Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-q99xh Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-25T17:26:21.039Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Factors Affecting Live Cattle Basis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2015

Joe L. Parcell
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Missouri
Ted C. Schroeder
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University
Kevin C. Dhuyvetter
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University

Abstract

Cattle producers and beef packers need to understand basis determinants as they develop price expectations and make pricing, hedging, and forward contracting decisions. This study empirically estimated factors explaining variability in monthly fed cattle basis. The five main results regarding live cattle basis are 1) corn price is an important determinant, 2) a change in the value of the Choice-to-Select spread positively affects basis, 3) changes in the levels of captive supplies have no significant statistical or economic impact on basis, 4) the June 1995 live cattle futures contract did not impact basis, and 5) both market fundamentals and seasonal components are important basis determinants.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2000

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Breusch, T.S., and Pagan, A.R.. “The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics.” Review of Economic Studies 47(1980):239–54.Google Scholar
Bridge Financial Data Center (CD-ROM). Bridge Financial, 20 South Wacker Drive, Suite 1810, Chicago, Dlinois.Google Scholar
Durbin, J.Testing for Serial Correlation in Least Squares Regression When Some of the Regres-sors Are Lagged Dependent Variables.” Econometrica 38(1970):410–21.Google Scholar
Ellrich, F., Ward, C.E., Purcell, W.D., and Peel, D.S.. Forward Contracting vs. Hedging Fed Cattle: Comparisons and Lender Attitudes. Blacksburg, VA: Virginia Tech University, Research Institute on Livestock Pricing. February 1990.Google Scholar
Elam, E.Cash Forward Contracting vs. Hedging of Fed Cattle, and the Impact of Cash Contracting on Cash Prices.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 71(1992):205217.Google Scholar
Garbade, K.D., and Silber, W.L.. “Cash Settlement of Futures Contracts.” Journal of Futures Markets 3(1983):451–72.Google Scholar
Grain Inspection Packers and Stockyards Administration (GIPSA). Packers and Stockyards Statistical Report, SR-98-1, October 1998.Google Scholar
Greene, W.H.Econometric Analysis, Second Edition, Macmillan, 1993.Google Scholar
Hayenga, M.L., and O'Brien, D.. “Packer Competition, Forward Contracting Price Impacts, and the Relevant Market for Fed Cattle.” Pricing and Coordination in Consolidated Livestock Markets: Captive Supplies, Market Power, and 1RS Hedging Policy. Purcell, Wayne D., ed. Blacksburg, VA: Virginia Tech University, Research Institute on Livestock Pricing. April 1992.Google Scholar
Kastens, T.L., Jones, R., and Schroeder, TC. “Futures-based Forecasts for Agricultural Producers and Businesses.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 23(1998):294307.Google Scholar
Leuthold, R.M.An Analysis of the Futures-Cash Price Basis for Live Beef Cattle.” North Central Journal of Agricultural Economics 1(1979):4752.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Livestock Marketing Information Center, (LMIC) Englewood, CO.Google Scholar
Leuthold, R.M., and Peterson, P.E.. “The Cash-Futures Price Spread for Live Hogs.” North Central Journal of Agricultural Economics 5(1983):2429.Google Scholar
Liu, S., Brorsen, B.W., Oellermann, C.M., and Farris, P.L.. “Forecasting the Nearby Basis of Live Cattle.” The Journal of Futures Markets 14(May 1994):259–73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Murphy, R., and Boris, K.. “The ‘New’ Live Cattle Futures Contract: Basis Issues.” NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management, ed. Wade, B. Brorsen, Department of Agricultural Economics, Oklahoma State University, 1997, pp. 141–52.Google Scholar
Naik, G., and Leuthold, R.M.. “Cash and Futures Price Relationships for Nonstorable Commodities: An Empirical Analysis using a General Theory.” Western Journal of Agricultural Economics 12(December 1988):327–38.Google Scholar
Nerlove, M.Estimates of the Elasticity of Supply of Selected Agricultural Commodities.” Journal of Farm Economics 38(1956):496509.Google Scholar
Purcell, W.D.Economics of Consolidation in the Beef Sector: Research Challenges.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 72(1990a):121018.Google Scholar
Purcell, W.D., Editor. Structural Change in Livestock: Causes, Implication, Alternative. Blacks-burg, VA: Research Institute on Livestock Pricing, 1990b.Google Scholar
Schroeder, T.C, Ward, C, Mintert, J., and Peel, D.. “Beef Industry Price Discovery: A Look Ahead.” In Price Discovery in Concentrated Livestock Markets: Issues, Answers, Future Directions, ed. Purcell, W.. Research Institute on Livestock Pricing: Blacksburg, VA. February 1997, pp. 1984.Google Scholar
Schroeder, TC, Jones, R., Mintert, J., and Barkley, A.P.. “The Impact of Captive Supplies on Fed Cattle Prices.” Review of Agricultural Economics 15(May 1993):325328.Google Scholar
SHAZAM. Econometrics Computer Program Users Reference Manual, Version 8.0. New York, NY: McGraw Hill Book Company, 1993.Google Scholar
Trapp, J., Koontz, S., Peel, D., and Ward, C. “Analyses of the Physical and Market Factors Influencing the Relationship Between Slaughter Cattle Weight and Price: An Application of Experimental Economics.” NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management, ed. Wade Brorsen, B., Department of Agricultural economics, Oklahoma State University, 1994, pp. 180–90.Google Scholar
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Agricultural Marketing Service, electronic price, weight, and head marketed data for cattle marketed in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, and Texas. Data made available by Bob Dix, Continental Grain Cattle Feeding Division.Google Scholar
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Livestock Market News, Agricultural Marketing Service, Greeley, CO, various years.Google Scholar
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Agricultural Market News, Agricultural Marketing Service, Dodge City, KS, various years.Google Scholar
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Livestock Market News, Agricultural Marketing Service, Amarillo, TX, various years.Google Scholar
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Cattle on Feed, National Agricultural Statistics Service, various issues (1990-97).Google Scholar
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Cold Storage, National Agricultural Statistical Service, various issues (1990-97).Google Scholar
Walburger, A.M., and Foster, K.A.. “Assessing the Relationship between Market Factors and Regional Price Dynamics in U.S. Cattle Markets.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 22(1997):133–44.Google Scholar
Ward, C.E.Meatpacking Plant Capacity and Utilization: Implications for Competition and Pricing.” Agribusiness 6(1990):6573.Google Scholar
Ward, C.E.Meatpacking Competition and Pricing. Blacksburg, VA: Virginia Tech University, Research Institute on Livestock Pricing. July 1988.Google Scholar
Ward, C.E., and Bliss, T.J.. Forward Contracting of Fed Cattle: Extent, Benefits, Impacts and Solutions. Blacksburg, VA: Virginia Tech University, Research Institute on Livestock Pricing, Research Bulletin 4-89, November 1989.Google Scholar
Ward, C.E., Koontz, S.R., and Schroeder, T.C.. “Impacts form Captive Supplies of Fed Cattle Transaction Prices.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 23(1998):494514.Google Scholar
Zellner, A.An Efficient Method of Estimating Seemingly Unrelated Regressions and Tests for Aggregation Bias.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 57(1962):348–68.Google Scholar