Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rcrh6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-27T20:47:20.144Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Balanced Budget Rules and Expenditure Limits: Lessons from the US and Australia and Implications for the EU

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 March 2019

Extract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

Governments periodically receive accusations of over-spending. These accusations are sometimes warranted. Some commentators propose that strict tax and expenditure limits (TELs) and/or balanced budget requirements (BBRs) may resolve excessive expenditure. Governments can implement TELs and BBRs through constitutional amendments, statutory schemes, or non-binding aspirational goals. They have been proposed as a remedy to allegations of over-spending in some European countries. However, it is not entirely clear if TELs or BBRs are effective or will resolve excess expenditure. I analyze TELs and BBRs as implemented in the United States and Australia. I argue that the Australian model of aspirational TELs and BBRs is beneficial if there is a political will to enforce them. However, if there is no such political will, then statutory (as opposed to constitutional) TELs and BBRs best strike a balance of flexibility and constraint.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © 2012 by German Law Journal GbR 

References

1 See, e.g., Hou, Yilin & Smith, Daniel L., Do State Balanced Budget Requirements Matter? Testing Two Explanatory Frameworks, 145 Pub. Choice 57, 57 (2010). They show that while balanced budget requirements (BBRs) can influence public expenditure, the precise impact depends upon the nature of each BBR.Google Scholar

2 For example, France and Germany have pushed for balanced budget requirements in the E.U. See Latham, Mark & Somaskanda, Sumi, France, Germany Push for Balanced Budgets, USA Today, Dec. 9, 2011, available at http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/story/2011-12-08/sarkozy-merkel-debt-europe/51730480/1 (last visited Apr. 29, 2012).Google Scholar

3 For further information, see Standard & Poors, United States of America Long-Term Rating Lowered To “AA+” Due To Political Risks, Rising Debt Burden; Outlook Negative, Aug. 05, 2011, available at http://www.standardandpoors.com/ratings/articles/en/us/?assetID=1245316529563 (last visited Apr. 29, 2012).Google Scholar

4 On the impact of the crisis in Australia and Australia's plans to achieve a budget surplus, see Press-Release, 2012-13 Pre-Budget Submissions, The Hon Wayne Swan MP: Deputy Prime Minister and Treasurer (Dec. 19, 2011), http://ministers.treasury.gov.au/DisplayDocs.aspx?doc=pressreleases/2011/157.htm&pageID=003&min=wms&Year=&DocType (last visited May 14, 2012).Google Scholar

5 See Greece's Budget Deficit Shrinks More Than Expected, USA Today (Mar. 21, 2012), http://www.usatoday.com/money/world/story/2012-03-21/greece-deficit-targets/53684370/1 (last visited Apr. 29, 2012); Stelios Bouras, Greece Budget Deficit Widens 15%, Wall St. J. (Oct. 12, 2011), http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204002304576626430653206132.html (last visited April 29, 2012); Rachel Donadio, Greek Statistician Under Scrutiny for Budget Estimates Before Euro Crisis, N.Y. Times (Apr. 06, 2012), http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/07/world/europe/greek-official-under-scrutiny-for-pre-crash-budget-figures.html?pagewanted=all (last visited Apr. 29, 2012); Greece Budget Deficit Worse Than Thought, BBC World News (Apr. 26, 2011), http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-13194344 (last visited Apr. 29, 2012).Google Scholar

6 See Goodman, David, Spanish Bonds to Fall as MEAG Sees 10-Year Yields Near 7%, Bloomberg Businessweek (Apr. 18, 2012), http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-04-18/spanish-bonds-to-fall-as-meag-sees-10-year-yields-near-7-percent (last visited Apr. 29, 2012); Juan Montes, Update: Spain's Rajoy Says Country Can Avoid Bailout, Wall St. J. (Apr. 17, 2012), http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20120417-713554.html (last visited Apr. 29, 2012).Google Scholar

7 See Zampano, Giada, Italy Narrows Budget Deficit, Wall St. J. (Apr. 4, 2012), http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303299604577323020883719812.html (last visited Apr. 29, 2012); Rachel Donadio & Gaia Pianigiani, Ital y Pushes Back Balanced Budget by 2 Years, N.Y. Times (Apr. 18, 2012), http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/19/business/global/19iht-italybudget19.html (last visited Apr. 29, 2012).Google Scholar

