Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-gb8f7 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-26T22:06:02.919Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Complex Predictions and Assessor Mystique

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 January 2015

Nathan R. Kuncel*
Affiliation:
University of Minnesota
Scott Highhouse
Affiliation:
Bowling Green State University
*
E-mail: [email protected], Address: University of Minnesota, Department of Psychology, 75 East River Road, Minneapolis, MN 55455

Abstract

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Commentaries
Copyright
Copyright © Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychology 2011 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Cooksey, R. W. (1996). Judgment analysis: Theory, methods, and applications. San Diego, CA: Academic Press. Google Scholar
Grove, W. M., Zald, D. H., Lebow, B. S., Snitz, B. E., & Nelson, C. (2000). Clinical versus mechanical prediction. Psychological Assessment, 12, 1930. Google Scholar
Highhouse, S. (2002). Assessing the candidate as a whole: A historical and critical analysis of individual psychological assessment for personnel decision making. Personnel Psychology, 55, 363396. Google Scholar
Highhouse, S. (2008). Stubborn reliance on intuition and subjectivity in employee selection. Industrial and Organizational Psychology: Perspectives on Science and Practice, 1, 333342. Google Scholar
Kuncel, N. R. (1999). Maximizing validity and utility with multiple predictors. Unpublished master's thesis, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis.Google Scholar
Kuncel, N. R. (2008). Some new (and old) suggestions for improving personnel selection. Industrial and Organizational Psychology: Perspectives on Science and Practice, 1, 343346.Google Scholar
Kuncel, N. R., Klieger, D. M., Connelly, B. S., & Ones, D. S. (2008). Mechanical versus clinical data combination in selection and admissions decisions: A meta-analysis. In I. L. Kwaske (Chair). Individual assessment: Does the research support the practice? Symposium presented at the 23rd Annual Conference of the Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychology, San Francisco, CA.Google Scholar
Malkiel, B. G. (1995). Returns from investing in equity mutual funds 1971 to 1991. The Journal of Finance, 1, 549572. Google Scholar
Prien, E. P., Schippmann, J. S., & Prien, K. O. (2003). Individual assessment: As practiced in industry and consulting. Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. Google Scholar
Ruscio, J. (2003). Holistic judgment in clinical practice: Utility or futility? The Scientific Review of Mental Health Practice, 2. Retrieved from http://www.srmhp.org/0201/holistic.html.Google Scholar
Ryan, A. M., & Sackett, P. R. (1987). A survey of individual assessment practices by I/O psychologists. Personnel Psychology, 40, 455488.Google Scholar
Sawyer, J. (1966). Measurement and prediction, clinical and statistical. Psychological Bulletin, 66, 178200. Google Scholar
Schmidt, F. L., & Hunter, J. (1977). Development of a general solution to the problem of validity generalization. Journal of Applied Psychology, 62, 529540.Google Scholar
Sherden, W. A. (1998). The fortune sellers: The big business of buying and selling predictions. New York, NY: John Wiley and Sons. Google Scholar
Silzer, R. F. (1984). Clinical and statistical prediction in a management assessment center. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of Minnesota.Google Scholar
Silzer, R., & Jeanneret, R. (1998). Anticipating the future: Assessment strategies for tomorrow. In Jeanneret, R. & Silzer, R. (Eds.), Individual psychological assessment: Predicting behavior in organizational settings (pp. 445477). San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass. Google Scholar
Silzer, R., & Jeanneret, R. (2011). Individual psychological assessment: A practice and science in search of common ground. Industrial and Organizational Psychology: Perspectives on Science and Practice, 4, 270296.Google Scholar
Tetlock, P. (2005). Expert political judgment. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar