Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-q99xh Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-19T10:20:11.508Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Which electoral systems succeed at providing proportionality and concentration? Promising designs and risky tools

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 January 2017

Johannes Raabe*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany
Eric Linhart
Affiliation:
Professor of Political Science, Chemnitz University of Technologies, Chemnitz, Germany
*

Abstract

Electoral systems are typically faced with the problem of being asked to provide both proportional representation and party system concentration leading to accountable government. Which electoral system designs are able to successfully deliver on both these challenges and thus optimize the representativeness – accountability trade-off? This paper investigates the performance of different general electoral system designs as well as their specific technical details (such as legal threshold, tier linkages, and compensation mechanisms) based on a data set of 590 elections in 57 countries. The key results are that both proportional representation systems with moderate district magnitudes and mixed-member proportional systems are able to optimize performance. Going to the level of details confirms these results and deepens our understanding further: while different technical changes are able to improve the chances of reaching the best of both worlds, some of these (e.g. raising the legal threshold) also increase the risk of ending up with the worst.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© European Consortium for Political Research 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Amorim Neto, O. and Cox, G.W. (1997), ‘Electoral institutions, cleavage structures, and the number of parties’, American Journal of Political Science 41(1): 149174.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Andrews, J.T. and Jackman, R.W. (2005), ‘Strategic fools: electoral rule choice under extreme uncertainty’, Electoral Studies 24(1): 6584.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beck, T., Clarke, G., Groff, A., Keefer, P. and Walsh, P. (2001), ‘New tools in comparative political economy: the database of political institutions’, World Bank Economic Review 15(1): 165176.Google Scholar
Bell, A. and Jones, K. (2015), ‘Explaining fixed effects: random effects modelling of time-series cross-sectional and panel data’, Political Science Research and Methods 3(1): 133153.Google Scholar
Birch, S. (2003), Electoral Systems and Political Transformation in Post-Communist Europe, New York: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
Bochsler, D. (2012), ‘A quasi-proportional electoral system “only for honest men”? The hidden potential for manipulating mixed compensatory electoral systems’, International Political Science Review 33(4): 401420.Google Scholar
Bormann, N.C. and Golder, M. (2013), ‘Democratic electoral systems around the world, 1946-2011’, Electoral Studies 32(2): 360369.Google Scholar
Bowler, S. and Farrell, D.M. (2006), ‘We know which one we prefer but we don’t really know why: the curious case of mixed member electoral systems’, British Journal of Politics and International Relations 8(3): 445460.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bowler, S., Farrell, D.M. and Pettitt, R.T. (2005), ‘Expert opinion on electoral systems: so which electoral system is “best”?’, Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 15(1): 319.Google Scholar
Brancati, D. (2008), ‘The origins and strengths of regional parties’, British Journal of Political Science 38(1): 135159.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brancati, D. (2015), ‘Global elections database’. Global Elections Database, New York. Retrieved 15 April 2016 from http://www.globalelectionsdatabase.com.Google Scholar
Carey, J.M. and Hix, S. (2011), ‘The electoral sweet spot: low-magnitude proportional electoral systems’, American Journal of Political Science 55(2): 383397.Google Scholar
Carr, A. (2015), ‘Adam Carr’s Election Archive’. Retrieved 15 April 2016 from http://psephos.adam-carr.net/.Google Scholar
Clark, W.R. and Golder, M. (2006), ‘Rehabilitating Duverger’s theory: testing the mechanical and strategic effects of electoral laws’, Comparative Political Studies 39(6): 679708.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Colomer, J.M. (2005), ‘It’s parties that choose electoral systems (or, Duverger’s law upside down)’, Political Studies 53(1): 121.Google Scholar
Cox, G.W. (1997), Making Votes Count. Strategic Coordination in the World’s Electoral Systems, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Cox, G.W. (1999), ‘Electoral rules and electoral coordination’, Annual Review of Political Science 2: 145161.Google Scholar
Cox, G.W. and Shugart, M. S. (1996), ‘Strategic voting under proportional representation’, The Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 12(2): 299324.Google Scholar
D’Alimonte, R., Grofman, B. and De Sio, L. (2012), ‘Extending Duverger’s law when parties become blocs: evidence from Italy under three different electoral systems, 1945-2010’. Paper presented at the World Public Choice Societies Congress, Miami, FL.Google Scholar
Doyle, D. and Elgie, R. (2016), ‘Maximizing the reliability of cross-national measures of presidential power’, British Journal of Political Science 46(4): 731–741.Google Scholar
Duverger, M. (1954), Political Parties: Their Organization and Activity in the Modern State, London: Methuen.Google Scholar
Elklit, J. (2008), ‘The 2007 general election in Lesotho: abuse of the MMP system?’, Journal of African Elections 7(1): 1019.Google Scholar
Farrell, D.M. (2011), Electoral Systems. A Comparative Introduction, New York: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
Fearon, J.D. (2003), ‘Ethnic and cultural diversity by country’, Journal of Economic Growth 8(2): 195222.Google Scholar