8 For a full summary of the tax and expenditure limits, see the tables in the Appendix.Google Scholar

9 See Poterba, James M., Balanced Budget Rules and Fiscal Policy: Evidence from the States, 48 Nat'l Tax J. 329, 330 (1995). For theoretical modeling of BBRs see generally Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe, Balanced-Budget Rules, Distortionary Taxes, and Aggregate Instability, 105 J. of Pol. Econ. 976 (1997).Google Scholar

10 Exceptions can include natural disasters. Article V of North Carolina's Constitution contains some exceptions that could arguably allow it to respond to natural disasters. See Shaw, Robert Ward, The States, Balanced Budgets, and Fundamental Shifts in Federalism, 82 N.C. L. Rev. 1195, 1200 (2004). Alternatively, they can include super-majority provisions that would allow the government to borrow. For example, Article 8, § 8 of Montana's Constitution states that “[n]o state debt shall be created unless authorized by a two-thirds vote of the members of each house of the legislature or a majority of the electors voting thereon.” Mont. Const. art. 8, § 8.Google Scholar

11 There are some exceptions to the trend of value-creation. However, the main party responsible for violating prudent spending limits saw its support base fall from 55% of the electorate to 23% of the electorate. See Salusinszky, Imre, Kristina Keneally Leading the Most Unpopular Labor Government in History, Australian (Oct. 29, 2010), http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/kristina-keneally-leading-the-most-unpopular-labor-government-in-australia/story-e6frg6o6-1225944944807 (last visited Apr. 29, 2012).Google Scholar

12 On the lack of BBR at the federal level see Corsetti, Giancarlo & Roubini, Nouriel, European Versus American Perspectives on Balanced-Budget Rules, 86 Am. Econ. Rev. 408, 412 (1996); Jonathan Rodden & Erik Wibbels, Fiscal Decentralization and the Business Cycle: An Empirical Study of Seven Federations, 22 Econ. & Pol. 37, 42 (2010); Lisa Desjardins, Why the U.S. May Never Have a Balanced Budget Again, CNN.com (Mar. 29, 2012), http://edition.cnn.com/2012/03/29/politics/balanced-budget/index.html (last visited Apr. 29, 2012).Google Scholar

13 For a full discussion, see infra Part B.Google Scholar

14 See Mark L. Humphery-Jenner, The Impact of the EU Takeover Directive on Takeover Performance and Empire Building, 18 J. of Corp. Fin. 254 (2012); Anne Meuwese et al., Towards a European Administrative Procedure Act, 2 Rev. Eur. Admin. L. 3, 4 (2009); Wim Voermans & Ymre Schuurmans, Better Regulation by Appeal, 17 Eur. Pub. L. 507 (2011); Rey Koslowski, A Constructivist Approach to Understanding the European Union as a Federal Polity, 6 J. Eur. Pub. Pol'y 561 (1999); Eddy Wymeersh, Europe's New Financial Regulatory Bodies, 11 J. Corp. L. Stud. 443, 444 (2011); Eilis Ferran, Crisis-Driven EU Financial Regulatory Reform, in The Regulatory Aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis 1, 3 (Eilis Ferran et al. eds., 2012).Google Scholar

15 See Hagen, Jurgen von & Eichengreen, Barry, Federalism, Fiscal Restraints, and European Monetary Union, 86 Am. Econ. Rev. 134, 134 (1996); Barry Eichengreen & Tamim Bayoumi, The Political Economy of Fiscal Restrictions: Implications for Europe from the United States, 38 Eur. Econ. Rev. 783 (1994).Google Scholar

16 This comes from the Stability and Growth Pact. See Resolution of the European Council on the Stability and Growth Pact, 1997 O.J. (C236) [hereinafter Stability and Growth Pact]. For a discussion see Feldstein, Martin, The Euro and the Stability Pact, 27 J. Pol'y Modeling 421, 25 (2005). The EU also provides a discussion on its website. See Council Regulation 1467/97, The Corrective Arm: The Excessive Deficit Procedure, 1997 O.J. (L 209) 6, 8 (EC).Google Scholar

