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The Future Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Humans and Human Rights

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 June 2019

Abstract

What are the implications of artificial intelligence (AI) on human rights in the next three decades? Precise answers to this question are made difficult by the rapid rate of innovation in AI research and by the effects of human practices on the adaption of new technologies. Precise answers are also challenged by imprecise usages of the term “AI.” There are several types of research that all fall under this general term. We begin by clarifying what we mean by AI. Most of our attention is then focused on the implications of artificial general intelligence (AGI), which entail that an algorithm or group of algorithms will achieve something like superintelligence. While acknowledging that the feasibility of superintelligence is contested, we consider the moral and ethical implications of such a potential development. What do machines owe humans and what do humans owe superintelligent machines?

Type
Roundtable: Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Global Affairs
Copyright
Copyright © Carnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs 2019 

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References

NOTES

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5 “Can We Rule Out Near-Term AGI?,” YouTube video, 17:19, posted by Web Summit, November 7, 2018, www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=YHCSNsLKHfM. For a contrary view, see Trent Eady, “Does Recent Progress with Neural Networks Foretell Artificial General Intelligence?,” Medium, December 4, 2018, medium.com/protopiablog/does-recent-progress-with-neural-networks-foretell-artificial-general-intelligence-9545c17a5d8b.

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31 Oren Etzioni, quoted in Larry Greenemeier, “AI versus AI: Self-Taught AlphaGo Zero Vanquishes Its Predecessor,” Scientific American, October 18, 2017, www.scientificamerican.com/article/ai-versus-ai-self-taught-alphago-zero-vanquishes-its-predecessor/; emphasis added.

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35 Vinge, “The Coming Technological Singularity.”

36 April Glaser, “Elon Musk Wants to Connect Computers to Your Brain So We Can Keep Up with Robots,” Recode, March 27, 2013, www.recode.net/2017/3/27/15079226/elon-musk-computers-technology-brain-ai-artificial-intelligence-neural-lace; see also “We Are Already Cyborgs / Elon Musk / Code Conference 2016,” YouTube video, 5:11, posted by Recode, June 2, 2016, www.youtube.com/watch?list=PLKof9YSAshgyPqlKUUYrHfIQaOzFPSL4&v=ZrGPuUQsDjo.

37 Isobel Asher Hamilton, “Elon Musk Believes AI Could Turn Humans into an Endangered Species like the Mountain Gorilla,” Business Insider, November 26, 2018, www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-ai-could-turn-humans-into-endangered-species-2018-11.

38 Kurt Schlosser, “MIT Student Wows ‘60 Minutes’ by Surfing the Internet and Ordering Pizza — with His Mind,” GeekWire, April 23, 2018, www.geekwire.com/2018/mit-student-wows-60-minutes-surfing-internet-ordering-pizza-mind/.

39 For explorations of such a blended world, see Marx Tegmark, Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence (New York: Knopf, 2017).

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46 Dennett, From Bacteria to Bach and Back, p. 400.

47 For the functionalist take on the mind, see Heil, Philosophy of Mind, ch. 6; for an early formulation of functionalism, see Putnam, Hilary, “Minds and Machines,” ch. 18 in Mind, Language, and Reality: Philosophical Papers, vol. 2 (Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 1975), pp. 362385CrossRefGoogle Scholar; for influential critical discussion, see Block, Ned, “Troubles with Functionalism,” in Block, Ned, ed., Readings in the Philosophy of Psychology, vols. 1 (Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press, 1980), pp. 268305Google Scholar.

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51 Elizabeth Glasure, “Artificial Intelligence Is the Next Big Player in Genomics,” Biospace, December 11, 2018, www.biospace.com/article/artificial-intelligence-is-the-next-big-player-in-genomics/; Himanshu Goenka, “Bioterrorism and Gene Editing: Can Crispr Tool Be Used as Biological Weapon in War?,” International Business Times, December 14, 2016, www.ibtimes.com/bioterrorism-gene-editing-can-crispr-tool-be-used-biological-weapon-war-2460102; see also Antonio Regalado, “Top U.S. Intelligence Official Calls Gene Editing a WMD Threat,” MIT Technology Review, February 9, 2016, www.technologyreview.com/s/600774/top-us-intelligence-official-calls-gene-editing-a-wmd-threat/. The H5N1 flu strain, for example, kills 60 percent of those it infects. Yet, among humans, it is not highly contagious. In 2011, researchers in the United States and Holland altered the H5N1 genome in a way that made its level of contagion high. A strain like this could “change world history if it were ever set free” by triggering a pandemic, “quite possibly with many millions of deaths.” Martin Enserink, “Scientists Brace for Media Storm around Controversial Flu Studies,” Science, November 23, 2011, www.sciencemag.org/news/2011/11/scientists-brace-media-storm-around-controversial-flu-studies.

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66 Petersen, Steve, “Superintelligence as Superethical,” in Lin, Patrick, Abney, Keith, and Jenkins, Ryan, eds., Robot Ethics 2.0 (New York: Oxford University Press, 2017), pp. 332–7Google Scholar; Chalmers, David, “The Singularity: A Philosophical Analysis,” Journal of Consciousness Studies 17, nos. 9–10Google Scholar; see also “What Makes People Happy? / Daniel Kahneman,” YouTube video, 9:47, from a discussion with Professor Kahneman at the 2017 Asilomar conference, posted by the Future of Life Institute, January 30, 2017, www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1N96In7GUc.

67 Scanlon, T. M., “What is Morality?” in The Harvard Sampler: Liberal Education in the Twenty-First Century, Shephard, Jennifer M., Kosslyn, Stephen M., Hammonds, Evelynn M., eds. (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 2011), pp. 243266Google Scholar

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69 For the point about Hobbes, see “Prof. Peter Railton — Machine Morality: Building or Learning?,” YouTube video, 33:56, posted by the Artificial Intelligence Channel, September 11, 2017, www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsPFgXeaeLI.