industry. In addition, this research looks at effects on other agriculture sectors including the loss of feed demand from an outbreak and the impacts on aggregate measures like farm income and consumer food expenditures. The economic sector model maintained by the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) is employed for these scenarios.

Keywords

avian influenzadisease outbreakeconometric modelpoultry productionpoultry tradeQ11Q18Q17Q13
Type
Invited Paper Sessions
Information
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics , Volume 39 , Issue 2 , August 2007 , pp. 335 - 343
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2007

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