17 See Tiryaki, S. Tolga, Has the Stability and Growth Pact Changed the Likelihood of Excessive Deficits in the European Union?, Cent. Bank Repub. Turkey rev. 65, 66 (2008); Ludger Schuknecht et al., The Stability and Growth Pact: Crisis and Reform5 (European Central Bank, Occasional Paper Series No. 129, Sept. 2011). For a useful summary see Financial Glossary: Stability and Growth Pact, Reuters, Sep. 21, 2011, available at http://glossary.reuters.com/index.php/Stability_and_Growth_Pact (last visited Apr. 29, 2012); Feldstein, supra note 16.Google Scholar

18 This is a mathematical implication: If the country can have a deficit of 60% of GDP, then the country with the larger GDP can accrue a larger deficit.Google Scholar

19 Examples of this include the Maastricht Treaty, Feb. 7, 1992, 31 I.L.M. 247, and the Stability and Growth Pact, supra note 16.Google Scholar

20 The voting for the E.U. parliament is relatively less direct than the voting for the national parliament. Under the Lisbon treaty, there will be 751 members spread across the twenty-seven member-states. Each state has at least six members of the European parliament (MEPs) and at most ninety-six MEPs. Where the state has six MEPs, the citizens of that state will typically vote for fewer MEPs than they will national parliamentarians. For example, Luxembourg is entitled to six MEPs, but has a parliament that comprises sixty members in the Chamber of Deputies. See Elections in Europe: A Data Handbook 2051 (Dieter Nohlen & Phillip Stover eds., 2010).Google Scholar

21 Hou, Yilin & Smith, Daniel L., Informal Norms as a Bridge Between Formal Rules and Outcomes of Government Financial Operations: Evidence from State Balanced Budget Requirements, 20 J. Pub. Admin. Res. & Theory 655, 656 (2010). The lack of direct democratic accountability is one of the criticisms of the WTO and is an argument for why it lacks broad-based normative (legal) support. See Pasztor, Tamas, Redressing the Legitimacy Deficit Within the World Trade Organization: The Aspect of External Transparency, 38 Legal Issues Econ. Integration 163 (2011). Further, Lavrijssen and Hancher suggest that the lack of transparency of some supranational E.U. administrators may induce an accountability and legitimacy gap. See Hancher, Leigh & Lavrijssen, Saskia, Networks on Track: From European Regulatory Networks to European Regulatory Network Agencies, 26 Legal Issues Econ. Integration 23 (2009).Google Scholar

22 This follows the analysis in Asen Lefterov, How Feasible Is the Proposal for Establishing a New European System of Financial Supervisors?, 38 Legal Issues Econ. Integration 33 (2011).Google Scholar

23 In addition to the examples discussed in Part B, North Carolina also has a constitution that restricts expenditures and borrowings. See Robert C Lowry, A Visible Hand? Bond Markets, Political Parties, Balanced Budget Laws, and State Government Debt, 13 Econ. & Pol. 49, 53 (2001); Shaw, supra note 10; Donald B. Tobin, The Balanced Budget Amendment: Will Judges Become Accountants—A Look at State Experiences, 12 J.L. & Pol. 153, 158 (1996).Google Scholar

24 An example of this is Colorado, which started with a property tax limit and then imposed a TEL that covered the whole economy. See Brown, Tom, Constitutional Tax and Expenditure Limitation in Colorado: The Impact on Municipal Governments, 20 Pub. Budgeting & Fin. 29, 30 (2000).Google Scholar

25 On the myriad of possible TEL permutations, see Thad Kousser et al., For Whom the TEL Tolls: Can State Tax and Expenditure Limits Effectively Reduce Spending?, 8 St. Pol. & Pol'y Q. 331, 358 (2008); Daniel R. Mullins & Bruce A. Wallin, Tax and Expenditure Limitations: Introduction and Overview, 24 Pub. Budgeting & Fin. 2, 3 (2004).Google Scholar

26 I describe these relaxations in this section.Google Scholar

27 See Savage, James D., California's Structural Deficit Crisis, 12 Pub. Budgeting & Fin. 82 (1992).Google Scholar

28 See Doerr, David R., The California Legislature's Response to Proposition 13, 53 S. Cal. L. Rev. 77, 78 (1979); Juliet Musso et al., State Budgetary Processes and Reforms: The California Story, 26 Pub. Budgeting & Fin. 1 (2006).Google Scholar

