Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-2plfb Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-01T12:03:10.476Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Selection and Influence: Interest Groups and Congressional Voting on Trade Policy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 July 2003

Get access

Abstract

Studies of the effects of interest groups on congressional roll-call voting typically view party and ideology as competing factors and rely on a factoral model of interests or a sectoral model including only interest groups with a direct stake in the vote. We depart from that strategy in several ways. We define interest groups at the level of Standard Industrial Classification two-digit codes and observe the universe of interests. For 1979–90, we use measures of geographically and nongeographically based economic interests to estimate the representative's party and ideology. We also consider the factor endowments of individuals within a district to examine their impact on floor votes. We then investigate the influence of these interests on members' party affiliation and ideology, as well as a pool of five floor votes on foreign trade, using instrumental variables for party and ideology. Economic interests account for a substantial portion of the variance in all cases, and models that also include other explanatory variables are highly accurate in estimating floor votes.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 2003

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Agnew, John A. 1987. The United States in the World Economy A Regional Geography. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Alt, James E., Carlsen, Fredrik, Heum, Per, and Johansen, Kare. 1999. Asset Specificity and the Political Behavior of Firms: Lobbying for Subsidies in Norway. International Organization 53 (1):99116.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alt, James E., and Gilligan, Michael J.. 1994. The Political Economy of Trading States: Factor Specificity, Collective Action Problems, and Political Institutions. Journal of Political Philosophy 2 (2):165–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, Kym, and Baldwin, Robert E.. 1987. The Political Market for Protection in Industrial Countries. In Protection, Cooperation, Integration and Development Essays in Honour of Professor Hiroshi Kitamura, edited by El-Agraa, Ali M., 2036. London: Macmillan.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Austen-Smith, David. 1995. Campaign Contributions and Access. American Political Science Review 89(3):566–81.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baldwin, Robert E., and Magee, Christopher S.. 2000. Is Trade Policy for Sale? Congressional Voting on Recent Trade Bills. Public Choice 105 (1–2):79101.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Balistreri, Edward J. 1997. The Performance of the Hecksher-Ohlin-Vanek Model in Predicting Endogenous Policy Forces at the Individual Level Canadian Journal of Economics 30 (1):117.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baron, David P. 1989. Service-Induced Campaign Contributions and the Electoral Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics 104 (1):4572.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baron, David P. 1997. Integrated Strategy, Trade Policy, and Global Competition. California Management Review 39 (2):145–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bensel, Richard F. 1984. Sectionalism and American Political Development, 1880–1980. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.Google Scholar
Bloch, Farrell E. 1980. Political Support for Minimum Wage Legislation. Journal of Labor Research 1(1):245–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brawley, Mark R. 1997. Factoral or Sectoral Conflict? Partially Immobile Factors and the Politics of Trade in Imperial Germany. International Studies Quarterly 41 (4):633–54.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cassing, James, McKeown, Timothy J., and Ochs, Jack. 1986. The Political Economy of the Tariff Cycle. American Political Science Review 80 (3):843–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Clarke, Kevin A. 2001. Testing Nonnested Models of International Relations. Reevaluating Realism. American Journal of Political Science 45 (3):724–44.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conybeare, John A. C., and Zinkula, Mark. 1996. Who Voted Against the NAFTA? Trade Unions Versus Free Trade. The World Economy 19 (1):112.