Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-p9bg8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-25T18:26:43.029Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Alternative Theories and Empirical Approaches to Price Discovery: An Application to Fed Cattle

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2015

Jared G. Carlberg
Affiliation:
Department of Agribusiness and Agricultural Economics, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
Clement E. Ward
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma

Abstract

Price discovery is a frequent topic of research, but many times is not clearly defined and thus purported to cover a myriad of topics. This article provides two alternative theories as the basis for one line of price discovery research. Empirical models consistent with the two theories are estimated using a common data set. Empirical results differ as expected. This article evidences why the theoretical basis for an empirical model depends on clearly defining the objective(s) of the research.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2003

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Anderson, J.D., Ward, C.E., Koontz, S.R., Peel, D.S., and Trapp, J.N.. “Experimental Simulation of Public Information Impacts on Price Discovery and Marketing Efficiency in the Fed Cattle Market.Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 23(1998):262278.Google Scholar
Askari, H., and Cummings, J.T.. “Estimating Agricultural Supply Response with the Nerlove Model: A Survey.International Economic Review 18(1977):257292.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carlberg, J.G., and Ward, C.E.. “Intertemporal Consistency of Transaction Price Determinants in an Experimental Market for Fed Cattle.” Selected paper, 2001 Southern Agricultural Economics Association annual meetings, Fort Worth, Texas, January 2001.Google Scholar
Carlton, D.W.Contracts, Price Rigidity, and Market Equilibrium.Journal of Political Economy 87(1979):10341062.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eilrich, F., Ward, C.E., Purcell, W.D., and Peel, D.S.. Forward Contracting vs. Hedging Fed Cattle: Comparisons and Lender Attitudes. Blacksburg, VA: Research Institute on Livestock Pricing, research bulletin, December 1987.Google Scholar
Fama, E.F.Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work.Journal of Finance 25(1970):383417.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Garbade, K.D., Pomrenze, J.L., and Silber, W.L.. “On the Information Content of Prices.American Economic Review 69(1979):5059.Google Scholar
Greene, W.H.Econometric Analysis, 4th ed. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 2000.Google Scholar
Jones, R., Schroeder, T., Mintert, J., and Brazle, F.. “The Impacts of Quality on Cash Fed Cattle Prices.Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics 24(1992):149162.Google Scholar
Kennedy, P.A Guide to Econometrics, 4th ed. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1998.Google Scholar
Ladd, G.W, and Martin, M.B.. “Prices and Demands for Input Characteristics.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 58(1976):2130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lyford, C.P., Hicks, R.T., Trapp, J.N., Ward, C.E., and Peel, D.S.. “Negotiating Strength in an Experimental Market for Fed Cattle.” Oklahoma State University, Department of Agricultural Economics, Departmental paper, 2001.Google Scholar
McGuirk, A.M., Driscoll, P., and Alwang, J.. “Misspecification Testing: A Comprehensive Approach.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 75(1993):10441055.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nerlove, M.Distributed Lags and Estimation of Long-Run Supply and Demand Elasticities: Theoretical Considerations.Journal of Farm Economics 40(1958):301311.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nerlove, M., and Addison, W.. “Statistical Estimation of Long-Run Elasticities of Supply and Demand.Journal of Farm Economics 40(1958):861880.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pindyck, R.S., and Rubinfeld, D.L.. Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts, 4th ed. Boston: McGraw-Hill, 1998.Google Scholar
Purcell, W.D., and Koontz, S.R.. Agricultural Futures and Options: Principles and Strategies, 2nd ed. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall.Google Scholar
SAS Institute, Inc. SAS/ETS User's Guide, Version 8. Cary, NC: SAS Institute, 1999.Google Scholar
Schroeder, T.C., Jones, R., Mintert, J., and Barkley, A.P.. “The Impact of Forward Contracting on Fed Cattle Transaction Prices.Review of Agricultural Economics 15(1993):325337.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Thomsen, F.L., and Foote, R.J.. Agricultural Prices, 2nd ed. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1952.Google Scholar
Tomek, W.G., and Robinson, K.L.. Agricultural Product Prices, 3rd ed. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1990.Google Scholar
Ward, C.E., Koontz, S.R., and Schroeder, T.C.. “Impacts from Captive Supplies on Fed Cattle Transaction Prices.Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 23(1998):494514.Google Scholar
Ward, C.E., Koontz, S.R., Dowty, T.L., Trapp, J.N., and Peel, D.S.. “Marketing Agreement Impacts in an Experimental Market for Fed Cattle.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 81(1999):347358.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ward, C.E., Koontz, S.R., Peel, D.S., and Trapp, J.N.. “Price Discovery in an Experimental Market for Fed Cattle.Review of Agricultural Economics 18(1996):449466.Google Scholar
Waud, R.N.Misspecification in the ‘Partial Adjustment’ and ‘Adaptive Expectations’ Models.International Economic Review 9(1968):204217.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Working, H.A Theory of Anticipatory Prices.American Economic Review 39(1959):188199.Google Scholar