29 I do not argue that a “pure” limit without amendments would be superior; it is not possible to test this counter-factual. I merely argue that the amendments have created sub-optimal outcomes in some respects.Google Scholar

30 See Kirlin, John J., Impact of Fiscal Limits on Governance, 25 Hastings Const. L.Q. 197, 201 (1998); Savage, supra note 27.Google Scholar

31 See the “ratcheting up” effect documented in Kirlin, supra note 30; Musso et al., supra note 28; Juliet Musso & John Quigley, Fiscal Federalism and Health Care Provision in California, in Government for the Future 103 (Ake E. Andersson ed., 1997).Google Scholar

32 See Kirlin, supra note 30; Musso et al., supra note 28; Musso & Quigley, supra note 31.Google Scholar

33 See Musso et al., supra note 28, at 20.Google Scholar

34 For a discussion of how BBRs can produce unexpected results, including additional pork barreling, see Matthew J. Gabel & Gregory L. Hager, How to Succeed at Increasing Spending Without Really Trying: The Balanced Budget Amendment and the Item Veto, 102 Pub. Choice 19, 21 (2000).Google Scholar

35 See Kirlin, supra note 30, at 207–08.Google Scholar

36 See Musso et al., supra note 28.Google Scholar

38 See Kirlin, supra note 30.Google Scholar

39 TABOR is in the Colorado Constitution. Colo. Const. art. X, § 20.Google Scholar

40 See Collins, Richard B., The Colorado Constitution in the New Century, 78 U. Colo. L. Rev. 1265, 1334 (2007).Google Scholar

41 See Colo. Const. art. X, § 20(7).Google Scholar

42 See Brown, supra note 24.Google Scholar

43 See Colo. Const. art. X, § 20(7)(d).Google Scholar

44 This came through Referendum C in 2005. Referendum C allows the state to spend excess revenue on services such as health care, public education, and transportation. The Colorado government reports the revenue here at http://www.colorado.gov/cs/Satellite/Treasury_v2/CBON/1251592160342. For a discussion, see Collins, supra note 41; Christine R. Martell & Paul Teske, Fiscal Management Implications of the TABOR Bind, 67 Pub. Admin. Rev. 673–75 (2007).Google Scholar

45 See Brown, supra note 24; Kousser et al., supra note 25.Google Scholar

46 See Gebhardt, Kathleen J., Challenges to Funding School Facilities in Colorado, 83 Neb. L. Rev. 856, 863 (2005); Staff of Colorado Legislative Council, Issue Brief 03–06: How Colorado Compares in K-12 Funding (1999).Google Scholar

47 See Fox, William F., The Ongoing Evolution of State Revenue Systems, 88 Marq. L. Rev. 19, 19 (2004).Google Scholar

48 See McGuire, Therese J. & Rueben, Kim S., The Colorado Revenue Limit: The Economic Effects of TABOR (Economic Policy Institute, Briefing Paper No. 172, Mar. 23, 2006).Google Scholar

50 For an analysis of the impact of the downturn in the 2000s on Colorado, see Martell & Teske, supra note 45; Franklin James & Allan Wallis, Tax and Spending Limits in Colorado, 24 Pub. Budgeting & Fin. 16, 25 (2004).Google Scholar

51 See Fox, supra note 47.Google Scholar

52 See United States v. Winstar Corp., 518 U.S. 839, 872 (1996).Google Scholar

53 For a discussion of the nature of such entrenching provisions, see John O. McGinnis & Michael B. Rappaport, The Constitutionality of Legislative Supermajority Requirements: A Defense, 105 Yale L.J. 483, 486 (1995); Eric A. Posner & Adrian Vermeule, Legislative Entrenchment: A Reappraisal, 111 Yale L.J. 1665 (2002); Michael J. Klarman, The Majoritarian Judicial Review, 85 Geo. L.J. 491, 509 (1997); John C. Roberts & Erwin Chemerinsky, Entrenchment of Ordinary Legislation: A Reply to Professors Posner and Vermeule, 91 Calif. L. Rev. 1773, 1784 (2003).Google Scholar

