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Implications of U.S. Trade Agreements and U.S. NutritionPolicies for Produce Production, Demand, and Trade

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 January 2015

Marco A. Palma ,
Luis A. Ribera  and
David Bessler
Marco A. Palma
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas
Luis A. Ribera
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas
David Bessler
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas
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Extract

This study used aggregated data for fresh vegetables and fresh fruits toanalyze how trade flows in the fresh produce industry have changed undertrade agreements and to assess the potential implications to nutritionpolicies in the United States. The first part of the analysis uses aBai-Perron test to endogenously determine any structural break points invegetable and fruit trade movements and prices. Directed acyclic graphs andhistorical decompositions are used to establish causal patterns oninnovations from vector autoregression models fitted to annual observationsof trade flows, prices, and income. The results showed that trade agreementshave had significant impacts to the produce industry. Income was a majordeterminant of domestic fruit production and imports.

Keywords

directed acyclic graphsfresh producehistorical decompositionstructural changesQ13
Type
Session Title: Future Domestic and International Competitiveness of the Southern Fruit and Vegetable Industry
Information
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics , Volume 45 , Issue 3 , August 2013 , pp. 465 - 480
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2013

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