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Coughlin, Cletus C. 1985. Domestic Content Legislation: House Voting and the Economics of Regulation. Economic Inquiry 23 (3):437–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Denzau, Arthur T., and Munger, Michael C.. 1986. Legislators and Interest Groups: How Unorganized Interests Get Represented. American Political Science Review 80 (1):89106CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ellison, Sara F., and Mullin, Wallace P.. 1995 Economics and Politics: The Case of Sugar Tariff Reform. Journal of Law and Economics 38 (2):335–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Erickson, Robert S., and Palfrey, Thomas R.. 1998. Campaign Spending and Incumbency: An Alternative Simultaneous Equations Approach. Journal of Politics 60 (2):355–73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fenno, Richard F. 1978 Home Style Members in Their Districts. Boston: Little, Brown.Google Scholar
Ferejohn, John. 1986. Logrolling in an Institutional Context: A Case Study of Food Stamp Legislation. In Congress and Policy Change, edited by Wright, Gerald C. Jr., Rieselbach, Leroy N., and Dodd, Lawrence C., 223–53. New York: Agathon Press.Google Scholar
Ferguson, Thomas. 1984. From Normalcy to New Deal: Industrial Structure, Party Competition, and American Public Policy in the Great Depression. International Organization 38 (1):4194.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ferguson, Thomas. 1995. Golden Rule: The Investment Theory of Party Competition and the Logic of Money-Driven Political Systems. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ferguson, Thomas, and Rogers, Joel. 1986. Right Turn: The Decline of the Democrats and the Future of American Politics. New York: Hill and Wang.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1974. Representatives, Roll Calls, and Constituencies. Lexington, Mass.: Lexington Books.Google Scholar
Fleisher, Richard. 1985. Economic Benefit, Ideology, and Congressional Voting on the B-1 Bomber. American Politics Quarterly 13 (2):200–11.Google Scholar
Fordham, Benjamin O. 1998. Economic Interests, Party, and Ideology in Early Cold War-Era U.S. Foreign Policy. International Organization 52 (2):359–96.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frieden, Jeffry A. 1988. Sectoral Conflict and U S Foreign Economic Policy, 1914–1940. International Organization 42 (1):5990.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frieden, Jeffry A. 1994. International Investment and Colonial Control: A New Interpretation. International Organization 48 (4):559–93.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gerber, Alan. 1998. Estimating the Effect of Campaign Spending on Senate Election Outcomes Using Instrumental Variables. American Political Science Review 92 (2):401–11.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gilligan, Thomas W., Marshall, William J., and Weingast, Barry R.. 1989. Regulation and the Theory of Legislative Choice: The Interstate Commerce Act of 1887. Journal of Law and Economics 32 (1):3561.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goff, Brian L., and Grier, Kevin B.. 1993. On the (Mis)Measurement of Legislator Ideology and Shirking. Public Choice 76 (1–2):520.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grossman, Gene M., and Helpman, Elhanan. 1994. Protection for Sale. American Economic Review 84 (4):833–50.Google Scholar
Hansen, Wendy L., and Mitchell, Neil J.. 2000. Disaggregating and Explaining Corporate Political Activity: Domestic and Foreign Corporations in National Politics. American Political Science Review 94 (4):891903.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heckman, James J., and Snyder, James M. 1997. Linear Probability Models of the Demand for Attributes with an Empirical Application to Estimating the Preferences of Legislators. Rand Journal of Economics 28:S 142–89. Special Issue.Google Scholar
Hinich, Melvin J., and Munger, Michael C.. 1994. Ideology and the Theory of Political Choice. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Irwin, Douglas A. 1994. The Political Economy of Free Trade: Voting in the British General Election of 1906. Journal of Law and Economics 37 (1):75108.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Irwin, Douglas A. 1996. Industry or Class Cleavages Overtrade Policy? Evidence from the British General Election of 1923. In The Political Economy of Trade Policy: Papers in Honor of Jagdish Bhagwati, edited by Feenstra, Robert C., Grossman, Gene M., and Irwin, Douglas A, 5375. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Irwin, Douglas A., and Kroszner, Randall S.. 1999. Interests, Institutions, and Ideology in Securing Policy Change: The Republican Conversion to Trade Liberalization after Smoot-Hawley. Journal of Law and Economics 42 (2):643–73.Google Scholar