54 See McGinnis & Rappaport, supra note 53, at 504–05.Google Scholar

56 This type of “dynamic” constitutional interpretation has not received universal support. See generally Richard H. Fallon, A Constructivist Coherence Theory of Constitutional Interpretation, 100 Harv. L. Rev. 1189, 1205 (1987); John G. Wofford, The Blinding Light: The Uses of History in Constitutional Interpretation, 31 U. Chi. L. Rev. 502, 503-04 (1964); David L. Faigman, “Normative Constitutional Fact-Finding”: Exploring the Empirical Component of Constitutional Interpretation, 139 U. Pa. L. Rev. 541, 607 (1991).Google Scholar

57 See McGinn is & Rappaport, supra note 53.Google Scholar

58 See Posner & Vermeule, supra note 53, at 1680–81.Google Scholar

59 See Frickey, Philip P., Structuring Purposive Statutory Interpretation: An American Perspective, 80 Australian LJ. 849, 849 (2006).Google Scholar

60 See Mark L. Humphery-Jenner, Should Common Law Doctrines Dynamically Guide the Interpretation of Statutes?, 3 Legisprudence 171, 172 (2009).Google Scholar

61 I note that these are reconcilable; however, the notion that the original framers wrote the strict text with the intention that it receives a dynamic interpretation has received tentative, but not uniform, support. See Jack M. Balkin, Framework Originalism and the Living Constitution, 103 Nw. U. L. Rev. 549, 558 (2009).Google Scholar

62 For a full summary of the operation of dynamic interpretation, and the arguments for and against it, see Mark L. Humphery-Jenner, Securities Fraud Compensation: A Legislative Scheme Drawing on China, the US and the UK, 38 Legal Issues Econ. Integration 143 (2011); Randal Graham, A Unified Theory of Statutory Interpretation, 23 Stat. L. Rev. 91 (2002); William N. Eskridge, Dynamic Statutory Interpretation, 135 U. Pa. L. Rev. 1479 (1987).Google Scholar

63 For example, Australia implicitly permits dynamic statutory interpretations in the Acts Interpretation Act 1901 (Cth) s 15AA (Austl.). This has also received some broad support in common law jurisdictions generally and in the United States. See Graham, supra note 62; Humphery-Jenner, supra note 60; Eskridge, supra note 62; William N. Eskridge, Public Values in Statutory Interpretation, 137 U. Pa. L. Rev. 1007, 1018 (1989); William N. Eskridge & Philip P. Frickey, Statutory Interpretation as Practical Reasoning, 42 Stan. L. Rev. 321, 345 (1990); Frickey, supra note 59; Cass R. Sunstein, Interpreting Statutes in the Regulatory State, 103 Harv. L. Rev. 405, 493 (1989).Google Scholar

64 See the objections in Rehnquist, William H., Notion of a Living Constitution, 54 Tex. L. Rev. 693, 695 (1976); Arthur Selwyn Miller, Notes on the Concept of the Living Constitution, 31 Geo. Wash. L. Rev. 881 (1963).Google Scholar

65 See Adams, Arlin M., Justice Brennan and the Religion Clauses: The Concept of a “Living Constitution”, 139U. Pa. L. Rev. 1319, 30 (1991); Balkin, supra note 61.Google Scholar

66 For example, in Australia, the parliament has the power to make laws with respect to defense. See Australian Constitution s 51(vii). Courts have held that the government cannot simply define a law as being with respect to defense, i.e., what constitutes “defense.” See Australian Communist Party v Commonwealth (Communist Party Case) (1951) 83 CLR 1, 262 (Austl.).Google Scholar

67 See Fisher v Fisher (1986) 161 CLR 376, 455–56 (Austl.); Posner & Vermeule, supra note 54, at 1680–81; Ian Ireland, The High Court and the Meaning of “Marriage“ in Section 51(xxi) of the Constitution (Parliament of Australia: Law and Bills Digest Group, Research Note 17 2001–02, Feb. 17, 2002).Google Scholar

