To explore the contribution of health care to the excellent health status enjoyed by the Japanese compared with other industrialized populations, the preoperative health status of a retrospective cohort of 256 patients who underwent total hip replacement in Japan was compared with 301 patients in England (and published data from the United States). Patients in Japan had less severe hip disease, less comorbidity (in particular, less cardiovascular disease), and were in better general health. This finding suggests that health care contributes little to explaining the better health of people in Japan compared with England and the United States.

This review concludes that: a) the global burden of disease from non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) cannot be completely estimated at present; b) evidence for the efficacy of key elements of a package of care is still needed; c) generalizing the results of evaluations of costs or effectiveness across different populations is not straightforward; and d) for this complex intervention, the costs and effectiveness of intervention may be highly dependent on methods of organizing care. Addressing this information deficit represents an important task for researchers and health decision makers.

This report is about setting priorities for health technology assessment (HTA). HTA examines systematically the consequences of the application of health technologies (broadly defined to include any health care intervention) to support decision making in policy and practice. Only a fraction of existing health technologies have been formally evaluated, and many more appear each year. Resources for HTA are, however, limited so that priorities have to be set, whether explicitly or implicitly. The aim of setting priorities for HTA should be to identify those assessments that offer the greatest benefits in relation to their cost, and thus to maximize the benefit derived from investments in HTA.

Some studies suggest that breast-conserving treatment increases the cost of breast cancer. Estimates from a social perspective show that incremental cost depends on the proportion of lumpectomies done in outpatient facilities and on the demand for reconstructive surgery. Conservative treatment reduces spending within a reasonable range of values.

Commodification of low-cost diagnostic technologies (LCDTs) carries the risk of an unintended and potentially worrisome shift in how we conceive of health assessment. Optimizing practice requires a balanced understanding of both the beneficial and harmful impact of the use of LCDTs and the development of system incentives for appropriate use.

This study examined the conclusions of published reports that review the literature and make recommendations about appropriate applications of bone density measurement. It is based on a survey of 22 organizations producing such reports between 1986 and Spring 1995. Overall, the application of bone density measurement for the diagnosis of osteoporosis was supported by 65% of reports, by 44% for the monitoring and follow-up of patients with previously diagnosed disease, and by 59% for monitoring and follow-up of patients receiving treatment that may affect their bone density. A smaller proportion of reports from government and public organizations compared with other types of organizations and a smaller proportion of reports using more rigorous methods supported the applications for bone density measurement identified in the survey. A larger proportion of the reports published after 1990 compared with those published between 1986 and 1990 support the applications of bone density measurement, with the exception of population screening. The results of this survey suggest that there is considerable disagreement about the potential applications of bone density measurement. Publicly funded organisations and those using more rigorous methods tended to be more conservative in their conclusions.

The choice of surgical procedure for the treatment of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) remains clinically based. A meta-analysis was used to synthesize the results of 24 published clinical studies. Partial breast tissue excision appears to be as efficacious as mastectomy for the treatment of DCIS of the breast.

Objective: To determine the incremental cost-effectiveness of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and computed tomography (CT) in young adults presenting with equivocal neurological signs and symptoms. Designs and methods: A decision analysis of long-term survival using accuracy data from a diagnostic technology assessment of MRI and CT in patients with suspected multiple sclerosis, information from the medical literature, and clinical assumptions. Main results: In the baseline analysis, at 30% likelihood of an underlying neurologic disease, MRI use has an incremental cost of $101,670 for each additional quality-adjusted life-year saved compared with $20,290 for CT use. As the probability of disease increases, further MRI use becomes a cost-effective alternative costing $30,000 for each quality-adjusted life-year saved. If a negative MRI result provides reassurance, the incremental costs of immediate MRI use decreases and falls below $25,000 for each quality-adjusted life-year saved no matter the likelihood of disease. Conclusions: For most individuals with neurological symptoms or signs, CT imaging is cost-effective while MR imaging is not. The cost-effectiveness of MRI use, however, improves as the likelihood of an underlying neurological disease increases. For selected patients who highly value diagnostic information, MRI is a reasonable and cost-effective use of medical resources when even the likelihood of disease is quite low (5%).

