Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-dh8gc Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-18T20:21:16.888Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Will Changing Demographics Affect U.S. Cheese Demand?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 January 2015

Christopher G. Davis
Affiliation:
Markets and Trade Economics Division, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, D.C
Donald Blayney
Affiliation:
Markets and Trade Economics Division, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, D.C
Diansheng Dong
Affiliation:
Food Economic Division, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, D.C
Steven T. Yen
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, the University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN
Rachel J. Johnson
Affiliation:
Markets and Trade Economics Division, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, D.C

Abstract

U.S. cheese consumption has grown considerably over the last three decades. Using a censored demand model and Nielsen Homescan retail data, this study identifies price and non-price factors affecting the demand for differentiated cheese products. Own-price and expenditure elasticities for all of the cheese products are statistically significant and elastic. Results also reveal that a strong substitution relationship exists among all cheese products. Although demographic influences are generally smaller than those related to prices and expenditures, empirical findings show that household size, college educated female heads of household who are age 40 and older, residing in the South, Central, and Western regions of the United States, as well as Black heads of household, have positive statistically significant effects on consumers' cheese purchases.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2011

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Amemiya, T.Multivariate Regression and Simultaneous Equation Models when the Dependent Variables are Truncated Normal.” Econometrica 42(1974):9991012.10.2307/1914214Google Scholar
Bergtold, J., Akobundu, E., and Peterson, E.B.The FAST Method: Estimating Unconditional Demand Elasticities for Processed Foods in the Presence of Fixed Effects.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 29(2004): 276–95.Google Scholar
Berndt, E., Hall, B., Hall, R., and Hausman, J.Estimation and Inference in Nonlinear Structural Models.” Annals of Economic and Social Measurement 3(1974):653–65.Google Scholar
Deaton, A., and Muellbauer, J.An Almost Ideal Demand System.” The American Economic Review 70(1980):312–36.Google Scholar
Dong, D., Gould, B.W., and Kaiser, H.Food Demand in Mexico: An Application of the Amemiya-Tobin Approach to the Estimation of a Censored Food System.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 86(2004): 1094–107.10.1111/j.0002-9092.2004.00655.xGoogle Scholar
Dong, D., and Kaiser, H.Coupon Redemption and Its Effect on Household Cheese Purchases.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 87(2005):689702.10.1111/j.1467-8276.2005.00756.xGoogle Scholar
Golan, A., Perloff, J.M., and Shen, E.Z.Estimating a Demand System with Nonnegativity Constraints: Mexican Meat Demand.” The Review of Economics and Statistics 83(2001): 541–50.10.1162/00346530152480180Google Scholar
Gould, B.W.At-home Consumption of Cheese: A Purchase-Infrequency Model.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 74(1992): 453–59.10.2307/1242499Google Scholar
Gould, B.W., Cornick, J., and Cox, T.Consumer Demand for New Reduced-Fat Foods: An Analysis of Cheese Expenditures.” Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 42(1994): 367–80.10.1111/j.1744-7976.1994.tb00031.xGoogle Scholar
Gould, B.W., and Lin, H.C.The Demand for Cheese in the United States: The Role of Household Composition.” Agribusiness 10(1994):4357.10.1002/1520-6297(199401)10:1<43::AID-AGR2720100106>3.0.CO;2-G3.0.CO;2-G>Google Scholar
Hajivassiliou, V.A.Simulation Estimation Methods for Limited Dependent Variable Models.” Handbook of Statistics, Vol 4. Maddala, G.S., Rao, C.R., and Vinod, H.D., eds., pp. 519–43. Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1993.Google Scholar
Heien, D.M., and Wessells, C.R.The Demand for Dairy Products: Structure, Prediction, and Decomposition.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 70(1988):219–28.10.2307/1242060Google Scholar
Heien, D.M., and Wessells, C.R.Demand Systems Estimation with Microdata: A Censored Regression Approach.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 8(1990):365–71.Google Scholar
Huang, K.S. “A Complete System of U.S. Demand for Food.” Technical Bulletin No. 1821. Washington, D.C: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, 1993.Google Scholar
Huang, M.H., Jones, E., and Hahn, D.E.Determinants of Price Elasticities for Private Labels and National Brands of Cheese.” Applied Economics 39(2007):553–63.10.1080/00036840500439069Google Scholar
Lee, L.-F., and Pitt, M.M.Microeconometric Demand Systems with Binding Nonnegativity Constraints: The Dual Approach.” Econometrica 54(1986): 1237–42.10.2307/1912330Google Scholar
Manchester, A., and Blayney, D.P. The Structure of Dairy Markets. Washington, D.C: U.S. Department of Agriculture/Economic Research Service, Pub. No. AER-757. 1997. Internet site: http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/aer757 (Accessed July 13, 2010).Google Scholar
Maynard, L.J. “Sources of Irreversible Consumer Demand in U.S. Dairy Products.” Selected paper presented at annual meetings of the American Agricultural Economics Association, Tampa, FL, July 30-August 2, 2000.Google Scholar
