Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gvvz8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-25T02:01:44.010Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Polarization, Partisan Preferences and Strategic Voting

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 December 2018

Jean-François Daoust*
Affiliation:
Jean-François Daoust, Department of Political Science, McGill University, Montreal, Canada
Damien Bol
Affiliation:
Damien Bol, Department of Political Economy, Kings’ College, London, UK
*
*Corresponding author. Email: [email protected]

Abstract

In this article, we study how polarization affects the propensity of supporters of non-viable parties to cast a strategic vote. To do so, we rely on Canadian election panel surveys from the Making Electoral Democracy Work project that were specifically designed to identify strategic voting. We find that the polarization between viable parties increases the probability of a supporter of a non-viable party casting a strategic vote, because it increases how much she likes her favourite viable party, and decreases how much she dislikes her least favourite viable party. Polarization thus increases strategic voting because it alters partisan preferences.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The Authors 2018. Published by Government and Opposition Limited and Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abramson, P, Aldrich, J, Paolino, PandRohde, D (1992) ‘Sophisticated’ Voting in the 1988 Presidential Primaries. American Political Science Review 86, 5569.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alvarez, MandNagler, J (2000) A New Approach for Modelling Strategic Voting in Multiparty Elections. British Journal of Political Science 30, 5775.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alvarez, M, Boehmke, FandNagler, J (2006) Strategic Voting in British Elections. Electoral Studies 25, 119.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blais, AandNadeau, R (1996) Measuring Strategic Voting: A Two-Step Procedure. Electoral Studies 15, 3952.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blais, A, Nadeau, R, Gidengil, EandNevitte, N (2001) Measuring Strategic Voting in Multiparty Plurality Elections. Electoral Studies 20(3), 343352.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blais, A, Young, RandTurcotte, M (2005) Direct or Indirect? Assessing Two Approaches to the Measurement of Strategic Voting. Electoral Studies 24, 163176.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bol, D, Blais, AandLabbé St-Vincent, S (2018a) Which Matters Most: Party Strategic Entry or Strategic Voting? A Laboratory Experiment. Political Science Research and Methods 6, 229244.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bol, D, Blais, AandLaslier, J-F (2018b) A Mixed-Utility Theory of Vote Choice Regret. Public Choice 176, 461478.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Broockman, D (2016) Approaches to Studying Policy Representation. Legislative Studies Quarterly 41, 181215.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Burden, BC (2005) Minor Parties and Strategic Voting in Recent U.S. Presidential Elections. Electoral Studies 24, 603618.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cain, B (1978) Strategic Voting in Britain. American Journal of Political Science 22, 639655.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cochrane, C (2010) Left/Right Ideology and Canadian Politics. Canadian Journal of Political Science 43, 583605.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cox, G (1997) Making Votes Count: Strategic Coordination in the World’s Electoral Systems. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dalton, R (2008) The Quantity and Quality of Party Systems: Party System Polarisation, its Measurement, and its Consequences. Comparative Political Studies 41, 899920.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Daoust, J-F (2015) Vote Stratégique au Québec: Analyse de l’Election de 2012. Politique et Sociétés 34, 315.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Daoust, J-FandDassonneville, R (2018) Beyond Nationalism and Regionalism: The Stability of Economic Voting in Canada. Canadian Journal of Political Science 53(1), 553571.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Downs, A (1957) An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper Collins.Google Scholar
Duverger, M (1954) Political Parties: Their Organization and Activity in the Modern State. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Eggers, AandVivyan, N (2018) Who Votes More Strategically? Mimeo, Oxford University.Google Scholar
Gentzkow, M (2016) Polarization in 2016. Mimeo, Stanford University.Google Scholar
Gibbard, A (1973) Manipulation of Voting Schemes. Econometrica 41, 587601.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gidengil, E, Neville, N, Blais, A, Everitt, JandFournier, P (2012) Dominance and Decline: Making Sense of Recent Canadian Elections. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.Google Scholar
Golder, MandStramski, J (2010) Ideological Congruence and Electoral Institutions. American Journal of Political Science 54, 90106.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gschwend, T (2007) Ticket-Splitting and Strategic Voting Under Mixed Electoral Rules: Evidence from Germany. European Journal of Political Research 46, 123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heemin, KandFording, RC (2001) Does Tactical Voting Matter? The Political Impact of Tactical Voting in Recent British Elections. Comparative Political Studies 34, 294311.Google Scholar
Lachat, R (2008) The Impact of Party Polarisation on Ideological Voting. Electoral Studies 27, 687698.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lanoue, DJandBowler, S (1992) The Sources of Tactical Voting in British Parliamentary Elections, 1983–1987. Political Behaviour 14(2), 141157.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lau, RRandRedlawsk, DP (1997) Voting Correctly. American Political Science Review 91, 585598.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lenz, G (2012) Follow the Leader: How Voters Respond to Politicians’ Policies and Performance. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Loewen, P, Hinton, KandSheffer, L (2015) Beauty Contest and Strategic Voting. Electoral Studies 38, 3845.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lupu, N (2015) Party Polarisation and Mass Partisanship: A Comparative Perspective. Political Behaviour 37, 331356.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Meguid, B (2008) Party Competition Between Unequals: Strategies and Electoral Fortunes in Western Europe. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Merolla, JandStephenson, L (2007) Strategic Voting in Canada: A Cross Time Analysis. Electoral Studies 26, 235246.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Murr, A (2017) Wisdom of Crowds. In Arzheimer K, Evans J and Lewis-Beck M (eds), The Sage Handbook of Electoral Behaviour. London: Sage, pp. 835860.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Niemi, R, Whitten, GandFranklin, M (1992) Constituency Characteristics, Individual Characteristics, and Tactical Voting in the 1987 British General Election. British Journal of Political Science 22, 229239.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pons, VandTricaud, C (2018) Expressive Voting and its Cost: Evidence from Runoffs with Two or Three Candidates. Econometrica 85, 16211649.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Satterthwaite, M (1975) Strategy-Proofness and Arrow’s Conditions: Existence and Correspondence Theorems for Voting Procedures and Social Welfare Functions. Journal of Economic Theory 10, 187217.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sigelman, LandYough, SN (1978) Left–Right Polarisation in National Party Systems: A Cross-National Analysis. Comparative Political Studies 11, 355379.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stephenson, L, Blais, A, Bol, DandKostelka, F (2017) Making Electoral Democracy Work [Aggregate Dataset]. On Harvard Dataverse, https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/RR0NNQ.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Daoust and Bol Daoust supplementary material

Online Appendix

Download Daoust and Bol Daoust supplementary material(File)
File 30.9 KB