Health technology assessment (HTA) is primarily concerned with the consequences (benefits and costs) of health care and health policy decisions. Because decision making is complex and outcomes are often uncertain, it is helpful to attempt to assess the consequences. The quality of decisions can be improved by a process that provides a consistent framework for identifying and assessing health technologies.

Physicians often obtain the same test over and over again. This article first considers screening tests, such as mammographic screening for breast cancer, and describes several proposals for finding the interval that best balances cost, harms, and benefits. The same principles apply to monitoring a patient for recurrence of a disease, such as bladder cancer. The article closes with a theoretical consideration of the circumstances for repeating a test once to check a surprising value.

The objective of health technology assessment (HTA) is to support decision making in health care. HTA does not claim to provide a definite solution to a health care problem, but to assist decision makers with evidence-based information about the clinical, ethical, social, and economic implications of the development, diffusion, and use of health care technology.

Preference assessment literature has debated the equivalence of the healthy years equivalents (HYE) and time trade-off (TTO) methods. The central issue is whether the HYE measures preferences under uncertainty. This work shows that the two stages of the HYE first add and then remove the element of uncertainty so that ultimately the technique does not measure preferences under uncertainty. This makes the HYE, at best, a cumbersome equivalent of the TTO.

The past quarter century has seen a transformation of the pharmaceutical industry from blind empiricism to the design of drugs to act as agonists or antagonists at specific receptor sites. As truly effective technology, many have led to marked savings in cost. Savings have been achieved when therapeutic drugs, often highly specific, can be substituted for surgery and other invasive procedures and when therapeutic drugs can be used to prevent illness and the need for treatment. Further savings are achieved with the reduced prescription of ineffective drugs. It is estimated that therapeutic drugs and vaccines contribute about half of medicine's contribution to increased life expectancy and improved quality of life in this century at about 7% of national expenditures for medical care in the United States.

This reflection on the history of the International Society of Technology Assessment in Health Care is an effort to describe the creation of the Society and its first 10 years of activity. Without analyzing the forces that spurred the growth of technology assessment internationally or linking events, policies, and changes in the various countries, this essay focuses on the persons and events that surrounded the birth and growth of the Society in the past decade.

There is a paucity of research regarding the contribution of “low-cost” technologies to the escalation of medical costs in the United States. We examined total charges for medical and surgical supplies (MSS) among all hospitalized Medicare beneficiaries in 1994; a total of US $16.8 billion was spent on MSS, or $1,397 per hospitalization. For selected surgical procedures, both the proportion of total hospital charges attributed to MSS and the mean charge per hospitalization were considerably higher. Concerns regarding excessive payments for MSS and the lack of accountability by the Medicare program are discussed. Itemization of MSS supplies may serve to eliminate wasteful use and lead to decreased costs.

When I was a doctoral student in health care administration at the University of Chicago, I worked with Odin Anderson, who introduced me to Osier Peterson and Bjprn Smedby. Odin first took me to Sweden in 1966. In early 1970, I met Lee Lusted and heard about clinical decision analysis. My interests, then as now, were the costs and outcomes of hospital care, although the methods I have used to address these problems have varied over time.

The issue of health benefits coverage—and its relation to health technology assessment (HTA)—has gained increasing attention in recent years. Economic constraints on health care, as well as the rapid pace of technological change, have forced European countries to face difficult choices in providing such care. The active use of coverage decision making has been proposed as a tool to help rationalize health care, and HTA has been advocated as a necessary activity to improve coverage decisions.

Data relevant to economic evaluation are being collected alongside clinical trials with increasing frequency. When these trials involve health outcomes and resource utilization in many different countries, numerous methodologic problems arise. This paper describes and discusses the methodology for economic evaluation that will be used in the Economic Substudy of GUSTO llb, as an example of how to address the problems that arise in economic evaluations linked to international trials.