Kaempfer, William H., and Marks, Steven V.. 1993. The Expected Effects of Trade Liberalization: Evidence from United States Congressional Action on Fast-Track Authority. World Economy 16 (6):725–40.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kalt, Joseph P., and Zupan, Mark A.. 1984. Capture and Ideology in the Economic Theory of Politics. American Economic Review 74 (3):279300.Google Scholar
Kalt, Joseph P., and Zupan, Mark A.. 1990. The Apparent Ideological Behavior of Legislators. Journal of Law and Economics 33 (1):103–31.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Koford, Kenneth. 1989. Dimensions in Congressional Voting. American Political Science Review 83 (3):949–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krehbiel, Keith, and Rivers, Douglas. 1988. The Analysis of Committee Power: An Application to Senate Voting on the Minimum Wage. American Journal of Political Science 32 (4):1151–74.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leamer, Edward E. 1984. Sources of International Comparative Advantage Theory and Evidence. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Lindsay, James M. 1990. Parochialism, Policy, and Constituency Constraints: Congressional Voting on Strategic Weapons Systems. American Journal of Political Science 34 (4):936–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Long, J. Scott. 1997. Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables. Thousand Oaks, Calif.: Sage Publications.Google Scholar
Lowi, Theodore J. 1964. American Business, Public Policy, Case Studies, and Political Theory. World Politics 16 (4):677715.Google Scholar
Magee, Stephen P., Brock, William A., and Young, Leslie. 1989. Black Hole Tariffs and Endogenous Policy Theory. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Mayda, Anna M., and Rodrik, Dani. 2002. Why Are Some People (and Countries) More Protectionist Than Others? Unpublished manuscript, Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass. Available from ⟨http://ksghome.harvard.edu/~.drodrik.academic.ksg/TradePref.PDF⟩.Google Scholar
McArthur, John, and Marks, Stephen V.. 1988. Constituent Interest vs. Legislator Ideology: The Role of Political Opportunity Cost. Economic Inquiry 26 (3):461–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McKeown, Timothy J. 1989. The Politics of Corn Law Repeal and Theories of Commercial Policy. British Journal of Political Science 19 (3):353–80.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Midford, Paul. 1993. International Trade and Domestic Politics: Improving on Rogowski's Model of Political Alignments. International Organization 47 (4):535–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peltzman, Sam. 1984. Constituent Interest and Congressional Voting. Journal of Law and Economics 27 (1):181210.Google Scholar
Peltzman, Sam. 1997. Congress: A Political-Economic History of Roll Call Voting. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Poole, Keith T., Rosenthal, Howard, and Koford, Kenneth. 1991. On Dimensionalizing Roll Call Votes in the U.S. Congress. American Political Science Review 85 (3):955–75.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raftery, Adrian E. 1995. Bayesian Model Selection in Social Research. Sociological Methodology 25:111–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Scheve, Kenneth F., and Slaughter, Matthew J.. 2001. What Determines Individual Trade Policy Preferences? Journal of International Economics 54 (2):267–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schonhardt-Bailey, Cheryl. 1991. Specific Factors, Capital Markets, Portfolio Diversification, and Free Trade: Domestic Determinants of the Repeal of the Corn Laws. World Politics 43 (4):545–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Silberman, Jonathan I., and Durden, Gary C.. 1976. Determining Legislative Preferences on the Minimum Wage: An Econometric Approach, Journal of Political Economy 84 (2):317–29.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Snyder, James M. 1990. Campaign Contributions as Investments: The U.S. House of Representatives, 1980–1986. The Journal of Political Economy 98 (6):1195–227.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stimson, James A. 1985. Regression in Space and Time: A Statistical Essay. American Journal of Political Science 29 (4):914–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tosini, Suzanne C., and Tower, Edward. 1987. The Textile Bill of 1985: The Determinants of Congressional Voting Patterns. Public Choice 54 (1):1925.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Trubowitz, Peter. 1998. Defining the National Interest: Conflict and Change in American Foreign Policy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Winship, Christopher, and Mare, Robert D.. 1983. Structural Equations and Path Analysis for Discrete Data. American Journal of Sociology 89 (1):54110.CrossRefGoogle Scholar