68 See Pearce, D.C. & Geddes, R.S., Statutory Interpretation in Australia (7th ed. 2011).Google Scholar

69 Id. at 335–36.Google Scholar

70 See Hou & Smith, supra note 21.Google Scholar

71 See Ellickson, Robert C., Law and Economics Discovers Social Norms, 27 J. Legal Stud. 537 (1998).Google Scholar

72 The public choice literature suggests that the threat of poor polling can be a significant disincentive. See Posner, Richard, Economic Analysis of Law (2nd ed. 1977).Google Scholar

73 See Ellickson, supra note 71, at 540–41.Google Scholar

74 See Posner, Eric A., Law and Social Norms: The Case of Tax Compliance, 86 Va. L. Rev. 1781, 1796 (2000).Google Scholar

75 See Eisenberg, Melvin A., Corporate Law and Social Norms, 99 Colum. L. Rev. 1253, 1255 (1999).Google Scholar

76 See Hou & Smith, supra note 21.Google Scholar

77 I do not consider the Northern Territory and the Australian Capital Territory as they do not have full state status. The federal government may intervene in the affairs of territories and overrule their legislation; however, it cannot do so for states.Google Scholar

78 This is in the Fiscal Responsibility Act 2005 No. 41 (NSW) (Austl.), which follows the General Government Debt Elimination Act 1995 No. 83 (NSW) (Austl.).Google Scholar

79 On the prior position See Thomas, D.J., Insolvency and the State of Victoria, 12 Econ. Papers 63 (1993).Google Scholar

80 In 2000, the Financial Management (Financial Responsibility) Act 2000 (VIC) (Austl.) inserted Sections 23C and 23D into the Financial Management Act 1994 No. 18 (VIC) (Austl.), which require the government to operate following the enumerate principles of sound financial management.Google Scholar

81 See Financial Accountability Act 2009 (QLD) s 11 (Austl.).Google Scholar

82 See Charter of Fiscal Responsibility (Jul. 28, 2010), available at http://www.treasury.qld.gov.au/office/knowledge/docs/charter-of-fiscal-responsibility/index.shtml (last visited Apr. 29, 2012).Google Scholar

83 See Financial Accountability Act 2009 (QLD) s 11(3) (Austl.).Google Scholar

84 See Charter of Budget Responsibility Act 2007 (TAS) sch 1, pt 1, s 1 (Austl.).Google Scholar

85 See Charter of Budget Responsibility Act 2007 (TAS) sch 1, pt 3, s 3 (Austl.).Google Scholar

86 See Charter of Budget Responsibility Act 2007 (TAS) s 3(2) (Austl.).Google Scholar

87 See Government Financial Responsibility Act 2000 (WA) s 10(1) (Austl.).Google Scholar

88 The principles are in Government Financial Responsibility Act 2000 (WA) s 6 (Austl.).Google Scholar

89 See Government Financial Responsibility Act 2000 (WA) s 3(2) (Austl.).Google Scholar

90 See Novak, Julie, Next Generation State Budgets: Stronger Fiscal Rules for Better Budgetary Outcomes and More Prosperous States 2011 Inst. Pub. Aff. 1, 24. Further, the Sustainable Budget Commission notes that the extent and nature of budget savings is a matter for government discretion. See Commission, Sustainable Budget, 2 Budget Improvement Measures: Restoring Sustainable State Finances (2010).Google Scholar

91 Sustainable Budget Commission, supra note 90, at s I.Google Scholar

92 See id. at intro.Google Scholar

93 See Velasco, Andres, Debts and Deficits with Fragmented Fiscal Policymaking, 76 J. Pub. Econ. 105, 106 (2000). However, “pork barreling” has arguably become a less dominant determinant of budget deficits. See Alison F. Del Rossi, The Politics and Economics of Pork Barrel Spending: The Case of Federal Financing of Water Resources Development, 85 Pub. Choice 285 (1995).Google Scholar

94 For a criticism of “aspirational targets” in the European context, see Egenhofer, Christian, Ctr. Eur. Pol'y Stud., Looking for the Cure-All? Targets and the EU's New Energy Strategy 118 (CEPS Policy Briefs, 2007).Google Scholar

95 This follows from the finance literature, which documents how the absence of constraints on expenditure can lead to value-reducing investments. See, e.g., Jarrad Harford, Corporate Cash Reserves and Acquisitions, 54 J. Fin. 1969, 1996 (1999).Google Scholar

