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SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF THE DIAGNOSTIC VALUE OF ENDOSCOPIES IN CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDIES IN THE ABSENCE OF A GOLD STANDARD
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 25 May 2001
Abstract
Objectives: The evaluation of the diagnostic value of endoscopic procedures usually lacks a gold standard when performed in cross-sectional studies. The objective is to demonstrate an easily applicable method to assess the possible range of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of endoscopic procedures in the absence of a gold standard method.
Methods: Data from a study of 328 endoscopies comparing two different methods to diagnose superficial bladder cancer were used as a numerical example. Both endoscopic procedures were performed in the same patients in one session. Under the assumption of a systematic misclassification process, a model to correct sensitivity estimates is developed.
Results: The lowest possible sensitivity estimate for a new fluorescence endoscopy technique (FE) was 78%, the maximum 97.5%. Depending on realistic assumptions made upon the misclassification, a reasonable estimate for sensitivity was 93.4% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 90%–97.3%) for the FE technique. The sensitivity of the traditional white-light endoscopy method ranged from 47.2% to 53%, with a reasonable estimate of 46.7% (95% CI: 39.4%–54.3%).
Conclusions: This method to determine the theoretically possible range of sensitivity estimates in endoscopic procedures is helpful in cross-sectional studies with a missing gold standard method. It is easily applicable for a variety of endoscopic procedures, including upper and lower gastro-intestinal tract, urogenital tract, or diagnostic laparoscopic surgery.
- Type
- Research Article
- Information
- International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care , Volume 16 , Issue 03 , July 2000 , pp. 834 - 841
- Copyright
- © 2000 Cambridge University Press
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