Maynard, L.J., and Liu, D. “Fragility in Dairy Product Demand Analysis.” Selected paper presented at annual meetings of the American Agricultural Economics Association, Nashville, TN, August 8-11, 1999.Google Scholar
Meyerhoefer, C.D., Ranney, C.K., and Sahn, D.E.Consistent Estimation of Censored Demand Systems Using Panel Data.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 87(2005):660–72.10.1111/j.1467-8276.2005.00754.xGoogle Scholar
Park, J.L., Holcomb, R.B., Raper, K.C., and Capps, O. Jr. “A Demand System Analysis of Food Commodities by U.S. Households Segmented by Income.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 78(1996):290300.10.2307/1243703Google Scholar
Perali, F., and Chavas, J.P.Estimation of Censored Demand Equations from Large Cross-Section Data.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 82(2000): 1022–37.10.1111/0002-9092.00100Google Scholar
Phaneuf, D.J., Kling, C.L., and Herriges, J.A.Estimation and Welfare Calculations in a Generalized Corner Solution Model with an Application to Recreation Demand.” The Review of Economics and Statistics 82(2000):8392.10.1162/003465300558650Google Scholar
Ransom, M.R.A Comment on Consumer Demand Systems with Binding Non-negativity Constraints.” Journal of Econometrics 34(1987):355–59.10.1016/0304-4076(87)90018-2Google Scholar
Sam, A.G., and Zheng, Y.Semiparametric Estimation of Consumer Demand Systems with Micro Data.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 92(2010):246–57.10.1093/ajae/aap014Google Scholar
Schmit, T.M., Dong, D., Chung, C., Kaiser, H.M., and Gould, B.W.Identifying the Effects of Generic Advertising on the Household Demand for Fluid Milk and Cheese: A Two-Step Panel Data Approach.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 27(2002): 165–86.Google Scholar
Schmit, T.M., Gould, B.W., Dong, D., Kaiser, H.M., and Chung, C.The Impact of Generic Advertising on U.S. Household Cheese Purchases: A Censored Autocorrelated Regression Approach.” Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 51(2003): 1537.10.1111/j.1744-7976.2003.tb00162.xGoogle Scholar
Schmit, T.M., Chung, C., Dong, D., Kaiser, H.M., and Gould, B.W. “The Effect of Generic Advertising on the Household Demand for Milk and Cheese Purchases” American Agricultural Economics Association, 2000 Annual Meeting, July 3 -August 2, Tampa, FL.Google Scholar
Schmit, T.M., and Kaiser, H.M.Forecasting Fluid Milk and Cheese Demands for the Next Decade.” Journal of Dairy Science 89(2006): 4924–33.10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(06)72543-717106125Google Scholar
Schmit, T.M., and Kaiser, H.M.Decomposing the Variation in Generic Advertising Response over Time.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 86(2004): 139–53.10.1111/j.0092-5853.2004.00568.xGoogle Scholar
Shonkwiler, J.S., and Yen, S.T.Two-step Estimation of a Censored System of Equations.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 81(1999):972–82.10.2307/1244339Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Dietary Guidelines for Americans. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Agriculture, 2005. Internet site: http://www.healthierus.gov/dietaryguidelines (Accessed February 5, 2010).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture - Economic Research Service. Fluid Milk Sales by Products, 1975 -2009. Internet site: http://www.ers.usda.gov/Publications/LDP/LDPTables.htm.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce-Bureau of Economic Analysis, National Economic Accounts. Per Capita Personal Income; Selected Years. 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000, 2010. Internet site: http://www.bea.gov/national/nipaweb/TableView.asp?SelectedTable=5 8&Freq=Qtr&FirstYear= 2008&LastYear=2010 (Accessed May 17, 2010).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce–U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division. 2008. Percent of the Projected Population by Race and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2010 to 2050. Internet site: http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/files/nation/summary/np2008-t6.xls (Accessed August 14, 2008).Google Scholar
U.S. General Accounting Office. Dairy Industry: Estimated Economic Impacts of Dairy Compacts, GAO-01-866. Washington, D.C.: U.S. General Accounting Office, 2001.Google Scholar
van Soest, A., and Kooreman, P.Coherency of the Indirect Translog Demand System with Binding Nonnegativity Constraints.” Journal of Econometrics 44(1990): 391400.10.1016/0304-4076(90)90066-3Google Scholar
Wales, T.J., and Woodland, A.D.Estimation of Consumer Demand Systems with Binding Non-Negativity Constraints.” Journal of Econometrics 21(1983):263–85.10.1016/0304-4076(83)90046-5Google Scholar
Yen, S.T., and Jones, A.M.Household Consumption of Cheese: An Inverse Hyperbolic Sine Double-Hurdle Model with Dependent Errors.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 79(1997):246–51.10.2307/1243958Google Scholar
Yen, S.T., and Lin, B.-H.A Sample Selection Approach to Censored Demand Systems.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 88(2006):742–49.10.1111/j.1467-8276.2006.00892.xGoogle Scholar
Yen, S.T., Lin, B., and Smallwood, D.M.Quasi and Simulated Likelihood Approaches to Censored Demand Systems: Food Consumption by Food Stamp Recipients in the United States.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 85(2003):458–78.10.1111/1467-8276.00134Google Scholar