96 This is consistent with the well-documented relation between agency conflicts and cash in a corporate context. Id.; Jarrad Harford et al., Corporate Governance and Firm Cash Holdings in the US, 87 J. Fin. Econ. 535, 537 (2008); Michael C. Jensen, Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers, 76 Am. Econ. Rev. 323 (1986).Google Scholar

97 Compare Ronald W. Masulis et al., Corporate Governance and Acquirer Returns, 62 J. Fin. 1851 (2007), with Ronald W. Masulis et al., Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies, 64 J. Fin. 1697 (2009).Google Scholar

98 See Sandilands, Ben, The Killing of Sydney, Drum Opinion (June 2, 2010), http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/34734.html (last visited May 5, 2012); Louise Hall, Metro Damages Bill: $330m, 350 Jobs, Sydney Morning Herald, Jun. 2, 2010.Google Scholar

99 See Carter, Bridget, Leighton Holdings CEO Wal King Warns NSW Premier Keneally over Metro, Australian Feb. 12, 2010.Google Scholar

100 For the approach to “discount rates” used in valuation of public-private-partnerships in New South Wales, see New South Wales Treasury, Determination of Appropriate Discount Rates for the Evaluation of Private Financing roposals (Technical Paper, February 2007), available at http://www.wwg.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0011/3107/discount.pdf. The approach has several problems including: Failure to adjust for changes in project-risk and capital structure over time; the possibility of arbitrary adjustments to key inputs into discount rates; the reliance on market-based models to value an asset that will not be listed; and the use of inputs such as “beta,” which are difficult to determine due to the lack of publicly available companies on which to base a “beta” estimate (as would be standard practice for a “pure play” beta). These could issues induce inaccurate valuations. See Tim Koller et al., Valuation (4th ed. 2005); James R. Hitchner, Financial Valuation (2006).Google Scholar

101 As documented in Jensen, Michael C., Agency Costs of Overvalued Equity, 34 Fin. Mgmt. 5 (2005); Jensen, supra note 96; Harford, supra note 95; Harford et al., supra note 96; Edward Lee & Ronan Powell, Excess Cash Holdings and Shareholder Value, 51 Acct. & Fin. 549 (2011); Steven V. Mann & Neil W. Shicherman, The Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow: Acquisition Activity and Equity Issues, 64 J. Bus. 213 (1991).Google Scholar

102 See Treasury, Queensland, Mid Year Fiscal and Economic Review (2011), available at http://www.treasury.qld.gov.au/office/knowledge/docs/mid-year-review/mid-year-review-2010-11.pdf.Google Scholar

103 See Hurst, Daniel, State Budget 2010: Big Spend, Big Deficit, Brisbane Times, Jun. 8, 2010; Tony Moore & Daniel Hurst, Queensland State Budget Deficit to Last Eight Years, Brisbane Times Jun. 16, 2009; Queensland Treasury, State Budget 2009–2010: Capital Statement (2009), available at http://www.budget.qld.gov.au/previous-budgets/2009-10/budget-papers/bp3.shtml.Google Scholar

104 This concern, inter alia, encouraged the Federal Government to undertake the National Disaster Insurance Review, details of which are available from at http://www.ndir.gov.au/content/Content.aspx?doc=tor.htm Google Scholar

105 See Eric M. Leeper et al., Government Investment and Fiscal Stimulus, 57 J. Monetary Econ. 1000 (2010); W. Max Corden, The Theory of the Fiscal Stimulus: How Will a Debt-financed Stimulus Affect the Future?, 26 O. Rev. Econ. Pol'y 38 (2010).Google Scholar

106 This was a publicly-stated rationale for the stimulus spending. See Coorey, Phillip, Saving the Nation, Sydney Morning Herald, Feb. 4, 2009; Wayne Swan, Treasurer of the Commonwealth of Australia, Budget Speech 2009-2010 (May 12, 2009).Google Scholar

107 See Fed. Reserve Bank of N.Y., U.S. Monetary Policy and Financial Markets 20 (1998).Google Scholar

108 See Corsetti & Roubini, supra note 12.Google Scholar