Ferrara, F., Herron, E.S. and Nishikawa, M. (2005), Mixed Electoral Systems. Contamination and its Consequences, New York: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
Gallagher, M. (1991), ‘Proportionality, disproportionality and electoral systems’, Electoral Studies 10(1): 3351.Google Scholar
Gallagher, M. (2005), ‘Conclusion’, in M. Gallagher and J. Mitchell (eds), The Politics of Electoral Systems, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 535578.Google Scholar
Gallagher, M. and Mitchell, P. (eds) (2005), The Politics of Electoral Systems, Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Greene, W. (2011), ‘Fixed effects vector decomposition: a magical solution to the problem of time-invariant variables in fixed effects models?’, Political Analysis 19(2): 135146.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hobolt, S., Tilley, J. and Banducci, S. (2013), ‘Clarity of responsibility: how government cohesion conditions performance voting’, European Journal of Political Research 52(2): 164187.Google Scholar
Hooghe, L., Marks, G. and Schakel, A.H. (2010), The Rise of Regional Authority: A Comparative Study of 42 Countries, London: Routledge.Google Scholar
Kaase, M. (1984), ‘Personalized proportional representation: the “model” of the West German electoral system’, in A. Lijphart and B. Grofman (eds), Choosing an Electoral System: Issues and Alternatives, New York: Praeger, pp. 155164.Google Scholar
Kostadinova, T. (2002), ‘Do mixed electoral systems matter? A cross-national analysis of their effects in Eastern Europe’, Electoral Studies 21(1): 2334.Google Scholar
Laakso, M. and Taagepera, R. (1979), ‘Effective” number of parties: a measure with application to West Europe’, Comparative Political Studies 12(1): 327.Google Scholar
Lijphart, A. (1984), ‘Trying to have the best of both worlds: semi-proportional and mixed systems’, in A. Lijphart and B. Grofman (eds), Choosing an Electoral System: Issues and Alternatives, New York: Praeger, pp. 207213.Google Scholar
Lijphart, A. (1994), Electoral Systems and Party Systems: A Study of Twenty-Seven Democracies 1945-1990, Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Linhart, E. (2009), ‘Mögliche Auswirkungen von Grabenwahlsystemen in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland. Theoretische Überlegungen und Simulationen’, Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen 40(3): 637660.Google Scholar
Marshall, M.G., Gurr, T.R. and Jaggers, K. (2014), Polity IV Project. Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800-2013, Vienna, VA: Center for Systemic Peace.Google Scholar
Massicotte, L. and Blais, A. (1999), ‘Mixed electoral systems: a conceptual and empirical survey’, Electoral Studies 18(3): 341366.Google Scholar
Monroe, B.L. (2003), ‘Mixed-member electoral systems: the best of both worlds? Edited by Matthew Soberg Shugart and Martin P. Wattenberg’, Perspectives on Politics 1(2): 442443.Google Scholar
Morgenstern, S., Swindle, S.M. and Castagnola, A. (2009), ‘Party nationalization and institutions’, Journal of Politics 71(4): 13221341.Google Scholar
Moser, R.G. and Scheiner, E. (2009), ‘Strategic voting in established and new democracies: ticket splitting in mixed-member electoral systems’, Electoral Studies 28(1): 5161.Google Scholar
Nishikawa, M. and Herron, E.S. (2004), ‘Mixed electoral rules’ impact on party systems’, Electoral Studies 23(4): 753768.Google Scholar
Nohlen, D. (1984), ‘Two incompatible principles of representation’, in A. Lijphart and B. Grofman (eds), Choosing an Electoral System: Issues and Alternatives, New York: Praeger, pp. 8389.Google Scholar
Nohlen, D. (ed.) (1999), Elections in Africa: A Data Handbook, Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Nohlen, D. (ed.) (2005), Elections in the Americas: A Data Handbook, Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Nohlen, D. and Stöver, P. (eds) (2010), Elections in Europe: A Data Handbook, Baden-Baden: Nomos.Google Scholar
Ordeshook, P.C. and Shvetsova, O.V. (1994), ‘Ethnic heterogeneity, district magnitude, and the number of parties’, American Journal of Political Science 38(1): 100123.Google Scholar
Powell, G.B. (2000), Elections as Instruments of Democracy: Majoritarian and Proportional Visions, New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Raabe, J. (2015), ‘Principles of representation throughout the world: constitutional provisions and electoral systems’, International Political Science Review 36(5): 578592.Google Scholar
Raabe, J. and Linhart, E. (2012), ‘Eine Typologie für die vergleichende Wahlsystemforschung’, Zeitschrift für Politikwissenschaft 22(4): 493525.Google Scholar
Rae, D.W. (1967), The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws, New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Renwick, A. (2010), The Politics of Electoral Reform. Changing the Rules of Democracy, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Rose, R. (1983), ‘Elections and electoral systems: choices and alternatives’, in V. Bogdanor and D. Butler (eds), Democracy and Elections, Electoral Systems and their Political Consequences, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 2045.Google Scholar
Saalfeld, T. (2005), ‘Germany: stability and strategy in a mixed-member proportional system’, in M. Gallagher and J. Mitchell (eds), The Politics of Electoral Systems, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 209229.Google Scholar
Sartori, G. (1997), Comparative Constitutional Engineering. An Inquiry into Structures, Incentives, and Outcomes, New York: New York University Press.Google Scholar
Shugart, M.S. (2001), ‘Electoral “efficiency” and the move to mixed-member systems’, Electoral Studies 20: 173193.Google Scholar
Shugart, M.S. and Wattenberg, M.P. (eds) (2001), Mixed-Member Electoral Systems: The Best of Both Worlds? Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Taagepera, R. and Shugart, M.S. (1989), Seats and Votes: The Effects and Determinants of Electoral Systems, New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Raabe and Linhart supplementary material

Appendix A-B

Download Raabe and Linhart supplementary material(File)
File 19.8 KB